Analysis of the WLFI team's transfer to Binance: Market performance after the funding round
Key points
On December 1, 2025, the WLFI team deposited 73.16 million WLFI tokens (worth $11.11 million) into Binance. Within 24-48 hours of the transfer, the price rose by 6-8%, and trading volume surged by as much as 30%. The project's funding is essentially complete (totaling $715 million), but the price movement shows a short-term rebound followed by a decline; the medium-term trend remains to be seen.
Details of the transfer event
On-chain data confirmation
Key information about the transfer :
- Time : 17:00 UTC, December 1, 2025
- Wallet address :
DHf6RvqxovvFcioBvzwKjLkhcXVcfb8TqnCEwgsAVM8m(Solana Chain) - Token quantity : 73.16 million WLFI
- Value in US dollars : $11.11 million (approximately $0.1518 per unit at the time of transfer)
- Recipient : Binance exchange deposit address
The WLFI team's associated wallet received two large inflows before the transfer: 40 million WLFI and 33.16 million WLFI, which were subsequently transferred to Binance in total, amounting to 73.16 million WLFI. (x.com lookonchain)
Supply Impact : This transfer represents 0.073% of the total WLFI supply (100 billion), a relatively small percentage. The transfer moves tokens from team control to exchanges, potentially increasing the tradable supply in the circulating supply.
Financing situation
Financing history
Total funding : US$715 million, spread across multiple funding rounds.
| Funding rounds | Amount | time | Investors |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICO | $550 million | January 30, 2025 | Public sale (85,000+ participants) |
| Undisclosed rounds | $100 million | June 26, 2025 | not disclosed |
| Undisclosed rounds | $30 million | November 25, 2024 | TRON Foundation / Justin Sun |
| Pre-sale | $25 million | April 16, 2025 | DWF Labs, etc. |
| Undisclosed rounds | $10 million | January 27, 2025 | Web3Port |
Financing completion status :
- The ICO public sale was completed on March 14, 2025, raising $550 million.
- 25% of the total supply (25 billion tokens) was sold.
- More than 85,000 KYC verification participants
- WLFI Lockbox launched on September 1, 2025, with management token unlocking.
Token Allocation and Unlocking
Total supply : 100 billion WLFI
| Assignment Category | Quantity (hundred million) | percentage | state |
|---|---|---|---|
| Community growth/incentives | 200 | 40.54% | Allocated |
| Alt5 Sigma Corp | 155.7 | 31.55% | Allocated |
| Team/Consultant | 335.1 | 33.51% | TBD (To be determined) |
| Treasury | 199.6 | 19.96% | TBD (To be determined) |
| Public sale | 80.1 | 16.23% | Completed |
| Liquidity | 57.6 | 11.68% | Allocated |
Unlock the timeline :
- September 1, 2025 TGE: 24.67 billion WLFI unlocked (approximately 25% of total supply)
- No new unlocking plans in December
- Circulating supply: 26.73-27.24 billion WLFI (approximately 27% of total supply)
Market Performance Analysis
Price trend
Current market data (as of 02:01 UTC on December 3, 2025):
- Price : $0.1604
- 24-hour increase : +6.44%
- 7-day change : -4.14%
- Market capitalization : $4.29-4.39 billion
- FDV : US$15.98-16.04 billion
- 24-hour trading volume : $163.4 million (down 56.75% from the previous 24 hours)
Price reaction after transfer :
| Time window | Price changes | Changes in trading volume |
|---|---|---|
| When transferring money on December 1st | +8.16% | +30.32% |
| 24 hours later | +5.08% to +6.44% | After reaching a high, it fell back. |
| 48 hours later | +6% to +8% (cumulative) | -56.75% |
On December 1st, the Binance WLFI/USDT trading pair saw a significant price surge, rising 8.16%, while trading volume increased by 30.32%. (x.com )
Historical price reference :
- ICO price : approximately $0.015 (ROI: 10.65x)
- Listing price (September 1, 2025): $0.28
- All-time high : $0.331 (September 1, 2025)
- Current relative to ATH : -51.4%
Derivatives data
Position distribution (as of 02:03 UTC on December 3, 2025):
Recent Important Events
Project Updates
Large-scale buyback on November 26 : WLFI repurchased a total of 66.36 million WLFI tokens within 7 hours, worth approximately $10.92 million. This buyback occurred 5 days before the team's transfer to Binance. (cointech2u)
Portfolio :
- Total assets of $340 million, distributed across 11 asset classes.
- Holding 59,265 ETH (approximately $182 million)
- Unrealized loss of $115 million (mainly from ETH).
- Recent purchases: $2 million AVAX and $2 million MNT
Compliance Risk : Alt5 Sigma Corp (holding a 31.55% stake in WLFI) was listed as non-compliant with Nasdaq listing requirements on December 2, 2025, due to its delayed filing of its Q3 2025 quarterly report (10-Q). ( Forbes )
Market Analysis
Technical Analysis
Some analysts believe that WLFI is breaking out of its downward channel and may experience a parabolic rise.
- Target 1 : $0.25
- Target 2 : $0.35
- Potential target : $0.50+
- Support levels : $0.140-$0.155
However, it's important to note that historical data shows Cumberland and related wallets depositing funds into Binance at short-term price peaks has raised concerns about market manipulation. For example, Cumberland deposited 7 million WLFI (approximately $1.17 million) into Binance on November 26th, coinciding with a short-term price high, and currently still holds approximately 7.585 million WLFI. (x.com )
Trend Assessment
Short-term (1-3 days) :
- ✅ Positive: Prices rise 6-8% within 24-48 hours after the transfer, with trading volume increasing initially.
- ⚠️ Risk: A rapid drop in trading volume of 56.75% indicates insufficient buying momentum.
- 📊 Signal: After a short-term rebound, the market is entering a consolidation phase.
Mid-term (weeks 1-4) :
- 🔄 Neutral to Cautious: A 4.14% drop over 7 days indicates that medium-term pressure remains.
- 📉 Pressure factors: Team transfers may increase expected selling pressure, and the circulating supply is increasing.
- 🎯 Key support level: $0.140-$0.155 range
- 📈 Breakthrough Target: Need to regain a foothold above $0.25
Social Emotions
Discussions about this money transfer incident on social media were extremely limited, with no large-scale community discussions or in-depth KOL analysis detected. The prevailing sentiment was:
- A superficial optimism regarding WLFI's collaboration with projects like Aster
- Lack of substantive analysis of the impact of the transfer event
- No clear bullish or bearish consensus has been formed.
in conclusion
The transfer event has been confirmed : the WLFI team deposited 73.16 million WLFI (US$11.11 million) into Binance on December 1st. The event is authentic and credible.
Short-term trend changes : There was a short-term positive reaction after the transfer, with the price rising by 6-8% within 24-48 hours and the trading volume surging by 30% at one point. However, the trading volume then quickly fell back by more than 50%, indicating that the rebound momentum was limited.
Impact of Fundraising Completion : The project's fundraising is largely complete (totaling $715 million, with $550 million raised through the ICO), but the price performance is still 43% lower than the ICO listing price ($0.28) and 51% lower than the all-time high ($0.331). Token unlocking and team transfers following the fundraising completion may put medium-term pressure on the price.
Trend Assessment : The current pattern is a consolidation after a short-term technical rebound. Whether a sustained upward trend can form depends on confirmation of a breakout above $0.25 and a continued increase in trading volume. In the medium term, Alt5 Sigma compliance risks, expectations of large-scale position transfers, and the macroeconomic market environment will be key influencing factors.