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<h3>Fireline Report</h3>
<p>ZEC, a privacy coin, saw 1 million ZEC flow into an anonymity pool within three weeks, sending its price quintupling to $277, nearing its all-time high. DASH also followed suit. Bullish sentiment in the community has led to some cashing out.</p>
<h3>Trading Guide</h3>
<p>In the short term, you can be aggressive in long ZEC with a light position in the 245-230 range, with a stop loss at 229.5 and a target of 342. You can increase your position if it breaks through 270 and sell it as T on the rebound. If it falls back to 206-197, try the order again. There is a clear inflow of funds in the intraday trading, and quick entry and exit are the main strategies. If you are in a trend-based market, you can hold it until Q4 to realize the 4x target. Heavy positions need to follow the leverage rhythm of the whale<span class="source"><a href="fx://followin.io/Feed?id=20940666"><img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/user/73abb58a3834e312f761dc0105850d6a.jpg" width="20" height="20" /></a><a href="fx://followin.io/Feed?id=20938650"><img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/user/f286ee439d5730cafeacbc22dd54bc44.jpg" width="20" height="20" /></a><a href="fx://followin.io/Feed?id=20937608"><img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/user/73abb58a3834e312f761dc0105850d6a.jpg" width="20" height="20" /></a></span>.DASH recommends a tentative long in the 23.5-22.5 range, with a stop loss at 19.75. If it breaks through with large volume, you can gradually increase your position. It is suitable for mid-term holding. For short-term aggressive holdings, you can increase your position and enter and exit quickly<span class="source"><a href="fx://followin.io/Feed?id=20934834"><img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/user/b67f02f069b4c149e0b90b00abec034c.jpg" width="20" height="20" /></a><a href="fx://followin.io/Feed?id=20933204"><img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/user/f286ee439d5730cafeacbc22dd54bc44.jpg" width="20" height="20" /></a><a href="fx://followin.io/Feed?id=20931606"><img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/user/b67f02f069b4c149e0b90b00abec034c.jpg" width="20" height="20" /></a></span>.</p>
<p style="margin-top: 20px; text-align: left; opacity: 0.4; padding: 0 42px"><small>Updated at 10-21 06:20</small><br><small>AI-generated summary, not investment advice</small></p></div>

<h1>Privacy Coin Concept Analysis: Can ZEC and DASH Continue Their Rise?</h1><h2> Core Viewpoint</h2><p> <strong>The probability of ZEC breaking through the historical high</strong> : 60%, target $300 <strong>The probability of DASH continuing to rise</strong> : 70%, target $53-70 <strong>The overall concept of privacy</strong> : short-term bullish, medium-term regulatory risks need to be cautious</p><h2> Current performance data</h2><h3> Price performance comparison</h3><table><thead><tr><th> Tokens</th><th> Current Price</th><th> 30-day increase</th><th> 24h changes</th><th> Market capitalization</th><th> 24h trading volume</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td> ZEC</td><td> $268.18</td><td> +446%</td><td> +11.13%</td><td> $4.37 billion</td><td> $737 million</td></tr><tr><td> DASH</td><td> $47.81</td><td> +109%</td><td> +11.29%</td><td> $594 million</td><td> $215 million</td></tr></tbody></table><p> ZEC surged from around $50 in September to $268, hitting a four-year high and approaching its all-time high of $297. <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/dinosaur-coins-season-why-are-zcash-dash-biggest-rebounds">DASH</a> also performed strongly, rising from $23 to $48, successfully breaking through <a href="https://www.coinbase.com/price/zcash">its</a> 968-day downward trend line.</p><h2> Technical Analysis Outlook</h2><h3> ZEC Technical Analysis</h3><p> <strong>Multi-timeframe signals</strong> :</p><ul><li> <strong>4-hour</strong> chart: RSI 65.3 (neutral to bullish), MACD positive, price around the upper Bollinger Band of $273</li><li> <strong>Daily</strong> : RSI 69.7 (close to overbought), price well above all moving averages, ADX 52.2 indicates a strong trend.</li><li> <strong>Weekly</strong> : RSI 85.6 (severely overbought), MACD strongly bullish, but there is a risk of a pullback</li></ul><p> <strong>Key points</strong> :</p><ul><li> <strong>Support</strong> : $262 (strong support, liquidation cluster $0.26M), $257 (minor support)</li><li> <strong>Resistance</strong> : $273 (upper Bollinger band for 4 hours), $280-300 (target range)</li></ul><h3> DASH Technical Analysis</h3><p> <strong>Technical indicators are more balanced</strong> :</p><ul><li> RSI daily line 65.5 (healthy bullish range), weekly line 68.2 (slightly overbought)</li><li> MACD positive on all time frames, no divergence signals</li><li> The price breaks through all key moving averages, and the trend is established.