Odaily星球日报讯 富兰克林邓普顿投资解决方案首席投资官 Wylie Tollette 认为，“如果住房行业的通胀仍然存在，那么降息 50 个基点实际上可能会加速或放大这种情况，”他预计美联储下周将降息 25 个基点，并补充说，这次选举也可能使大幅降息的前景复杂化。特朗普此前曾表示，美联储降息将有助于哈里斯成为现任副总统，“尽管他们知道他们不应该这么做”。 Wylie Tollette 表示：“美联储的道路是，他们想做对经济正确的事情，我认为他们不希望被视为通过更激进的降息对现任候选人有利。”（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 富兰克林邓普顿投资解决方案首席投资官 Wylie Tollette 认为，“如果住房行业的通胀仍然存在，那么降息 50 个基点实际上可能会加速或放大这种情况，”他预计美联储下周将降息 25 个基点，并补充说，这次选举也可能使大幅降息的前景复杂化。特朗普此前曾表示，美联储降息将有助于哈里斯成为现任副总统，“尽管他们知道他们不应该这么做”。Wylie  Tollette 表示：“美联储的道路是，他们想做对经济正确的事情，我认为他们不希望被视为通过更激进的降息对现任候选人有利。”（金十）

富兰克林邓普顿：美国总统选举可能使大幅降息的前景复杂化

Wylie Tollette, Chief Investment Officer of Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, believes that "if inflation in the housing industry still exists, a 50-basis-point rate cut could actually accelerate or amplify this situation." He expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points next week and added that this election could also complicate the prospect of a more substantial rate cut. Trump had previously stated that a rate cut by the Federal Reserve would help the incumbent vice president, Harris, "even though they know they shouldn't do that." Wylie Tollette said, "The Federal Reserve's path is that they want to do the right thing for the economy, and I don't think they want to be seen as favoring the incumbent candidate through more aggressive rate cuts."

Odaily Odaily News: Wylie Tollette, chief investment officer of Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, believes that &quot;if inflation in the housing sector remains, then a 50 basis point rate cut may actually accelerate or amplify this situation.&quot; He expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, adding that the election may also complicate the prospect of a large rate cut. Trump previously said that the Fed&#39;s rate cuts would help Harris become the current vice president, &quot;even though they know they shouldn&#39;t do that.&quot; Wylie Tollette said: &quot;The Fed&#39;s path is that they want to do the right thing for the economy, and I don&#39;t think they want to be seen as favoring the incumbent candidate through more aggressive rate cuts.&quot; (Jinshi)

Franklin Templeton: U.S. presidential election could complicate prospects for big rate cuts

According to China Newsweek, the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the near future, as the risk balance between inflation and unemployment in the United States has undergone subtle changes, with the risk of unemployment rising and the risk of inflation declining, and the risk of unemployment beginning to exceed the risk of inflation. A preemptive interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve would help reduce market expectations of a rapid deterioration in the US economic recession, which could benefit the stability of the global financial market and the recovery of the world economy, but a preemptive interest rate cut would also constrain the adjustment space of monetary policy in other economies. It should be noted that given the current economic and financial situation in the United States, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve making a significant interest rate cut this year is not high, and the cumulative interest rate cut this year may be in the range of 50-75 basis points.

Analysis: The Fed may cut interest rates by 50 to 75 basis points this year, but a large cut is unlikely

According to analysts, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points next week has risen to nearly 50% in today's volatile trading. Yesterday, the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut was only 20-25%. Earlier today, "Federal Reserve mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos wrote an article discussing the Federal Reserve's dilemma between a large or small rate cut, which has sparked some speculation that he may have received hints from the Federal Reserve.

Analyst: The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates next week is back to 50-50

Federated Hermes' senior global equity portfolio manager Lewis Grant stated that as the US election approaches, the financial markets may continue to be volatile due to the uncertainty surrounding the election results. He said that the first presidential debate between Democratic candidate Harris and Republican candidate Trump provided little substantive policy explanation, "the uncertainty around which candidate's economic agenda will take effect - even what those agendas are - will affect market sentiment." Federated Hermes expects that market volatility will further intensify ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting next week and the US election. "In the short term, the market will respond quickly to changes in the US election and macroeconomic outlook."