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memeqi
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meme记录贴 | 常亏损 | 不删帖 | 没有群 | 祝发财 👾
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memeqi
03-30
It's been a while since I've shared anything seriously, so I'll just jot down some random thoughts. If you ask me what I'm currently holding and particularly optimistic about, I'd like to start by talking about Tianyin Electromechanical (300342). First, looking at the background, SpaceX's IPO application and planned fundraising are highly likely to set a record for the world's largest IPO (on March 25th, last Wednesday, The INF reported that SpaceX plans to submit its IPO application to regulators soon, aiming for a listing in June this year, with an expected fundraising of over $75 billion). It was around that time that I discussed this with a friend and chose to buy Tianyin, around 47. Of course, Tianyin Interstellar had previously explicitly stated on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange that it has no business cooperation with SpaceX and no direct supply. The reason I chose to buy at the time was simple: I firmly believed that the aerospace industry would soon usher in a second wave, and that China's low-Earth orbit was about to experience explosive growth. 1. The news background: SpaceX's IPO will draw more attention to investment opportunities in commercial spaceflight (IPO progress news can evolve at any time). 2. The Starship test flight in April will also ignite sentiment in the aerospace sector (the first half of 2026 will see a very concentrated series of test flights). 3. Considering the domestic reusable rocket launch schedule and the possibility of breakthroughs (such as the Lijian-2 rocket, the FAA's latest flight warning and the establishment of a critical zone, DDDD, and the imminent launch of multiple low-Earth orbit satellite small-batch network deployment missions). From the news to today, the entire sector has been experiencing low-pressure fluctuations (I personally feel this is intentional suppression), maintained for nearly a week. Therefore, a catalyst is needed. And in my opinion, a miracle is coming soon. Tianyin, as the sole supplier to Qianfan, deeply tied to China's StarNet, with orders already booked until 2030... a high-quality company that successfully transformed from refrigerator components to aerospace. It can be said that whenever there is a batch launch of national-level low-Earth orbit satellites each month, the sector will inevitably move, and Tianyin will inevitably benefit. If funds start speculating on the expansion of the international satellite industry chain, Tianyin will have the greatest potential for growth. Some expectations: Aside from various test flights, other factors include: the release of the annual report and Q1 financial report in April, which will confirm whether the 2025 target has narrowed; the potential for improvement in gross profit and cash flow from the transformation; whether the new Changshu base's production capacity will be sufficient to meet subsequent large orders after it comes online in May; intensive research by various securities firms, leading to frequent research reports; confirmation of a turnaround to profitability in the 2026 interim report in June (?), shifting from speculative themes to strong performance support, allowing for valuation repair; official announcements of the launch plans for Qianfan and Xingwang, etc. These are just my humble opinions.
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memeqi
12-31
It's a rather depressing end of the year. I received two group members asking me to "borrow money" while I was sick and not feeling well these past few days. How should I put it? I feel a bit depressed. From childhood to adulthood, I have basically never borrowed money from others, nor have I lent money to others. I don't want to get involved in other people's karma. When you get through one difficulty after another, looking back, you'll find that many things have solutions. Be honest when you need to be honest, correct what needs to be corrected, and even banks need to boost their performance at the end of the year, so there's no need to bother your "friends". If the market is bad, you don't have to make a move. They could even sell their shares in a more favorable market. In December, the success rate of A-shares was basically 90%+, with the biggest winners making at least 60%+. Sometimes, there's really no need to get so hung up on the crypto. Think about when you made all that big money? Think about how you lost those so-called small amounts of money? Yes, if you set a good stop-loss, you might only lose 20%. But can your principal withstand 10 losses of 20% each time? Will my mindset change? Once you start to get anxious and impatient, after 10-20% you'll want to All In a big win, and in 80% of cases you'll lose all your principal. Stubbornly persisting in unfavorable market conditions → Repeated small stop-losses deplete capital and damage mindset → All In in anxiety → Failure. Failure is the norm. But after you fail, you shouldn't keep repeating the same mistakes over and over again. If this path is blocked, you can try another one. They never review their performance, never optimize their strategies, and always go against the trend without examining their own actions. Money earned by luck will only be lost through a lack of skill. How many so-called genius traders are there...? I'd like to share a quote from Lu Yu that I saw a couple of days ago: Whenever I feel particularly desperate, feeling like I've made another wrong move or played a terrible game, I feel like I deserve it. Because this is what I want. You know it feels good when there's no one to blame, but it doesn't feel good when you can blame your parents. I have honestly shown myself in a terrible state right now, but I have nothing to regret. I am not ashamed of anything around me. After all, this is my life, and it is my right to mess it up. Every time I think about it, I feel a particularly tragic yet exhilarating feeling. I can make plans for myself, bravely try what I want to try, and then take responsibility for my decisions and accept the consequences of these pursuits. Those who never improve throughout their lives are always complaining about others. But I have myself by my side. My biggest realization this year is: Avoid wanting everything at once; mindset is the best feng shui; and, don't talk about feelings while you're alive. Happy New Year.
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