Analysis of the BIBI token CMC listing and the 7-day window game
TL;DR
BIBI officially listed on CoinMarketCap on December 3, 2025 at 16:13 UTC. Within 24 hours of listing, it surged by 388%-410%, with trading volume soaring to $28 million. The "7-day window" refers to the golden period for speculative trading after a new coin, CMC, is listed, typically characterized by unusually high returns accompanied by high volatility. Currently, BIBI has retraced 20.8% from ATH. On-chain data shows a high degree of token dispersion, but social media warnings of potential manipulation have emerged. This token is a purely speculative meme coin with no official affiliation to Binance; investors should be wary of the high risks.
Core Analysis
CMC Launch Confirmation and Token Information
Release date : December 3, 2025, 16:13 UTC, approximately 35 hours ago.
Token fundamentals :
- Token symbol : BIBI
- Blockchain : BNB Smart Chain (BEP20)
- Contract address :
0x9212cF1f9f4A9c69Bb010146Ba5b0725169D4444 - Total supply : 1 billion
- Circulating supply : 1 billion coins (100% in circulation)
- Token type : Meme token (BNB Chain ecosystem, Four.Meme ecosystem)
- CMC Ranking : #3627
- Project launch date : August 26, 2025
Important Notice : Binance issued a statement on November 29, 2025, clarifying that BIBI shares the same name as Binance AI Assistant but has no official affiliation with it and is a non-official token created spontaneously by the community.
Market performance data
| index | numerical values | Timestamp (UTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $0.009947 | 2025-12-04 02:58 |
| All-time high price (ATH) | $0.012559 | 2025-12-03 (Launch Date) |
| ATH pullback range | -20.80% | current |
| 24-hour increase | +388.58% - +410.82% | 2025-12-04 |
| 7-day increase | +246.05% | 2025-12-04 |
| Fully Diluted Value (FDV) | $9.94 million | 2025-12-04 |
| 24-hour trading volume | $28.07 million | 2025-12-04 |
| 24-hour price range | $0.001723 - $0.012559 | 2025-12-03 to 04 |
Key observation : CMC reached its ATH on the day of its listing, and then entered a period of adjustment, which is typical of the volatility patterns after a new coin listing. The 24-hour trading volume surged by 3,733% compared to the previous day, indicating extreme speculative activity.
The meaning and speculative dynamics of the "7-day window"
Definition and Mechanism : The "7-day window" refers to the first 7 days of speculative trading after a token is listed on CoinMarketCap. This concept originates from the event research and analysis framework (-3 to +3 days before and after listing). As the world's largest market tracking platform, CMC significantly increases the visibility of new tokens after listing, triggering an influx of retail funds, similar to the cross-platform listing effect of exchanges.
Historical patterns (based on 2021 academic research) :
- On launch day : Average abnormal return +6.51%, trading volume surged 658%.
- Cumulative returns for the first 7 days : Average +9.97%
- Two to three days after launch : A pullback is expected, averaging -1.4% to -2.34%.
- Meme coin characteristics : Low market capitalization, low liquidity; larger pump magnitude, but also higher dump risk.
BIBI window progress :
- Day 1 (December 3) : CMC went live, and the price surged to ATH $0.012559 (+410%), with a trading volume of $28.07 million.
- Day 2 (December 4th as of now) : Pulled back to $0.00995 (-20.8%), with trading volume remaining high.
- Remaining window : 5 days (until December 10th), high volatility expected to continue.
- Typical strategy : Buy 1-3 days before listing, sell from listing date to +1 day, to avoid selling pressure on +2 to +3 days.
On-chain data analysis
Cryptocurrency holdings distribution (degree of decentralization) :
| Ranking | address | Holding | percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top 1 | 0xb250...ab67 (PancakeSwap V2 pool) | 32.53 million | 3.25% |
| Top 2 | 0x4b0f...a644 | 28.27 million | 2.83% |
| Top 3 | 0xe08e...3f01 | 16.59 million | 1.66% |
| Top 19 | 0x4982...89cb (MEXC hot wallet) | 8.19 million | 0.82% |
| Top 25 Total | - | Approximately 250 million | 25% |
Key findings : There is no single dominant whale(the largest holder is only 3.25%), and the distribution is relatively dispersed, reducing the risk of single-point manipulation, but the top 25 still control 1/4 of the supply.
