How far is BNB from reaching a new high? An analysis of the effects of listing on Coinbase and Robinhood
Key Points
BNB is currently trading at $1,083, with 21% upside potential from its all-time high of $1,370. Technical indicators suggest short-term upward momentum, but a break above key resistance levels is needed to reach new highs.
Coin Listing Event Review
On October 22, 2025, Coinbase and Robinhood announced support for BNB trading on the same day, a rare instance of competitors acting in tandem in the history of cryptocurrencies . This move provides BNB with access to approximately 40-60 million US users , significantly expanding its liquidity base.
| Exchange | User base | Expected new BNB traders | Online time |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robinhood | 27 million capital users | 5-10 million | Available on October 22 |
| Coinbase | 120 million registered users | 20-40 million | Announced on October 22, it will be launched after liquidity is met |
Technical analysis: Breakout path
Key price analysis
| type | Price | strength | Basic basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Price | $1,083 | - | Up 1.49% in 24 hours |
| Near-term resistance | $1,114 | powerful | Multiple SMA Convergence Point |
| Medium-term resistance | $1,167 | middle | Daily Bollinger Band Middle Track |
| historical highs | $1,370 | Very strong | On October 13, 2025, |
Multi-Time Frame Technical Signals
- 1-hour : 🟢 Bullish (RSI 55, MACD Golden Cross)
- 4 hours : 🟡 Neutral (RSI 46, weakening momentum)
- Daily : 🔴 Weak (RSI 47, MACD death cross, but still above SMA50)
Conditions required to break through new highs :
- Breaking through the $1,114 resistance level and holding steady
- 4-hour and daily RSI break through 50
- Trading volume is amplified (currently $2.4 billion in 24 hours)
Fundamental support analysis
BNB Chain ecosystem sees strong growth
| index | October data | Month-on-month growth | illustrate |
|---|---|---|---|
| TVL | $16.44B | +8% WoW | The value of ecological lock-up continues to grow |
| Daily active users | 4.2 million | +33% QoQ | The highest user activity in the entire chain |
| Daily trading volume | 9.9 million transactions | +102% QoQ | After Maxwell upgrade, TPS increased to 367 |
| DEX trading volume | $3.3 billion/day | +45% QoQ | PancakeSwap accounts for 85% of the market share |
Deflation mechanism continues to exert force
- Q3 destruction : 1.77 million BNB (worth $1.16 billion)
- Annualized deflation rate : 4.5%, supply constant at 139 million
- Staking income : 2.74 million BNB staked ($2.85 billion value), APY 2.74%
Market sentiment and expectations
Community Forecast Summary
The mainstream view is that BNB is expected to reach $2,000 by the end of 2025. The main driving factors include:
- Expanded access to the US market - a more friendly regulatory environment
- Ecosystem applications explode – DeFi, games, and AI applications grow
- Institutional adoption accelerates - CEA Industries and other large investors increase holdings
Historical comparison: The effect of listing on large exchanges
Based on historical data, the performance patterns of top tokens after listing on major exchanges are as follows:
- Short-term : 5-15% increase (already digested)
- Medium term : 20-50% sustained growth (1-3 months)
- Long term : Structural growth driven by ecological value
Risk factors
- Technical risk : The key resistance of $1,114 needs to be broken, otherwise a pullback to the support of $1,048 is possible.
- Market environment : Impact of overall crypto market volatility
- Liquidity risk : Concentrated holdings by large investors (top 100 addresses hold 60%)
Conclusion and Path Prediction
It is still 21% away from the new high , with a price range of about $287 .
Expected path :
- Short-term (1-2 weeks): Consolidation in the $1,050-1,120 range to digest the positive news of the listing.
- Medium-term (1-3 months): With the influx of US users, it will break through $1,200 and challenge the historical high.
- Long-term (before the end of the year): Based on ecological growth and deflation mechanism, the target is $2,000
Success Probability Assessment : Based on a comprehensive analysis of technical factors, fundamentals, and market sentiment, the probability of BNB reaching a new high in the next 3-6 months is approximately 70% , which mainly depends on the overall market environment and the pace of ecosystem development.