Odaily星球日报讯 安永-帕特农经济学家格雷戈里-达科（Gregory Daco）和莉迪亚-布苏尔（Lydia Boussour）表示，“鲍威尔似乎比他的同行们更加鸽派。尽管如此，除非未来几周劳动力市场出现实质性恶化，否则我们仍预计大多数决策者将赞成在 9 月份降息 25 个基点。”（金十）

安永-帕特农经济学家：鲍威尔似乎更加鸽派，预计大多数决策者赞成9月降息25基点

Odaily Odaily News: Gregory Daco and Lydia Boussour, economists at Ernst &amp; Young Parthenon, said, &quot;Powell appears to be more dovish than his peers. Nevertheless, unless the labor market deteriorates substantially in the coming weeks, we still expect most policymakers to favor a 25 basis point rate cut in September.&quot; (Jinshi)

EY-Parthenon economists: Powell seems more dovish, most policymakers are expected to favor a 25 basis point rate cut in September

According to Odaily, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated in his speech at Jackson Hole last Friday that "now is the time to cut interest rates." Subsequently, the market's expectation of a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the September meeting has increased. Deutsche Bank strategists pointed out that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits has actually remained stable, and even declined, in the past few weeks. The strategists believe that the US economy may not be in trouble, and they are shorting 10-year US Treasuries, with a target yield of 4.1% and a stop-loss at 3.65%. They stated that the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve has already been priced in, as the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by at least 50 basis points in at least one of the three remaining meetings this year, ultimately lowering the interest rate from the current range of 5.25%-5.5% to 3%.

Deutsche Bank strategist: Markets have already expected at least one 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year

"The time has come to lower the target interest rate, and now is the time for policy adjustment."

On August 23, local time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell attended the Jackson Hole meeting, and his speech clearly signaled a rate cut. After the 2008 financial crisis, the Jackson Hole meeting often became a forward-looking guide for various monetary policies. His remarks were seen as a signal that the rate cut cycle was about to begin, adding fuel to the already strong expectations for the September policy meeting.

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