Liquidity and Trading Activity :
- Main DEX : PancakeSwap V2 (BIBI/WBNB pool)
- Pool liquidity : $622,743 (32.24 million BIBI + 340.38 WBNB)
- 24-hour trading volume : $17.03 million, net buying $166,800.
- 24-hour on-chain transaction count : 42,214
- CEX listings : MEXC (already listed), BitMart, LBank (spot and futures).
Timeline of the surge in activity :
| date | event | On-chain performance |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | BitMart lists BIBI/USDT | Start accumulating |
| 2025-12-03 | CMC officially launched + LBank contracts launched | Price +410%, trading volume +3,733%, reaching ATH |
| 2025-12-04 | Day 2 of the window | Maintaining a daily trading volume of $28 million, with over 42,000 transactions. |
Social sentiment analysis
Overall polarity : Mixed emotions, oscillating between speculative excitement and risk warning.
Key influencer perspectives :
| source | position | Key points | Credibility assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| @gem_detecter | Bullish but cautionary | It is emphasized that the 7-day window overlaps with Binance Blockchain Week, and it is recommended to enter and exit quickly; missing the early window carries high risk. | Medium - Provides event association logic |
| @MoneyLord | Neutral to cautious | The author describes the approach as a small-position, speculative gamble, emphasizing a binary outcome (pump or rug) and discouraging heavy positions. | High-level honest risk awareness |
| @deg_ape | Suspect | Questioning the feasibility of Binance's adoption, and linking it to former CEO CZ's "crime season" of historical manipulation. | The comparison between medium and historical periods is reasonable. |
| @stygianbroker | Bearish warning | The report points to the "ape"-like accumulation behavior of on-chain wallets, implying a coordinated manipulation scheme by "crime pump". | High-level observation based on on-chain data |
| @sapphycrypto | Bullish speculation | Binance was urged to change its profile picture to the BIBI mascot, citing a surge in engagement to support its narrative. | Low-level, pure community hype with no substance |
Narrative theme :
- Binance mascot association : The community is using the fact that BIBI shares the same name as Binance's mascot for publicity, but Binance has explicitly denied any connection.
- Event-driven windows : Linking the 7-day window to Binance Blockchain Week (time overlap) to create a sense of urgency.
- Manipulation Risk Warning : Several analysts have mentioned "crime pump" and coordinated market manipulation as red flag signals.
- High-risk gambling positioning : The community generally views it as a high-risk speculative product, not a value investment target.
Reddit and other platforms : No high-quality discussions were found, and mainstream crypto forums showed very little interest in BIBI, indicating that the hype was limited to a small community.
in conclusion
The listing of BIBI token CMC triggered a typical "7-day window" speculative game, and it is currently on the second day of the window. On-chain data shows that the token holdings are dispersed and the liquidity is weak ($620,000). The 3,733% surge in trading volume and the +410% price surge in 24 hours are consistent with the characteristics of a new token listing pump, but it has already pulled back 20.8% from ATH, indicating that early profit-taking has occurred.
Social sentiment is highly divided: speculators are exploiting the Binance mascot's name and the Blockchain Week event window to create FOMO, but several experienced traders have explicitly warned of on-chain coordinated manipulation ("crime pump"), and Binance has also stated that there is no connection whatsoever. Based on historical patterns, selling pressure often occurs 2-3 days after CMC's launch, and we are currently entering this risky period.
Risk Warning : BIBI is a purely speculative meme coin with no practical value. It suffers from insufficient liquidity, extreme volatility (629% daily swing), and exhibits clear pump-and-dump characteristics. With 5 days remaining in the 7-day window, continued sharp fluctuations are expected. Investors are advised to exercise extreme caution, avoid chasing highs, and if participating, strictly control position size and set stop-loss orders.
