Is everyone a "chain king"? Analysis of the trading patterns of "chain kings"

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Jinse Finance
2 days ago
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Author: NingNing

Once you enter the MEME coin world, it's like the deep sea, and after 48 hours of on-chain PVP, your consciousness gradually becomes blurred, as if you have suddenly fallen from the phenomenal world that follows the logic of cause and effect into the realm of the subconscious dominated by uncertainty, and your rationality has been repeatedly crushed by the market, making you feel weak, helpless and bewildered, and the whole person is not doing well.

According to Dune panel data, 2zBoK currently launches ~25,000 MEME coins per day, and can successfully list ~400 on DEX per day, with a success rate of ~1.63%. And based on my brief experience, only a small proportion of the ~400 MEME coins that are successfully launched can break through the $1M market cap threshold. And even if they manage to break through the $1M market cap, the normal life cycle of most MEME coins is only 48 hours.

From the above data, we can see that the position of MEME coin trading on the spectrum from gambling to investment is closer to gambling. But unlike the previous generation of on-chain gambling with dice, slot machines, Crash, and 1000x contracts, MEME coins are more addictive due to the uncertainty of the rewards (the odds are constantly changing).

Moreover, the market cap and unrealized profits of MEME coins are actually a kind of modern financial illusion. The static actual extractable value of all MEME coin holders is only equal to 1/2 of the pool value.

I have analyzed the latest 24-hour hot MEME token pool - market cap data, and the distribution of the pool/market cap ratio is as follows:

  • Super high ratio (>100%): 5 projects

  • High ratio (50-100%): 12 projects

  • Medium ratio (20-50%): 28 projects

  • Low ratio (<20%): 15 projects

The mainstream pool/market cap ratio is between 30% and 60%. That is, the static actual extractable value of all holders of these popular MEME coins is only 15% to 30% of their market value.

Of course, unless there is an extreme risk event, it is generally unlikely that all holders will redeem at the same time, and holders can dynamically exit from the active market state after paying gas fees + priority fees + slippage and other comprehensive transaction costs.

In summary, the trading model of MEME coins is very different from other markets. As a Newbie who has just entered the MEME coin battlefield, instead of spending a lot of time, energy and resources to learn and train our own MEME coin trading framework, we can directly adopt the "take it and use it" method to borrow the trading framework of the on-chain PVP emperors.

According to the two criteria of high yield and high trading frequency, I have selected 8 on-chain emperor addresses from the 7-day yield ranking list of the gmgn platform. Then I fed their trading data to an AI Agent I created to analyze the trading pattern of each address. The analysis results are as follows:

Trading Pattern of Address 2zBoK

1. Trading Time Characteristics

  • Active period: Trading around the clock

  • High-frequency trading characteristics: One transaction every 3-5 minutes

  • Pace of position building: Rapid batch position building

  • Liquidation characteristics: Stepped liquidation

2. Operational Characteristics

Entry Strategy:

  • Priority to grab new coins on their first listing

  • Focus on high liquidity tokens

  • Capture market panic bottoms

  • Track the trend of hot tokens

Exit Strategy:

  • 30% profit for quick breakeven

  • 50% profit for halving positions

  • 100% profit for clearing floating shares

  • Reserve 10% for deep retracement replenishment

3. Capital Management Model

  • Position control: Main position: 20-30% of total capital

  • Speculative position: 5-10% of total capital

  • Replenishment capital: 15-20% reserve

  • Emergency liquidity: >30%

Trading Pattern of Address 52dq6

1. Trading Frequency Characteristics

  • High-frequency trader: Average 39.3 transactions per day

  • Trading time distribution: Trading around the clock

  • Maximum consecutive trades in a single project: 11 (CHAOS)

  • Trading interval: Average 15-20 minutes/transaction

2. Target Selection Strategy

Focus on tokens: CHAOS (multiple large transactions)

  • vvaifu (consecutive trades)

  • BIOCHAD (high profit target)

  • GRIMES (high volatility target)

Trading characteristics: Tend to focus on high market cap Tokens

  • Focus on high liquidity targets

  • Track hot token trends

  • Prioritize well-known projects

3. Capital Management Strategy

  • Position control: Standard position: $300-500

  • Key project: $1000-3000

  • Exploratory position: $100-200

  • Chasing position: $500-1000

  • Stop loss strategy: Rapid stop loss: -15%

  • Normal stop loss: -30%

  • Maximum stop loss: -50%

Trading Pattern of Address 4Ye7c

1. Trading Characteristics

  • Trading rhythm: Concentrated trading period: 8am-10pm

  • Maximum consecutive trades in a single token: 8

  • Average trading interval: 15-25 minutes

Stable trading frequency, not affected by market fluctuations

Target selection: Focus on: altGz, degenai, SPOOKYKAT, etc.

