Currently, Based is showing gains in the pre-market ahead of the TGE.
Based on Aspecta, the FDV is around 94M, while the current Poly Market is at 86% of $50M.
It looks like it will trade above 50M FDV, so I'm thinking it might be worth taking the risk to make a 15% profit.
Oh, by the way, of course, I have never used prediction markets like Poly Market and have no intention of using them.