#The Bull is Here ! BTC Breaks Above $40,000#
On December 4, BTC exceeded $40,000, setting a record high since April 28, 2022. BTC ecosystem tokens ORDI, SATS, RATS, BADGER, STX, etc. all rose, with ORDI rising by more than 70% in two days.
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Crypto Market Aggregator|币圈新闻汇总
[2/3] (TechFlow | BlockBeats | PANews | Foresight News | WuBlockchain | TechFlow(Arkham)) 2. BTC/ETH spot prices experienced abnormal fluctuations in the early morning, with a single-minute amplitude exceeding 3% at one point; the Fear & Greed Index remains at "Extreme Fear". Between 00:05 and 00:17, the price fluctuated by more than 1% per minute multiple times (some exceeding 3%), with a short-term surge in trading volume. Market speculation suggests this may be related to malfunctions in the grid trading strategies of some market makers; the index reached 7 (“Extreme Panic”). Meanwhile, data indicates that ETH 24-hour contract trading volume on Bybit reached $21.58 billion, a year-on-year increase of 354.01%. (TechFlow | PANews | Foresight News | BlockBeats | Foresight News) 3. Bitwise advisor Jeff Park refuted the rumor of "removal of IBIT options position limits": The IBIT cap remains at 250,000 units. He stated that the rumor is untrue and that the proposed adjustment is to increase the cap for FBTC, ARKB, HODL, and Ethereum ETF from 25,000 units to 250,000 units to achieve fairness. He also believes that the recent selling pressure is more likely from non-directional "paper funds" such as TradeFi risk de-trading and derivatives hedging/market making, which can be verified through OCC data. (TechFlow | Foresight News | BlockBeats | Odaily) 4. ETH/BTC On-Chain Fund Movements: Suspected institutional purchase of 20,000 ETH; new address withdraws 1,546 BTC; multiple whale purchases/withdrawals of ETH. On-chain tracking shows that a new wallet, suspected to be BitMine, transferred 20,000 ETH (approximately $41.67 million to $41.98 million) from Kraken; another newly created address withdrew 1,546 BTC (approximately $106.68 million) from Binance. Meanwhile, a whale was observed withdrawing 60,784 ETH (approximately $126 million) from Binance within 30 hours, and another address increased its holdings by 53,544.2 ETH (at an average price of approximately $2,074.4) in 24 hours, accumulating a total of 63,784.8 ETH since February 1st. (BlockBeats | TechFlow | PANews | Odaily | TechFlow | BlockBeats | Foresight News | TechFlow) 5. Macroeconomic/Interest Rate Expectations (CME): 23.2% probability of a 25bp rate cut by the FOMC in March; 32.5% probability of a cumulative 50bp rate cut throughout the year by the end of 2026. In addition, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points throughout the year is 25.9%; the probability of no further interest rate cuts is 5.4%. (BlockBeats | Cointelegraph) 6. Bitcoin mining: Difficulty decreased by 11.16% to 125.86T, the largest single decrease since the summer of 2021. Block height 935,424, difficulty decreased by 11.16%; the average hashrate over the past 7 days is 990.08 EH/s, and the total hashrate has decreased by about 20% over the past month. (BlockBeats | Foresight News | Odaily) 7. Institutions and Opinions: Coinbase CEO emphasizes long-term bullishness; CoinDesk believes the pullback is more like a "sharp but short-lived" correction; Arthur Hayes opposes "conspiracy theories". Brian Armstrong stated that the sharp fluctuations do not change his long-term view and believes that crypto is rapidly "eating up the financial services industry." CoinDesk analysts believe that BTC's nearly 50% pullback from its highs is more like a historically "sharp but short-lived" correction, possibly related to misinterpreting Fed signals, margin calls, and profit-taking. Arthur Hayes stated that the recent crash was not a secret conspiracy, and that derivatives do not create volatility but only amplify it in both directions, and that the lack of government bailouts will help clear excessive leverage more quickly. (BlockBeats | Odaily | PANews | TechFlow | BlockBeats) 8. Forward Industries (FWDI) announced it will increase its stake in SOL "without leverage or debt" and plans to integrate other SOL financial companies.