</li></ul><p> <strong>Trade setup</strong> : 70% probability of upside, target $53, stop loss $45 </p><p><reference tool_id="call_58320277" category="heatmap" project="ZEC" description="ZEC OI USD and 24h change percent by exchange at 2025-10-21 01:36 UTC"/></p><p><reference tool_id="call_88210015" category="mix_bar_line_liquidation" project="ZEC" description="ZEC liquidation risk map by price level and exchange (1d period) at 2025-10-21 01:36 UTC"/></p><h2> Fundamental drivers</h2><h3> Institutional capital inflows</h3><p> <strong>Strong institutional demand for ZEC</strong> :</p><ul><li> Grayscale ZEC Trust saw an additional $46 million in inflows in October</li><li> Futures open interest is $170 million, up 25% week-over-week.</li><li> Privacy addresses hold 4.4 million ZEC (26% of total supply)</li></ul><p> <strong>DASH Whale Activity</strong> :</p><ul><li> The top 100 addresses hold 36% of the supply (up from 25% at the beginning of the year)</li><li> Masternodes lock up 7 million DASH (37% of the circulating supply)</li><li> Network activity continues to grow, with governance transactions increasing by 10-15%.</li></ul><h3> Privacy narrative resurrected</h3><p> The privacy coin sector is expected to rise by 71.6% by 2025, surpassing Bitcoin (+45%) and Ethereum (+32%). Key drivers include:</p><ul><li> <strong>Regulatory hedging needs</strong> : KOLs such as Naval Ravikant position ZEC as &quot;regulatory insurance&quot;</li><li> <strong>Technology Upgrade</strong> : ZK-SNARKs and Quantum Resistance Improvement</li><li> <strong>Payment practicality</strong> : DASH’s instant send and private send features gain recognition</li></ul><p> <a href="https://phemex.com/news/article/privacy-coins-zcash-dash-and-railgun-show-strong-gains-28080">phemex</a> <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/privacy-coins-quietly-outperform-bitcoin-090023767.html">finance.yahoo.com</a></p><h2> Community sentiment analysis</h2><h3> Market narrative strength</h3><p> Community discussions centered around the &quot;privacy track,&quot; emphasizing the importance of digital financial sovereignty. ZEC gained recognition thanks <a href="https://x.com/BTCTN/status/1975203138220012005">to</a> its zk-SNARKs technology, while DASH garnered attention <a href="https://x.com/CoinMarketCap/status/1976619492211134848">for</a> its hybrid privacy model.</p><h3> KOL Opinion</h3><p> Analysts are generally bullish on ZEC&#39;s technical setup, believing it could reach new highs after consolidation. DASH&#39;s breakout from a multi-year downtrend is seen as a sector rotation signal. Overall sentiment is more cautious but resolute than the broader market.</p><h2> Risk factor assessment</h2><h3> Technical risks</h3><ul><li> <strong>ZEC is at risk of overbought</strong> : Weekly RSI at 85.6, suggesting a 20% pullback.</li><li> <strong>Leverage risk</strong> : ZEC holdings are $170 million, and fluctuations in funding rates could trigger liquidations </li></ul><p><reference tool_id="call_30248384" category="heatmap" project="DASH" description="DASH OI USD and 24h change percent by exchange at 2025-10-21 01:36 UTC"/></p><h3> Regulatory threats</h3><ul><li> EU AML regulations take effect in 2027 and may ban anonymous tokens</li><li> Multiple exchanges have delisted XMR, putting privacy coins under pressure to comply with regulations.</li><li> US policy shift may ease, but uncertainty remains</li></ul><h3> Market structure risks</h3><ul><li> Active address growth is limited, mainly driven by speculation</li><li> Whale holdings are highly concentrated, posing a risk of sell-offs</li><li> The nature of sector rotation is questionable in terms of sustainability</li></ul><h2> Price Targets and Probabilities</h2><h3> ZEC Outlook</h3><ul><li> <strong>Bullish target</strong> : $300-320 (analyst consensus)</li><li> <strong>Probability assessment</strong> : 60% (based on technical analysis and capital flow)</li><li> <strong>Risk scenario</strong> : pullback to $200-230 range</li></ul><h3> DASH Outlook</h3><ul><li> <strong>Bullish target</strong> : $70-100 (expected by the end of the year)</li><li> <strong>Probability assessment</strong> : 70% (more balanced technically)</li><li> <strong>Support level</strong> : $44-45 key support </li></ul><p><reference tool_id="call_60862084" category="mix_bar_line_liquidation" project="DASH" description="DASH liquidation risk map by price level and exchange (1d period) at 2025-10-21 01:36 UTC"/></p><h2> in conclusion</h2><p> <strong>Short-term (1-2 weeks)</strong> : Privacy-focused cryptocurrencies still have room to rise, with ZEC targeting $300 and DASH targeting $53-70. Institutional capital inflows and technical breakthroughs are supporting the upward trend.</p><p> <strong>Medium-term (1-3 months)</strong> : Focus on regulatory risks and overbought technical indicators. ZEC&#39;s extreme overbought state increases the probability of a pullback, while DASH is relatively more stable.</p><p> <strong>Investment advice</strong> :</p><ul><li> Aggressive investors can participate in ZEC&#39;s momentum trade as it breaks through $273</li><li> Conservative investors can focus on DASH&#39;s relative value opportunities</li><li> Strictly set stop-loss, privacy concept has high volatility characteristics</li></ul><p> The &quot;second spring&quot; of privacy coins has arrived, but it needs to find a balance between narrative hype and fundamental realities. <a href="https://www.ccn.com/analysis/crypto/dash-coin-price-past-downtrend-privacy-coins-hype/">ccn.com</a> <a href="https://www.ainvest.com/news/3-privacy-coins-watch-october-zcash-dash-monero-2510/">ainvest.com</a></p>
