Odaily星球日报讯 QCP Capital 在其最新市场分析中表示，美联储昨晚宣布降息 50 个基点，并计划今年再降息两次，2025 年再降息 4 次。在鲍威尔对随后降息的规模和速度含糊其辞之际，所有人都将关注即将公布的就业数据，以寻找迹象。 作为经济衰退指标的美国 2 年期/10 年期国债息差自 2022 年 7 月以来一直出现倒挂，但最近已增至+8 个基点，反映出市场乐观情绪和向风险偏好资产的转变。标普 500 指数（S&P 500）试图创新高，但在 FOMC 会议结束后收于下跌。 期权方面，FOMC 会议后隐含波动率暴跌，BTC 下跌 19 vols，ETH 下跌 18 vols。FOMC 之后，BTC 从 5.9 万美元反弹至 6.2 万美元，而 ETH 约为 2400 美元。 其认为，预计随着选举日的临近，就在下一次 FOMC 会议之后，波动性将激增。

Odaily星球日报讯 QCP Capital 在其最新市场分析中表示，美联储昨晚宣布降息 50 个基点，并计划今年再降息两次，2025 年再降息 4 次。在鲍威尔对随后降息的规模和速度含糊其辞之际，所有人都将关注即将公布的就业数据，以寻找迹象。作为经济衰退指标的美国 2 年期/10 年期国债息差自 2022 年 7 月以来一直出现倒挂，但最近已增至+8 个基点，反映出市场乐观情绪和向风险偏好资产的转变。标普 500 指数（S&amp;P 500）试图创新高，但在 FOMC 会议结束后收于下跌。期权方面，FOMC 会议后隐含波动率暴跌，BTC 下跌 19 vols，ETH 下跌 18 vols。FOMC 之后，BTC 从 5.9 万美元反弹至 6.2 万美元，而 ETH 约为 2400 美元。其认为，预计随着选举日的临近，就在下一次 FOMC 会议之后，波动性将激增。

QCP：FOMC会议后BTC、ETH隐含波动率骤降，预计选举日临近时将再度激增

Odaily reported that QCP Capital in its latest market analysis stated that the Federal Reserve announced a 50-basis-point rate cut last night and plans to cut rates twice more this year and four times in 2025. As Powell was vague about the scale and pace of future rate cuts, all eyes will be on the upcoming employment data for clues. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields, an indicator of economic recession, has been inverted since July 2022 but has recently increased to +8 basis points, reflecting optimistic market sentiment and a shift towards risk-on assets. The S&P 500 index attempted to reach new highs but closed lower after the FOMC meeting. In the options market, implied volatility plummeted after the FOMC meeting, with BTC dropping 19 vols and ETH dropping 18 vols. After the FOMC, BTC rebounded from $59,000 to $62,000, while ETH was around $2,400. QCP Capital believes that volatility is expected to surge in the next FOMC meeting, which will be held shortly before the election.

Odaily Odaily News QCP Capital said in its latest market analysis that the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut last night and plans to cut interest rates twice more this year and four more times in 2025. As Powell is vague about the size and speed of subsequent rate cuts, everyone will be watching the upcoming employment data for signs. The US 2-year/10-year Treasury yield spread, an indicator of recession, has been inverted since July 2022, but has recently increased to +8 basis points, reflecting market optimism and a shift toward risk-on assets. The S&amp;P 500 attempted a new high but closed lower after the FOMC meeting. In options, implied volatility plummeted after the FOMC meeting, with BTC falling 19 vols and ETH falling 18 vols. After the FOMC, BTC rebounded from $59,000 to $62,000, while ETH was around $2,400. It believes that volatility is expected to surge as Election Day approaches, just after the next FOMC meeting.

QCP: BTC and ETH implied volatility plummeted after the FOMC meeting, and is expected to surge again as election day approaches

The dot matrix chart suggests that there will be another 50 basis point rate cut within this year.

Written by: 1912212.eth, Foresight News

After a long period of sluggishness, the crypto market sentiment saw significant fluctuations following the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 basis point rate cut this morning, the first in 4 years. Bitcoin surged from a high of $59,000 to over $62,000, Ethereum climbed from $2,200 to break above $2,400, and Altcoins also benefited from the market uplift, with Sei soaring 22% to break above $0.34, and BLU...

The Fed cuts interest rates! Is the crypto market poised for a surge?

Table of Contents
- U.S. stocks remain flat, while Bitcoin rebounds strongly
- Derivatives market remains bullish despite negative outlook
- Federal Reserve's decision will drive the trend

The Federal Reserve will hold its monetary policy meeting on the 17th and 18th of Eastern Time, and will announce the latest interest rate policy around 2 a.m. Taiwan time on Thursday (19th). All analysts expect a rate cut, but there is a divergence in views on whether it will be a 1-notch or 2-notch cut. FedWatch data shows that the current market expectation is a 35% probability of a 1-notch cut and a 65% probability of a 2-notch cut.
[BlockTempo]

The U.S. stock market is betting that the Fed will drop 2% and "Bitcoin will surge first". What signal does it send?

When the chain reaction of liquidation, panic, and liquidity shortage caused by the deterioration of subprime mortgage operations led to an increase in defaults, it triggered a severe global economic recession.