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3.98%
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머니스택 공지방 - Season 1
2/ Stacks Key Plan for 2026 Stax recently released its 26-year plan, outlining key milestones for the next 26 years. Here are my thoughts: A. Self-Custodial Bitcoin Staking Stax's biggest initiative is allowing users to stake Bitcoin directly on the L1 platform. Currently, institutions, wealthy individuals, DAT companies, and even some ETFs would love to use a secure, profitable platform for BTC, but bridging to L2 and transferring ownership are too risky for them. Therefore, the idea is to allow them to directly own and stake BTC on the L1 platform, thereby attracting more BTC to Stacks. There will definitely be demand for this. But what I want isn't for institutions to just sit back and collect interest while holding their BTC. They need to directly contribute funds, provide LP, and otherwise contribute to liquidity. That's how I envision BTCFi. I don't want them to just sit back and receive money. I think the current narrative of self-custody activating the ecosystem "for some reason" is missing that part. B. Bitcoin Unbolt If you deposit sBTC into Hermetica with one click, Hermetica will issue a token called hBTC using that sBTC as collateral, and you can use it in various Stacks DeFi applications to generate yield. This is my ideal scenario. I believe B should do better than A. I support Hermetica because I believe they're working hard. C. Collaboration with Bitcoin DAT This is an extension of A. Zest founder Tyco's plan to create a Bitcoin DAT in Europe is likely part of this plan. They say they want to attract many Bitcoin DAT companies based on A. D. Introduction of USDCx This has given Stacks a native stablecoin. It's much better than something like aeUSDC. I have a question about this. The reason we wanted a Tier 1 stablecoin was that it needed to be easy to move between exchanges and on-chain, but USDCx doesn't offer that convenience. Ultimately, bridging is required, so usability remains the same as it was during the Allbridge era. Users would only come to the on-chain platform if deposits and withdrawals were easy, but USDCx doesn't. However, I believe this has enabled MMs to perform USDCx <> STX MMs. What aeUSDC couldn't do, USDCx can do. Recently, USDCx was issued in M units on the Stacks network, and I think it could help increase on-chain liquidity. E. Bitcoin AI Agent This initiative, like AIBTCDEV and x402, aims to create agents that directly trade sBTC for BTC. 🤔 Hmm... There aren't any on-chain users, so how can there be AI agents that use BTC? I think there's a long way to go. With users leaving in the first place, why bother developing a product? Looking at Stacks' track record, I think the chances of success are very low... haha F. Private Self-Custody Still, I think this is something worth looking forward to. It allows institutions and individuals to privately manage and transfer Bitcoin. I think this could be a feature that truly empowers those holding Bitcoin in the dark. I also think there's significant demand for the ability to move Bitcoin while protecting sensitive information. The recent Railgun and zCash trends are similar, aren't they? However, I haven't seen any documentation on this technology yet, and I don't understand the concept, so I guess I'll have to wait for the details to be released. If we organize these six factors, will we actually get 1 billion users to Bitcoin, as Munipp said? To reach 1 billion users, we absolutely need to listen to the voices of users. 🤔 See the full original text below! www.stacks.co/blog/stacks-big-...
BTC
2.31%
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머니스택 공지방 - Season 1
1/ Network Outage Due to STX Reorg & Valor Exploit I've received inquiries about the sudden suspension of Stacks deposits and withdrawals over the weekend, so I'm writing this after a long time. 1. Deposit/Withdrawal Outage This network outage is caused by a phenomenon called "reorg," which frequently occurs on the Bitcoin network. In a PoW network, many computers perform calculations to generate a block, and the person who finds the result has the authority to record it in another block. Generally, due to the difficulty of computation, it's rare for this task to be completed simultaneously. However, sometimes, multiple miners create new blocks simultaneously, resulting in simultaneous block generation. When this happens, the chain that created the longer block is recognized as the authentic transaction, and the new chain becomes the standard. In this case, transactions recorded on the shorter chain only have to wait a little longer to be included in a block again, so general users don't experience significant inconvenience. In the case of Stacks, since it's based on Bitcoin, transactions occurring on the Stacks network must be organized and anchored to a Bitcoin block. If there are two such blocks, the Stacks network will also experience problems. In fact, this reorg phenomenon is one of the root causes of all evil when trying to build something based on Bitcoin. I saw that information regarding reorg responses was added after the Stacks hard fork, but we need to investigate the reason for the network downtime this time. Still, it shouldn't be a major issue, and the network explorer shows it's returning to normal, so deposits and withdrawals should resume soon. 2. The Valor Exploit About four days ago, an attack exploited a vulnerability in the Valor PerpDEX LP, gradually stealing LP. I remember the Stacks Foundation investing around 1 million in the Valor PerpDEX LP shortly after its launch. The damage wasn't significant, at around 673k, but it could be significant for Stacks. The Stacks Fund reportedly recovered approximately 6% of the supply provided to the Velar Foundation. In short, it wasn't a case of keys being stolen. Instead, it was a Stacks-based Python oracle that referenced the last trade price to determine a reasonable price. However, since trading was usually insignificant, there was a significant gap in these price updates, and they gradually deducted funds based on this. Ultimately, due to a lack of liquidity, no one traded, resulting in the exploitation of the foundation's funds. This is also true... Still, when Velar PerfDex first launched, it was quite popular, but without initial liquidity support, trading became difficult. This led to a vicious cycle where even those who had been curious about the platform withdrew, and trading became even less frequent. While Velar PerfDex was effectively closed for business, international tweets circulated, saying, "What on earth is the foundation even supporting a dApp? Development is so hard." Public opinion formed, saying things like, "I'm leaving the ecosystem," and only after that did the foundation deploy liquidity to Valor. If we think about it, if they had provided liquidity support in advance, people would have traded, and the oracle wouldn't have had such a large gap. If the foundation had been providing support anyway, it only said after the incident, "It won't affect our 26-year plan, but we'll consider it when distributing our funds to DeFi in the future." It's just frustrating. If they're going to claim Clarity is predictable and safe, how many more failures will have to occur before it's truly trustworthy and usable? I don't have the strength to say anything about this, and anyway, I think both of the above issues are minor issues in the grand scheme of things. While I'm at the keyboard today, I'd like to briefly review Stacks' 26-year plan. x.com/StacksEndowment/status/2...
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