FARTCOIN Market Analysis: Impact on High Levels and Major Investor Movements
TL;DR
FARTCOIN is currently trading at $0.4328, having surged 50-52% in the last 7 days, successfully breaking through the high of the range near the $0.439 resistance level. Technically, it shows a strong overbought condition (RSI 1h/4h both >74), and derivatives open interest has surged 16.4% in the last 24 hours to $348M. Although on-chain direct transaction data is limited, a report at the end of December showed whales buying $2.66M (8.58M tokens), and combined with the CMF indicator consistently showing a positive and short-selling dominance, indirectly confirms active buying by large investors. While there is a short-term risk of a technical pullback, the overall trend remains strong.
Core Price Trends
7-day price trend
| date | Opening price | highest price | Lowest price | closing price | Daily change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | $0.3166 | $0.3198 | $0.3047 | $0.3086 | -2.5% |
| 2025-12-30 | $0.3085 | $0.3175 | $0.2852 | $0.2888 | -6.4% |
| 2025-12-31 | $0.2888 | $0.2957 | $0.2811 | $0.2859 | -1.0% |
| 2026-01-01 | $0.2857 | $0.2913 | $0.2652 | $0.2682 | -6.2% |
| 2026-01-02 | $0.2687 | $0.2910 | $0.2628 | $0.2903 | +8.2% |
| 2026-01-03 | $0.2902 | $0.3351 | $0.2831 | $0.3320 | +14.4% |
| 2026-01-04 | $0.3336 | $0.3588 | $0.3215 | $0.3554 | +7.0% |
| 2026-01-05 | $0.3559 | $0.3920 | $0.3440 | $0.3920 | +10.3% |
Key metrics (as of 23:00 UTC on 2026-01-05):
- Current price : $0.4328
- Market capitalization : $433M - $434M
- 24-hour trading volume : $222M - $233M
- Circulating supply : 999,979,670 FARTCOIN (~100% of total supply)
- 7-day cumulative increase : +50-52% (rebound from the low of $0.2652)
Starting January 2nd, FARTCOIN began a strong rebound, accumulating a gain of over 46% in four consecutive trading days, successfully breaking through the high of the $0.35-$0.44 range, and is currently trading around $0.43.
Technical indicator analysis
Multi-cycle technical analysis
| cycle | RSI | MACD | Trend signals | ADX | CMF | Overbought/Oversold Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour | 73.99 | +0.0041 | Long | 27.8 | +0.068 | 🔴 Severe overbuying |
| 4 hours | 74.84 | +0.0045 | Long | 50.6 | +0.234 | 🔴 Severe overbuying |
| 1-day line | 69.84 | +0.0138 | Long | - | +0.104 | 🟡 Nearly overbought |
Key support and resistance levels :
- Immediate resistance : $0.439 (upper rail of Donchian channel, multi-period resonance)
- Recent support levels : $0.422 (4-hour Bollinger Band upper rail) → $0.408 (1-hour EMA12) → $0.41-$0.42 (strong support cluster, cumulative long position liquidation risk $3.8M-$5.5M)
- Deep support : $0.399 (cumulative liquidation $5.8M)
Technical condition assessment :
- The full-cycle Supertrend indicator shows a "long" signal, with the price above EMA(12), EMA(26), and SMA(50), confirming a strong upward trend.
- The price broke through the upper Bollinger Band on all timeframes (1h $0.429, 4h $0.422, 1d $0.394), indicating extremely strong buying momentum.
- The CMF (Fund Flow Index) was positive throughout the entire period (1h +0.068, 4h +0.234, 1d +0.104), confirming continuous fund inflows.
- The ADX 4h index reached 50.6, indicating strong upward momentum, but the 1h index dropped to 27.8, suggesting a slight slowdown in short-term momentum.
