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国光宏尚 元gumi (Hiro Kunimitsu)
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Thirdverse代表取締役CEO、FiNANCiE代表取締役CEO、MintTown代表取締役CEO、gumiファウンダー / クマのプーさん / http://facebook.com/hkunimitsu/
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国光宏尚 元gumi (Hiro Kunimitsu)
02-28
The issues between Anthropic and the Department of War have had a major impact on Google and OpenAI. *** The AI industry has seen a major shift in the hiring front over the "ethics" of military use. A new battle has begun. The number of signatures for the "We Will Not Be Divided" petition, opposing the military use of AI (mass surveillance, inhumane autonomous weapons), is rapidly increasing within Google and OpenAI. (As of February 28: 578 Google members + 93 OpenAI members = over 671 total) notdivided.org What is noteworthy is the "quality of the signatories" rather than the number of signatories. ■ Signatories at the "core of intelligence" • Google • Tom Schaul: World authority on reinforcement learning. Lead author of the DQN improvement. • Rif A. Saurous: Top-level research position supporting Gemini's scaling infrastructure. • OpenAI • Karl Cobbe: Contributor to the "thought process reward" component of the latest inference model (o1). Leo Gao: An expert on "interpretability" who uncovers AI's black box. This isn't the idealism of a young person. It's existential resistance from the core team designing AI's "brain." ■ Meanwhile, xAI has zero signatures. The contrast is brutally clear. xAI promotes "zero bureaucracy" and "wartime speed," and is attracting talent who see military use as "lawful use." Fed up with Google/OpenAI's "frequent safety meetings," highly skilled individuals are shedding their ethical brakes and focusing on "fastest implementation." ■ 2026: The talent market will become "tripolar." This ethical conflict is directly contributing to a "mass migration of AI talent." 1. [Anthropic: A Bastion of Ethics] Rejecting government pressure, even at the risk of being designated a "supply chain risk." "Safety-conscious individuals" like the Google/OpenAI signature members are gathering in search of conscience. 2. [The Nation's Spear: xAI / National Defense AI] The accelerationist camp, believing that "technology is neutral and winning is justice," has gathered. Fueled by military funding, they are using overwhelming computing resources to advance intelligence. 3. [The Giant Caught in the Middle: Google / OpenAI] They are drifting between the pressures of national security and employee resistance. As top executives seek "ideological alignment," they risk hollowing out their organizations. Google's AI leader, Demis Hassabis, is a key figure in the company's management (promotion side), which has shifted the company's stance to one that accepts "military cooperation." I believe the sense of being caught between the two is particularly painful. ■ Conclusion AI is no longer simply a technology race. The clash of "national ideology × corporate culture × ethics" has become the filter that determines which companies are assigned which talent. We are now at a critical juncture in whether AI will become a "tool of peace" or a "weapon of victory."
ANTHROPIC
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国光宏尚 元gumi (Hiro Kunimitsu)
02-28
The issue between Anthropic and the Ministry of War is having a significant impact on Google and OpenAI. *** The AI industry is seeing a major shift in the recruitment landscape over the "ethics" of military use. A new battle has begun. Within Google and OpenAI, signatures for the petition "We Will Not Be Divided," opposing the military use of AI (mass surveillance, inhumane autonomous weapons), are rapidly increasing. (As of 2/28: Google 578 + OpenAI 93 = over 671 total) notdivided.org What is particularly noteworthy is not the number of signatories, but the "quality of the signatories." ■ Signatories who are at the "core of intelligence" • Google side • Tom Schaul: A world authority on reinforcement learning. Lead author of the DQN improvement. • Rif A. Saurous: Senior researcher supporting the scaling foundation of Gemini. • OpenAI side • Karl Cobbe: Contributor to the "thought process reward" of the latest inference model (o1). • Leo Gao: An expert in "interpretability" who exposes the black box of AI. This is not the idealism of a young person. It is existential resistance from the core group designing the "brain" of AI. ■ On the other hand, there were zero signatures from xAI. This contrast is brutally clear. xAI advocates "zero bureaucracy" and "wartime speed," and is comprised of people who accept military use as "lawful use." Highly capable individuals, fed up with the "abundance of safety meetings" at Google/OpenAI, are shedding their ethical brakes and moving towards "the fastest implementation." ■ In 2026, the talent market will "polarize." This ethical conflict is directly triggering a "mass migration of AI talent." 1. [Ethical stronghold: Anthropic] Rejecting government pressure, even at the risk of being designated a "supply chain risk." A "safety-first group," like the Google/OpenAI signatories, is gathering in search of conscience. 2. [The National Spear: xAI / National Defense AI] An accelerationist group that believes "technology is neutral; winning is justice" has gathered. Fueled by military funds, they are using overwhelming computing resources to dramatically advance intelligence. 3. [The Giant Caught in the Middle: Google / OpenAI] Drifting between national security pressures and employee resistance. The top management is defecting to both extremes in search of "ideological alignment," facing the risk of organizational hollowing out. ■ Conclusion AI is no longer simply a technological competition. The clash of "national ideology × corporate culture × ethics" has become the filter that determines which talent is allocated to which company. We are now at a critical crossroads where AI will either become a "tool of peace" or a "weapon of victory."
