TRUMP Token P2E Cooperation Analysis
TL;DR
On December 9, 2025, Trump and OpenLoot announced a partnership to launch the "Trump Billionaires Club" P2E game, establishing a $1 million Trump reward pool and an NFT reward mechanism. The actual price increase was only 3-5%, not the 20% mentioned by users . Market reaction was lukewarm, social media buzz was extremely low, and on-chain data showed no trading activity during that period, indicating that the partnership had a limited impact on price.
Core Analysis
Cooperation Details
Announcement time : December 9, 2025, 18:22 UTC
Game mechanics :
- Trump Billionaires Club Mobile/Web P2E Game
- Board game gameplay: Roll dice, buy real estate, upgrade businesses, and trade stocks.
- $TRUMP (Solana Chain) as the core game currency
- It is expected to launch on the Apple App Store on December 30, 2025.
Reward Mechanism :
| Reward Type | Total value | Allocation method |
|---|---|---|
| $TRUMP token | $1 million | Airdrops will be distributed every 12 weeks (starting January 2026) based on leaderboard tiers. |
| NFT statue | ~$1,216,000 | 7 rarity levels (Unique to Common) |
| Mystery Box | ~$357,000 | Includes game items (gold bars, dice, special moves). |
| total | ~$2.577 million | Pre-registration leaderboard mechanism |
Leaderboard Points System :
- Pre-registration: +20 points
- Holding 1+ $TRUMP: +200 points
- Direct recommendation: +25/+100 points
- Offline recommendation: +50 points
Price performance verification
Actual data vs. claimed increase :
| Time period | Actual increase | Price range |
|---|---|---|
| 24 hours (December 10) | +3.24% | $5.84 |
| Following the announcement (December 9-10) | +3-5% | $5.69 → $5.93 |
| 7-day changes | -3.58% | $5.99 → $5.93 |
| User claims | ❌Not verified |
Key price data (as of 10:30 UTC, December 10, 2025):
- Current price : $5.84
- 24-hour trading volume : $358 million
- Market capitalization : $1.17 billion
- Circulating supply : 391 million TRUMP (39.1%)
- Distance from ATH : -92% (ATH: $73.43)
7-day price trend :
| date | opening | Highest | lowest | Closing | Daily increase |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 3 | $5.73 | $6.05 | $5.70 | $5.99 | - |
| December 4 | $5.99 | $6.10 | $5.97 | $6.07 | +1.3% |
| December 5 | $6.07 | $6.11 | $5.92 | $5.92 | -2.5% |
| December 6 | $5.93 | $5.99 | $5.70 | $5.74 | -3.0% |
| December 7 | $5.73 | $5.77 | $5.69 | $5.72 | -0.3% |
| December 8 | $5.72 | $5.76 | $5.57 | $5.65 | -1.2% |
| December 9 | $5.65 | $5.75 | $5.65 | $5.69 | +0.7% |
| December 10 | $5.69 | $5.96 | $5.64 | $5.93 | +4.2% |
Social media sentiment analysis
Twitter/X performance :
- Discussions meeting the criteria (≥100 likes): 0
- Related search terms : Trump + OpenLoot / NFT / P2E → No results
- Low-quality mentions : Only one low-interaction tweet (December 9th) mentioned "$Trump game coming on openloot".
- Overall assessment : Extremely low community interest, insufficient visibility.
Other platforms :
- Reddit: No significant discussion
- Forum: Limited to factual news reporting, no sentiment analysis.
- KOL Opinion: No comments from influential opinion leaders were found.
Social sentiment conclusion : The collaboration failed to generate community enthusiasm, consistent with the muted price response.
On-chain data analysis
Anomaly detected (December 1-10, 2025):
| index | numerical values | illustrate |
|---|---|---|
| DEX trading volume | $0 | No transaction records during the period |
| Token transfer | 0 entries | Off-chain transfer activities |
| Change of holders | 0 | No net increase or decrease |
| Large transfer | 0 | No transfers exceeding 10,000 TRUMP. |
Data limitations :
- On-chain data shows absolutely no activity, which is significantly inconsistent with the publicly available transaction volume data ($358 million in 24-hour transactions).
- Possible reasons:
- Data indexing delay or failure to cover the latest time period
- Token address lookup error
- Trading primarily occurs on centralized exchanges (CEXs) rather than decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
- Conclusion : On-chain data is insufficient to assess actual trading activity; CEX price data is necessary.
Market Impact Assessment
Price Driver Analysis
Positive factors :
- Practical value creation : $TRUMP becomes the core currency of the game, increasing the reasons to hold it.
- Large reward pool : $1 million token rewards + NFT value of $1.57 million
- Lowering the barrier to entry : OpenLoot requires no external wallet, attracting non-crypto users.
Negative/Neutral Factors :
- Delayed distribution : Token rewards will be airdropped 12 weeks after January 2026; there is no immediate buy pressure.
- Community apathy : Almost no discussion on social media indicates insufficient awareness.
- Market Environment : The token has fallen 92% from ATH, and the overall trend is weak.
- Pre-registration mechanism : Requires holding $TRUMP to earn points, but there is no evidence that a large number of users purchased this service.
Explanation of the difference in price increases
Why not 20%?
- Timing issue : The announcement was released on December 9th, but the price had already reached a weekly high of $6.10-$6.11 on December 4th-5th (4-5 days before the announcement).
- Market expectations : There may have been advance leaks or anticipation, but there are no obvious signs of a pre-emptive move.
- Actual impact : The stock closed at only $5.69 on the day of the announcement (December 9th), and rose to $5.93 the following day (December 10th), an increase of only 4.2%.
- Trading volume contradiction : Despite a 24-hour trading volume of $358 million, this did not translate into a significant price increase.
- Token release pressure : 200 million tokens were unlocked on December 10th (100 million for liquidity and 100 million for public distribution), and the dilution effect offset some of the price increase.
in conclusion
The P2E partnership between Trump tokens and OpenLoot failed to generate the 20% price increase claimed by users . Actual market data shows the partnership only resulted in a modest 3-5% price increase, far below expectations. Key limiting factors included:
- The community response has been lukewarm : there has been virtually no discussion on social media, and awareness is severely lacking.
- Rewards Delayed : Token airdrop delayed until January 2026, lacking immediate buy-in incentives.
- Market trend is weak : the token has fallen 92% from ATH, and overall momentum is insufficient.
- Limited usability : The game is not yet released (expected December 30th), and NFT liquidity is unverified.
Investor Implications : While P2E collaboration and NFT reward mechanisms create theoretical token utility, their short-term price impact is extremely limited in the absence of community enthusiasm and delayed reward release. Actual user adoption and NFT transaction activity after the game's launch will be key indicators to observe.