Merkle3s Weekly Snapshot 📊 3/4
1️⃣ Core Tension: Disorderly Volatility Under Geopolitical Shock
➡️ The U.S. strike on Iran triggered a classic “panic sell-off → event confirmation rebound” rollercoaster across risk assets
➡️ BTC initially dropped sharply, then staged a rapid V-shaped recovery once the news settled
➡️ BTC likely needs more time consolidating in the lower range to allow large capital to accumulate
2️⃣ Capital Structure: Sentiment Rotation, Not Trend Repair
➡️ The recent rebound reflects position adjustments and short-term trading rather than a true return of risk appetite
➡️ Volatility remains heavily event-driven, with macro direction still unclear
➡️ The market continues to swing between fear and relief, but lacks sustained buying pressure
3️⃣ Crypto Internal Structure: AI Trading Narrative vs BNB Cooling
➡️ On #Base, DX Terminal ignited the “AI Agent automated trading” narrative, with related token $Poopcoin raising over 10,000 ETH in presale
➡️ BNB sentiment continues to weaken; CZ’s new book Freedom of Money failed to trigger the expected community hype, leading to quick pullbacks in related tokens
4️⃣ Cycle Positioning
➡️ The market is currently in a phase of “high volatility + low certainty,” rather than trend expansion
➡️ Localized narratives can still create bursts of momentum, but macro uncertainty limits sustained capital inflows
➡️ Structural repair will require time, not a single headline-driven catalyst