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国光宏尚 元gumi (Hiro Kunimitsu)
02-28
Anthropic vs. Trump Administration: Clashes Intensify! On the 27th, President Trump ordered an immediate halt to the use of Anthropic's AI "Claude" throughout the federal government. On the same day, Secretary of Defense Hegseth designated Anthropic as a "supply chain risk," announcing that contractors, suppliers, and partner companies dealing with the military "must not engage in any commercial activities" with Anthropic. Anthropic immediately issued an official statement strongly protesting, stating that "applying this to US companies is unprecedented and lacks legal basis" and "sets a dangerous precedent." They clearly indicated their intention to sue, stating they would "fight in court." Here's the prediction: Expert opinion on the lawsuit: There is an 80-90% probability of an injunction being issued. • Reason: USC 3252 (Supply Chain Risk Act) is originally intended for "foreign hostile companies (such as Huawei)." Expanding its interpretation to "prohibiting any commercial activities" for domestic companies is unprecedented and highly likely to be illegal. • If an injunction is issued, Hegseth's "complete ban on military business partners" will be temporarily suspended. The DoD, led by Palantir, is accelerating its rapid shift to alternative AI. Because Palantir's API platform allows switching between any model, the DoD is prioritizing the deployment of xAI's Grok into its classified network (its compatibility with the administration is excellent). On the other hand, this headwind is actually a tailwind for Anthropic. Talented individuals who dislike the Trump administration are flocking to the company as a "hero company upholding ethics," and recruitment is expected to increase significantly. Furthermore, contracts from European countries, Democratic state governments, and large anti-Trump private companies are increasing, and I believe that the reduction in defense spending can be adequately compensated for by private and international business. This is a historic battle to see how far AI companies can resist the state. It's definitely worth watching.
ANTHROPIC
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国光宏尚 元gumi (Hiro Kunimitsu)
02-27
Some surprising news. Jack Dorsey's Block is cutting 40% of its workforce, or approximately 4,000 people. The reason is "labor savings through AI." From over 10,000 to fewer than 6,000. The decision to almost halve the organization. Business performance is not bad. Revenue is flat, but profits are growing by 20-30%. Still, the company has decided to go ahead with bold restructuring. Dorsey's message is clear: AI is not just an efficiency tool, it will change the optimal size of a company. We may be entering an era in which companies that cannot optimize for AI will be eliminated. And symbolic of this is the market reaction. Following the announcement, the stock price soared 24%. The market is beginning to value "AI-based capital efficiency" over "size." In the age of AI, the "AI density of an organization" will be more important than sales growth rate. A 40% reduction at a company with 10,000 employees. This isn't a one-off precedent; it's a future many companies will face... *** Dear Shareholders: Today, we informed our team of a difficult decision: We're shrinking Block by nearly half, from over 10,000 employees to fewer than 6,000. This will result in over 4,000 people being asked to leave or being put in discussions. In this letter, I want to explain why I believe this is the right path for the company and what Block will look like going forward. 2025 was a strong year for us. Our gross revenue growth more than doubled from Q1 to Q4. In Q4, we achieved the Rule of 40, re-accelerated Cash App network growth, and deepened customer engagement. The core idea is simple: Intelligence tools have fundamentally changed what it means to build and run a company. We're already experiencing this internally. Much smaller teams can do more and do better with the tools we're building. And the capabilities of our intelligence tools are rapidly compounding and improving every week. I don't think this realization is coming soon. In fact, I believe most companies are lagging behind. I believe that within a year, the vast majority of companies will reach the same conclusion and make similar restructuring changes. We want to get there honestly and on our own terms, rather than being forced to do so reactively. We believe Block will create far greater value as a smaller, faster, and intelligent company. This is what we're all about going forward. Q4 Highlights Gross Profit: $2.87 billion (+24% YoY) Cash App Gross Profit: $1.83 billion (+33%) Square Gross Profit: $993 million (+7%) Adjusted Operating Profit: $588 million (20% of gross profit) Full-Year 2025 Highlights Gross Profit: $10.36 billion (+17% YoY)
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国光宏尚 元gumi (Hiro Kunimitsu)
02-03
Based on past performance, the growth of digital assets (Ethereum, Bitcoin) has outpaced the growth of almost all listed companies. And personally, I believe that this pattern will not change much in the future. The reason many treasury companies fail is actually very simple. They waver. When prices are rising, they say, "We're betting on digital assets," but when prices fall, they suddenly push their existing businesses, which have little growth potential, to the forefront. With that attitude, both end up being half-hearted. There is no success in being half-hearted. I would like the management teams of treasury companies to take a moment to think carefully. Does the growth potential of their business really exceed that of digital assets? If the answer is yes, they should focus on that business without hesitation. If the answer is no, they should make up their minds and focus on treasury. Trying to do both leads to wavering. And because of wavering, neither trust nor results are built up. I believe that treasury strategy is a management decision to "bet on future growth."
