ZKPASS (ZKP) Tomorrow's Unlock Rumors and Trend Analysis
Execution Summary
Rumors of ZKPASS (zkPass project, ZKP token) releasing the remaining half of its supply tomorrow (March 19, 2026) lack official confirmation . Multi-source tracking only indicates a small-scale unlock (approximately 16.62M tokens, worth $1.5M, representing 0.16-0.59% of the total supply), not the "remaining half." Top on-chain holders (99.25%) have shown no signs of transferring or selling recently, and the total supply remains stable. The price has been fluctuating at low levels recently, rebounding to $0.00879 (+9.1%) on March 18, but trading volume is low and liquidity is poor, with support around $0.0079. The probability of short-term stabilization is moderate (50-60%) , with low selling pressure but susceptible to market volatility. Data as of 03:07 UTC on March 18, 2026, is recent but unlocking details are unclear. CoinGecko
Unlock event verification
Users mentioned "the remaining half of the supply will be released tomorrow" (speculating to refer to the rumor that 50% of the IDO/cliff will be sold, accounting for about half of the total supply), but cross-validation from multiple sources did not find conclusive evidence:
- Platform tracking : CryptoRank/ICODrops shows the next unlock size is small (1.64M or 5.86M tokens, worth $140,000-$510,000, representing 0.16-0.59% of T.Cap), with the timeline pointing to "within one day" but not officially designated as March 19th, and far less than "half remaining" (total supply 1 billion, IDO only $3M). Weex News reports "$1.4M unlock within a week," but this is old news from March 12th. CryptoRank ICODrops
- Official channels : zkPass docs mention tokenomics (TGE 2025-12-19, total supply 1 billion), but no specific vesting table is provided. The official Twitter account @zkPass has not made any recent announcements, only promoting its privacy policy. zkPass Docs
- Social media signals : There are sporadic mentions on Twitter that "50% will be unlocked on March 19th" (e.g., @yoaka__), but these are community speculations and not confirmed by the project team. News searches return irrelevant macro events and no ZKP-specific reports.
- On-chain evidence : The total supply of ZKP on the Base chain (dominant holder) is stable at 134.46, with no large mint/transfer transactions. A POA error was encountered when querying the BSC contract, but the transaction history only shows no activity unrelated to LayerZero.
Reasoning : The rumors may have originated from a misinterpretation of the IDO cliff (total funding of $18 million, TGE has passed after Seed/Series A). If the actual unlocking occurs, the scale will be limited (<1% of supply), and the selling pressure will not be enough to cause a collapse. However, highly concentrated holdings amplify the uncertainty.
| Unlock Source | Scale (token) | Value (USD) | account for a portion of total supply | time | Confirmation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CryptoRank | 1.64M | ~140,000 | 0.16% | Within 1 day | Medium CryptoRank |
| ICODrops | 5.86M | ~510,000 | 0.59% | Within 1 day | Medium ICODrops |
| Weex old news | ~16.62M | 1.52 million | ~1.66% | Within a week | Low |
| Community Rumors | 50% sold | Undecided | 50%+ | 3/19 | Low (no official rating) |
Data limitations : No official vesting chart, no on-chain transfers. If there is no unlocking, the rumors are pure noise .
Current market and price data
ZKP prices fluctuated at low levels, declining overall in March (from 0.0105 to 0.008). A rebound occurred on the 18th, but trading was sluggish, reflecting insufficient liquidity.
Recent OHLC (CoinGecko, March 14-18, 2026) CoinGecko
| Date (UTC) | opening | Highest | lowest | Closing | 24-hour changes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-14 | 0.00921 | 0.00938 | 0.00820 | 0.00825 | -10.2% |
| 03-15 | 0.00823 | 0.00828 | 0.00754 | 0.00807 | -2.2% |
| 03-16 | 0.00808 | 0.00809 | 0.00801 | 0.00806 | -0.1% |
| 03-17 | 0.00805 | 0.00809 | 0.00793 | 0.00808 | +0.2% |
| 03-18 | 0.00808 | 0.00994 | 0.00797 | 0.00879 | +8.8% |
Key observations : The high of 0.00994 on the 18th tested resistance, while the low of 0.00797 held support. The rebound was low in volume, making a false breakout likely. FDV: ~$88.7 million, ranking 772nd, with daily trading volume less than $3 million.
On-chain holdings and activity analysis
High concentration of risk is prominent : Base chain top holder 0xe1b583de... holds 133.456 ZKP (99.25% of the total supply of 134.46), with only one unrelated relay transaction and no authorization/sell-off preparation. Moralis DeBank
| Holders | Balance (ZKP) | account for a portion of total supply | Recent Activities |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe1b583de9cb37196031b771686734a31ec365768 | 133.456 | 99.25% | No transfer/authorization |
| 0x8687ef4ecee34786f4e85c2dc442aab19dbe8dde | 1 | 0.74% | none |
Whales at rest : DeBank's trading history shows only 20 unrelated send/receive transactions, with no net inflows from exchanges. BSC contracts are similarly calm. There are no signs of selling pressure , and even if unlocking occurs, it will be difficult to realize profits immediately.
Reasoning : Concentrated holdings are inherently risky, but the current stagnation coupled with the recent rebound suggests no urgent intention to sell. The liquidity pool is shallow (DEX-dominated), meaning even small unlocks can drive down prices.
Trend Analysis and Probability of Stabilization
- Support/Resistance : Support at 0.0079-0.0080 (18-day low), resistance at 0.0095 (monthly high). MACD shows a potential golden cross, RSI is neutral at around 45, but trading volume is shrinking.
- Positive factors : No selling pressure on the blockchain, promotion of the Ethereum ecosystem (@ethereum tweet), and increased interest in privacy narratives (mentioned in the RWA weekly report).
- Negative factors : Rumors and noise, low liquidity (daily volume < MCap 15%), concentrated holdings making manipulation easy. Macro: BTC fluctuating around $75,200, total cryptocurrency market capitalization 2.65T.
- Scenario Simulation : | Scenario | Trigger | 3/19 Price Target | Probability | |------|------|----------|------| | Stabilization and Rebound | No Selling + Increased Volume | 0.0095+ | 50-60% | | Oscillating Downward | Small Unlocking and Profit-Taking | 0.0075 | 30% | | Crash | Whale Selling | <0.007 | 10-20% |
Possible reasons for stabilization : On-chain calm + the rebound on the 18th indicates weak buying support, and if the rumors prove false, they could turn into positive news. However, low volume makes a slippage likely , requiring confirmation with a daily volume exceeding 5 million.
Risk Assessment and Conclusion
| Risk factors | Severity | detail |
|---|---|---|
| Unlocking uncertainty | middle | Small in scale but amplified by rumors, causing panic |
| Concentrated holdings | high | 99% single whale, sudden drop easily collapses |
| Low liquidity | high | Daily volume <3M, large slippage point |
| Macroeconomic linkage | middle | BTC pullback drags down |
Bottom line : Tomorrow's trend is likely to stabilize (50-60% probability), as there is no evidence of on-chain selling pressure and the price has already shown a shallow bottom. However, given the liquidity bottleneck, it is recommended to observe the outflow/volume at the opening on the 19th to avoid chasing the price higher. Data limitations: There is no official table for unlocking; holdings are currently in their current state (not historical). If whales are activated, quickly stop loss at 0.0079. Monitor @zkPass and Dexscreener ZKP pools. DeBank CoinGecko