BingX Opinion: The prospect of Trump’s election will help push up the price of Bitcoin

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The cryptocurrency market is showing a bullish trend, and the trend of Bitcoin prices (click to learn about the latest token analysis) is on the rise. Although Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential candidate, hinted that she might support cryptocurrencies as part of her economic agenda, recent actions by the U.S. Treasury Department under the Biden administration have shown a more cautious attitude, adding uncertainty to the future of U.S. digital assets. Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin seems to be gradually approaching a new historical high, driven by political and economic factors.

Kamala Harris' stance on cryptocurrencies is ambiguous

Vice President Harris has hinted at promoting cryptocurrencies to enhance financial inclusion, which is consistent with her broader economic policy agenda. However, the Treasury Department under the Biden administration, led by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, has shown a more cautious attitude towards digital assets. In a recent 35-page report on financial inclusion, cryptocurrencies were only briefly mentioned, not being recognized as an innovation for financial access, but rather positioned as potential risks. This cautious tone contrasts with Harris' more open stance on cryptocurrencies during her campaign. Yellen's speech at a New York banking event emphasized the need for "safe, affordable financial products and unbiased information" to promote financial security. Although the Treasury Department is pushing for financial inclusion strategies, its hesitation towards digital assets like Bitcoin is evident. The Treasury report explicitly mentions a review of digital asset risks in 2022, reflecting an approach that prioritizes consumer protection over expanding financial access through cryptocurrencies. This is consistent with other regulatory actions, such as the SEC's ongoing scrutiny of the cryptocurrency industry. The Democratic-led U.S. Treasury Department currently appears hesitant to fully support cryptocurrencies, indicating a disconnect between the political rhetoric and policy positions of the current administration. While Harris hinted at supporting cryptocurrencies in the future during her campaign, the government's official stance seems to have become more restrained, possibly due to concerns about market volatility, regulatory challenges, and potential financial instability in the digital asset market. Furthermore, the Treasury's recent actions may be one of its final official positions on digital assets before the upcoming elections, as cryptocurrency policy is increasingly influencing voter sentiment.

Trump's stance on cryptocurrencies is friendly, with Musk's public support, leading to a significant rise in Bitcoin and Dogecoin

Compared to Harris, Donald Trump, Trump's Republican opponent in the 2024 U.S. election, has a more friendly attitude towards cryptocurrencies. Trump has prominently incorporated support for cryptocurrencies into his campaign, in contrast with the Biden administration's conservative and cautious approach. This political divide further complicates the prospects for cryptocurrency regulation in the United States, as a Republican government's election could mean a more favorable regulatory environment for digital assets. With the expectation that Trump's election would be positive for cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Dogecoin (which Elon Musk has publicly supported) have recently seen decent price increases. However, investors should also be aware that if Trump is indeed elected, the positive impact may be followed by a price correction, as tokens strongly associated with the U.S. election, such as Dogecoin (click to learn about the latest token analysis), may experience price pullbacks.

Bitcoin Price Approaches Historic Highs in Optimistic Sentiment

The recent surge in Bitcoin highlights the optimistic sentiment among investors who believe political changes may usher in a more supportive era for cryptocurrencies in the US. Bitcoin prices recently reached $73,500, just slightly below the all-time high of $73,798 set on March 14 this year, once again underscoring the value of Bitcoin. This upward trend has further fueled Bitcoin's nearly 75% gain since the start of the year, with its price now more than double compared to a year ago.

Earlier this year, Bitcoin's consolidation phase had seen prices fluctuate between $60,000 and $65,000, testing investors' patience. However, recent political changes and new economic policies have driven the upward trend in Bitcoin. Key factors fueling this latest rally include the anticipated election results and the global monetary easing policies implemented by several Western central banks to address economic slowdown pressures.

Spot-Based Bitcoin ETFs and Resurgent Investor Confidence

The approval of spot-based Bitcoin ETFs in the US earlier this year marked a turning point for the crypto market. The first such fund, the iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) from BlackRock, quickly attracted investors and has accumulated nearly $24 billion in assets as of last week. These ETFs have simplified the channels for institutional and retail investors to access Bitcoin, expanding the market and supporting the price momentum of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin's resilience during early market volatility and its recovery indicate a resurgence of investor confidence, particularly as more traditional financial instruments now offer exposure to digital assets. Combined with the potential for government support for cryptocurrencies, the current price levels of Bitcoin suggest an optimistic attitude among investors towards a continued bull market cycle.

The Path Forward for Cryptocurrencies and Financial Inclusion

The Treasury's cautious stance, though seemingly at odds with Kamala Harris' campaign rhetoric, highlights the complexities of integrating cryptocurrencies into the mainstream financial system. Financial inclusion remains a priority, but digital assets still carry risks, and the Treasury and other regulators remain cautious. The upcoming elections may be a critical moment for the crypto industry, potentially reshaping the regulatory landscape and creating a more favorable environment for the growth of digital assets.

At the same time, Bitcoin's resilience and recent price growth underscore the strengthening of its long-term value. Whether driven by political developments, ETF approvals, or global monetary policies, Bitcoin is firmly establishing its position as a financial asset with enduring value, although its regulatory outlook remains contentious. The next few months will be a crucial period in shaping the political and economic framework for cryptocurrencies in the US, with far-reaching implications for financial inclusion and widespread access to digital assets.

About BingX

Established in 2018, BingX is a leading global cryptocurrency exchange that provides a diverse range of products and services, including spot, derivatives, copy trading, and asset management, to over 10 million users worldwide. BingX also regularly provides market analysis on mainstream cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin prices and Ethereum trends, catering to the needs of users from beginners to professionals. BingX is committed to providing a trustworthy platform, empowering users with innovative tools and features to enhance their trading capabilities. In 2024, BingX proudly became the main partner of Chelsea Football Club, marking its exciting debut in the world of sports.


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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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