Hayatti.eth @ はやっち
@HayattiQ
02-03
イーサリアムという価値を最大限に信じるのがトレジャリー企業ですね。 増資した結果、Ethereumの値段が上がれば大成功 証拠金ではなく、増資という形で資金調達できるのは大きな強み。 トレジャリー企業が増えていけば、ロックされる暗号資産も増えるからクリプトにとってもメリットが多い x.com/hkunimitsu/sta…
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国光宏尚 元gumi (Hiro Kunimitsu)
01-25
This is a very interesting article! It's been suggested that the Korean film industry is on the brink of extinction. The article argues that this isn't simply a matter of poor harvests or a temporary economic downturn, but rather the result of a shift in the industry's structure itself. Five Years After the Glory of "Parasite," the Korean Film Industry is on the Brink of Extinction...Netflix's Disruptive Structure > Business Journal Just a few years after the global success of "Parasite," the number of films released in theaters has plummeted, multiplex cinemas have closed or downsized, and movie theaters are no longer a place to screen movies. With fewer audiences and fewer screening opportunities, the cycle of "making a film and recouping the revenue at theaters" is no longer viable. The underlying cause is the rise of OTT, centered around Netflix. For production companies, the Netflix model offers a "safe transaction" that ensures recoupment of production costs. Meanwhile, the IP and cap on returns have shifted to the platform, making it difficult to recoup explosive revenue even when a film is a hit. This suggestive observation suggests that the film industry has shifted to a structure where it only bears the risk of failure and loses the rewards of success. One example of this trend is the K-Pop hit Demon Hunters, which became a global hit on Netflix. What's noteworthy, more than the scale of its success, is its rights structure. While the work is a Netflix original, Netflix does not fully own the IP itself. Netflix handles distribution and global expansion, while Sony retains the long-term IP value of the characters, film adaptation, games, and music. While using Netflix as a "device for simultaneous global distribution," Sony retains control of the IP. This division of roles itself has become a new example of success in the platform era. Meanwhile, Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba demonstrated a completely different approach to "novelty." It maximized awareness and enthusiasm through television and streaming, then released a theatrical film at that peak. Moreover, the film wasn't a compilation, but a continuation of the main story. It was designed so that the story wouldn't progress unless viewers watched it. As a result, it generated box office revenues far exceeding streaming revenues, demonstrating the model of "streaming = advertising, film = revenue" in real terms. In fact, the Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba the Movie: Mugen Train grossed approximately 40.4 billion yen domestically and approximately 50 billion yen worldwide, proving that even in a streaming-centric era, theaters can be the largest revenue generators. What's interesting is that this Demon Slayer model has hardly been replicated globally. Many Netflix dramas are designed to be binge-watched at any time, which decentralizes the experience and energy. This is the exact opposite of the theatrical business, which concentrates the experience in a single point. This is why Demon Slayer is exceptional and extremely new as a business. K-Pop Demon Hunters demonstrated the novelty of "using Netflix without giving up IP," while Demon Slayer demonstrated the novelty of "turning streaming into the largest promotional device and recovering revenue in theaters." Neither is the traditional film business nor a model that Netflix completely dominates. The problem isn't that Netflix is too powerful. The film industry will only begin to thin when it becomes impossible to design the "device for delivering to the world" and the "place to recover value" separately. The success of K-Pop Demon Hunters and Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba is a good example of how to confront giant platforms. Will you use the platform or be used by it? This difference will determine what will remain even if the same hit is released 10 years from now.
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