Analysis of major investor trends
Position distribution structure
| Holding level | Holdings Ratio | Token quantity | Concentration assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top 1 holder | 6.10% | 61,019,405 | medium |
| Top 2 holders | 5.61% | 56,069,402 | medium |
| Top 10 Total | 28.06% | 280,610,000 | Moderate concentration |
| Top 25 Total | ~42.00% | ~420,000,000 | Moderate concentration |
Evidence of large investors increasing their positions :
The report on whale purchases :
- Between December 27th and 28th, a whale wallet (address fx4E7VEysZciM5nqNbCeEUYPzfYSStuz19SWskTqxnk) invested $2.66M USDC/USDT to purchase 8.58M FARTCOIN, with an average cost of approximately $0.31 per token.
- At the end of December, top holders increased their holdings by over 9% to 692M FARTCOIN.
Note: The on-chain direct transaction data query could not verify the specific transaction hash. The above data comes from a third-party monitoring report.
Indirect verification metrics :
- The CMF remains positive : the 4-hour CMF is as high as +0.234, indicating strong buying pressure from capital inflows.
- Asymmetric liquidation data : Total liquidation amounted to $2.55 million in 24 hours, with short liquidation of $1.83 million far exceeding long liquidation of $0.73 million, reflecting that continued long pressure forced short sellers to stop losses.
- Open interest surged : Total open interest in derivatives increased by 16.4% in 24 hours to $348M, with price increases accompanied by a simultaneous expansion of open interest (OI), consistent with the characteristics of new funds entering the market.
Social emotion verification :
- KOLs such as Altcoin Sherpa (January 4th) believe that FARTCOIN still has several times the upside potential and has not yet approached its previous high.
- Community discussions emphasized its "Memecoin of the Year" status and AI narrative, supporting speculative demand.
Derivatives Market Situation
Futures market data
| index | numerical values | 24-hour changes | Market Signals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total open interest | $348M | +16.4% | 🟢 Strongly bullish |
| Funding rates | +0.005~0.012% | Right now | Multiple payments short |
| 24-hour settlement total | $2.55M | - | - |
| Short selling liquidation | $1.83M | - | 🟢 Short sellers forced to liquidate their positions |
| Multiple liquidations | $0.73M | - | Less bearish pressure |
Derivatives Exchange Coverage :
- Perpetual contracts have been launched on major platforms such as Binance, Bybit, OKX, Bitget, and Hyperliquid.
- Hyperliquid's 24-hour trading volume reached $100.9M, with open interest at $104.1M, indicating high activity.
Funding rates remain positive (+0.005-0.012% every 4-8 hours), indicating strong bullish sentiment but the need to pay funding costs, suggesting a short squeeze risk in the short to medium term. The liquidation heatmap shows a cumulative $3.8M-$5.5M long position liquidation risk in the $0.41-$0.42 range; a pullback to this area could trigger a chain of stop-loss orders.
Risk Warning
- Technical overbought risk : The RSI 1h/4h are both above 74. Historically, such extreme overbought conditions have often been followed by a 5-15% technical pullback.
- Asymmetrical liquidation pressure : Below $0.41, there is a cluster of long positions with a cumulative value of over $5.8M being liquidated, and a rapid decline could amplify volatility.
- Limitations of on-chain verification : Large investors' additional purchases are mainly based on third-party reports and indirect indicators, with limited direct on-chain transaction data.
- Memecoin is highly volatile : FARTCOIN has a history of drawdowns exceeding 90%, indicating strong speculative characteristics.
in conclusion
FARTCOIN successfully broke through the high of the $0.439 range, rebounding over 50% in 7 days, confirming a strong upward trend from a technical perspective. Although direct on-chain transaction data from large investors is limited, multiple indirect pieces of evidence, including the $2.66 million whale purchases reported at the end of December, a positive CMF throughout the entire cycle, a 16.4% surge in derivatives OI, and short liquidation dominance, collectively verify the existence of large investors increasing their positions. In the short term, it faces severe overbought technical pressure and funding costs. It is recommended to pay attention to the performance of the key support zone of $0.41-$0.42. A break above $0.44 could open up a new round of upward potential. The overall risk-reward ratio is suitable for short-term trading by investors with a high risk appetite, but strict stop-loss orders are necessary.