  • Seek opportunities mainly in medium market cap tokens

  • Tend to focus on targets with better liquidity

  • Avoid extremely low market cap tokens

2. Capital Management Strategy

Entry Characteristics

  • Initial position size: $500-1000

  • Condition for adding positions: Add positions after a 10% price increase

  • Add positions when volume expands

  • Add positions when breaking key levels

Pace of position building: Complete position building in 3-5 steps

  • Each additional position not exceeding 50% of the initial position

  • Total position control within 30%

Exit Characteristics

  • Profit taking: Start reducing positions at 30% profit

  • 50% profit, reduce positions by half

  • 100% profit, clear floating shares

  • Stop loss setting: Single transaction stop loss: -15%

  • Total position stop loss: -25%

  • Forced liquidation when floating loss exceeds 30%

Trading Pattern of Address BieeZ

1. Trading Characteristics Analysis

Target Selection Characteristics:

Focus on tokens: TAY (multiple large transactions)

  • TOKIDOKI (high liquidity target)

  • ruby (target for batch position building)

  • VITARDIO (high volatility target)

Trading Frequency Characteristics

  • Extremely high-frequency trader

  • Average one transaction every 6-15 minutes

  • Maximum consecutive trades in a single target: 5-8

Trading around the clock, no obvious time preference

2. Strategy Analysis

Entry Strategy

  • Initial position size: $800-1200

  • Timing: Breakout or retracement consolidation

  • Method: Rapid batch

  • Verification: Volume confirmation

  • Add-on strategy Profit add-on: 10% profit level

  • Retracement add-on: 5-8% retracement level

  • Breakout add-on: Key resistance level

  • Maximum add-on times: 3-4

Exit Strategy

  • Profit taking first profit taking: 30-50%

  • Batch reduction: Every 20% increase

  • Final profit taking: 150-200%

  • Retain position: 10-20%

  • Stop loss setting Single transaction stop loss: -8%

  • Total position stop loss: -15%

  • Floating stop loss: Drawdown exceeds 30%

  • Time stop loss: 15 minutes without profit

  • Trading mode of address 2vfEa

    1. Trading characteristics

    Characteristics of target selection

    • Core focus tokens: DREAM (main trading target)

    • WOFAI (secondary trading target)

    • WIFE (auxiliary trading target)

    • ANTDOG (strategy verification target)

    Characteristics of trading strategy

    • High concentration strategy highly concentrated on DREAM token

    • Deep participation in a single target

    • Long-term tracking and holding

    • Batch building and reducing positions

    • Position management: Single transaction size: $500-2500

    • Maximum holding ratio: 60%

    • Add position ratio: 30-50%

    • Reduce position ratio: 20-30%

    2. Operation mode analysis

    Entry characteristics

    • Initial position building: Moderate scale ($500-1000)

    • Batch position building (3-5 transactions)

    • Focus on price structure

    • Attach importance to trading volume

    Add position strategy: Add position after breakout confirmation

    • Add position on pullback stabilization

    • Add position with volume support

    • Add position on trend continuation

    Exit characteristics

    • Profit-taking strategy: Segmented profit-taking

    • Retain core positions

    • Trailing stop-loss

    • Swing trading

    Trading mode of address 57hdD

    1. Trading characteristics

    Characteristics of target selection

    • Extremely concentrated on ZENO token

    • Deep participation in a single target

    • Track the core target throughout

    • Avoid diversified investment

    Characteristics of trading rules

    • Initial position size: $200-500

    • Add position rhythm: Add once every 20% increase

    • Add position ratio: 30-50%

    • Maximum single transaction: Around $2,000

    • Holding period: 4-5 days

    • Trading time: Concentrated in Asian time

    • Operation frequency: Observe every 1-2 hours

    • Decision speed: Fast and accurate

    2. Strategy analysis

    Entry strategy:

    • Price characteristics break through previous highs

    • Significant increase in trading volume

    • Pullback stabilization

    • Concentrated positions

    Position building: Small position trial

    • Add position after confirmation

    • Batch position building

    • Dynamic adjustment

    Exit strategy: Set segmented profit-taking

    • Rolling hold

    • Retain seed position

    • Dynamic adjustment

    • Stop loss design: Single transaction stop loss: -10%

    • Total position stop loss: -20%

    • Floating profit stop loss: -30%

    • Time stop loss: No increase for 2 days

    Trading mode of address DVLTL

    1. Trading characteristics analysis

    Characteristics of target selection

    • Trading tokens: WSOL (large transactions)

    • CLNKER (high-frequency operations)

    • USDC (liquidity management)

    • EVE (swing trading)

    Characteristics of operation mode

    • Large single transaction management: $3,000-8,000

    • Exploratory operation: $80-300

    • Average holding: $500-1,500

    • Liquidity reserve: >30%

    • Holding period: 1-3 days

    • Trading interval: 4-6 hours

    • Observation period: Continuous monitoring

    • Decision time: Fast

    2. Strategy analysis

    Entry characteristics

    Fundamental selection of project fundamentals

    • Liquidity analysis

    • Capital direction

    • Market sentiment

    Technical analysis of trend confirmation

    • Volume and price coordination

    • Support and resistance

    • Market structure

    Capital management strategy

    • Position control: Main position: 30-40%

    • Swing position: 10-20%

    • Exploratory position: 5-10%

    • Reserved capital: >30%

    • Risk control: Single transaction stop loss: 15%

    • Total position stop loss: 25%

    • Floating profit protection: 30%

    • Composite risk: 40%

    Trading mode of address 7sKVa

    1. Trading characteristics

    Operation style

    • High-frequency small-amount frequent trading

    • Small-amount position building

    • Rapid closing of positions

    • Dynamic adjustment

    Multi-token rotation

    • MOSHI (main force)

    • Maxwell series

    • JUKEBOX

    • Roblox

    Characteristics of trading strategy

    • Time management: Trading around the clock

    • Average one transaction every 13 minutes

    • Concentrated trading time

    • Flexible adjustment

    • Capital management: Single transaction limit: $200-400

    • Total position: <30%

    • Reserved capital: >50%

    • Dynamic balance

    2. Strategy analysis

    Entry characteristics

    • Technical selection: Hourly level breakout

    • Volume and price coordination

    • Support and resistance

    • Trend confirmation

    Position building: Exploratory position building

    • Batch add position

    • Dynamic adjustment

    • Timely stop loss

    Exit strategy

    • Profit-taking: Set gradient profit-taking

    • Wave completion

    • Trend tracking

    • Dynamic adjustment

    • Stop loss control: Single transaction stop loss: 10%

    • Intraday stop loss: 20%

    • Total position stop loss: 30%

    • Time stop loss: 2 hours

    We can see that these MEME coin chain kings exhibit a wide variety of trading modes, each with its own unique advantages:

    -- High-frequency trading type (4Ye7c, 7sKVa):

    Advantage: Capture more short-term opportunities

    Challenge: Requires extremely strong execution and system support

    -- Value investment type (DVLTL, 57hdD):

    Advantage: Risks are more controllable, less pressure

    Challenge: Requires strong patience and research capabilities

    -- Balanced type (BieeZ, 9X2hv):

    Advantage: Better risk-return ratio

    Challenge: Requires a balance of multiple capabilities

    The above is an analysis of the trading modes of MEME chain kings, but due to the limited sample size and short time frame, we cannot yet determine whether their success is due to their being favored by fate or their trading modes.

    Finally, some additional data: the correlation between pool size and market capitalization is 0.83, and the average daily trading volume / pool ratio is 0.73.

    The characteristics of high-value MEME coins are three: reasonable pool ratio (30-60%), stable trading activity, and healthy token distribution (Top10 holders at 10%-15%).

    Source
    Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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