Odaily星球日报讯 10x Research 在其最新分析中表示：“上周，我们预测比特币将突破对称三角形格局，并将反弹至 65,000 美元。我们的预测已经产生了 9%的回报，价格正在接近这个目标。我们处在一个动态的、 hit-and-run 的市场环境中，快速、策略性的交易可以产生显著的收益。在这个阶段，只要比特币继续在广泛的横盘范围内交易，准确预测宏观经济事件对于利用机会至关重要。 我们此前预计上周三发布的联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要将是温和的，美联储主席鲍威尔可能会强调劳动力市场的疲软。预计这两项发展都将被解读为鸽派，从而推动比特币的飙升。我们的预测是正确的。 我们还强调了比特币与纳斯达克指数（Nasdaq）相比表现不佳，后者一直持平。市场的注意力现在正转向英伟达即将发布的收益和财测，期权定价的潜在波动幅度为+/-8%，类似于上次收益发布后观察到的波动。从技术角度来看，上周比特币的上涨是一个教科书式的例子，受到宏观经济发展和跨市场分析的支持。”

Odaily星球日报讯 10x Research 在其最新分析中表示：“上周，我们预测比特币将突破对称三角形格局，并将反弹至 65,000 美元。我们的预测已经产生了 9%的回报，价格正在接近这个目标。我们处在一个动态的、 hit-and-run 的市场环境中，快速、策略性的交易可以产生显著的收益。在这个阶段，只要比特币继续在广泛的横盘范围内交易，准确预测宏观经济事件对于利用机会至关重要。我们此前预计上周三发布的联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要将是温和的，美联储主席鲍威尔可能会强调劳动力市场的疲软。预计这两项发展都将被解读为鸽派，从而推动比特币的飙升。我们的预测是正确的。我们还强调了比特币与纳斯达克指数（Nasdaq）相比表现不佳，后者一直持平。市场的注意力现在正转向英伟达即将发布的收益和财测，期权定价的潜在波动幅度为+/-8%，类似于上次收益发布后观察到的波动。从技术角度来看，上周比特币的上涨是一个教科书式的例子，受到宏观经济发展和跨市场分析的支持。”

10x Research：当前处于hit-and-run市场环境，准确预测宏观经济事件至关重要

Odaily Planet Daily Report: In its latest analysis, 10x Research stated: "Last week, we predicted that Bitcoin would break out of the symmetrical triangle pattern and rebound to $65,000. Our prediction has already generated a 9% return, and the price is approaching this target. We are in a dynamic, hit-and-run market environment, where rapid, strategic trading can generate significant returns. At this stage, as long as Bitcoin continues to trade within a broad range, accurately predicting macroeconomic events is crucial to seizing opportunities. We had previously expected the Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes released on Wednesday to be dovish, and that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell would likely emphasize the weakness of the labor market. These two developments were expected to be interpreted as dovish, thereby driving a surge in Bitcoin. Our prediction was correct.

We also highlighted that Bitcoin's performance has been lagging compared to the Nasdaq index, which has remained flat. The market's attention is now turning to Nvidia's upcoming earnings and financial guidance, with the potential volatility in option pricing at +/- 8%, similar to the volatility observed after the previous earnings release. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's rise last week was a textbook example, supported by macroeconomic developments and cross-market analysis."

Odaily Odaily News 10x Research said in its latest analysis: &quot;Last week, we predicted that Bitcoin would break out of the symmetrical triangle pattern and rebound to $65,000. Our forecast has generated a 9% return and the price is approaching this target. We are in a dynamic, hit-and-run market environment, and fast, strategic trading can generate significant returns. At this stage, as long as Bitcoin continues to trade in a broad sideways range, accurately predicting macroeconomic events is critical to taking advantage of opportunities. We had expected the Federal Open Market Committee minutes released last Wednesday to be dovish, and Fed Chairman Powell would likely highlight the weakness in the labor market. Both developments were expected to be interpreted as dovish, driving a surge in Bitcoin. Our predictions were correct. We also highlighted Bitcoin&#39;s underperformance compared to the Nasdaq, which has been flat. The market&#39;s attention is now turning to Nvidia&#39;s upcoming earnings and financial forecasts, and options are pricing in a potential volatility of +/-8%, similar to the volatility observed after the last earnings release. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin&#39;s rise last week is a textbook example of being supported by macroeconomic developments and cross-market analysis.&quot;

10x Research: In the current hit-and-run market environment, accurate prediction of macroeconomic events is crucial

In the past week, the prices of BTC and ETH have shown an upward trend after fluctuating. On August 20, the historical volatility reached a peak during the wide range fluctuations, while the trading volume reached a peak during the rise on August 23. The open interest of BTC and ETH contracts has also increased. The implied volatility of BTC has risen, while that of ETH has declined. BTC has performed the strongest among the comparisons with gold, Nasdaq, Hang Seng, and CSI 300. The funding rate of BTC has dropped to negative, reflecting the pessimistic sentiment of market participants. The correlation between the selected 129 cryptocurrencies has remained around 0.85, indicating that the consistency between different varieties has risen from a low level.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.16–08.23): Bitcoin rises as dovish turn to impending rate cut

The messaging platform Telegram has issued its first official statement regarding the arrest of CEO Pavel Durov. The status of Durov remains unclear, as the French authorities are reportedly said to have refused to comment on the matter.

Telegram releases official statement on arrest of Pavel Durov

Compiled by GaryMa Wu Blockchain
Summary
Wu Blockchain's weekly macroeconomic indicators and analysis: Last week, Powell issued the strongest interest rate cut signal to date at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, indicating that the Federal Reserve intends to take action to prevent further weakening of the US labor market; this week, the focus will be on US July core PCE, initial jobless claims, and the revised Q2 real GDP annualized quarterly rate.
Last week's review
- Federal Reserve Chairman Powell issued the strongest interest rate cut signal to date at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, indicating that the Federal Reserve intends to take action to avoid further weakening of the US labor market...