Odaily星球日报讯 贝莱德首席执行官 Larry Fink 在出席沙特阿拉伯年度旗舰投资会议时表示，其认为美联储不会按照市场预期的速度降息，预计美联储只会在 2025 年再降息 25 个基点，因为目前全球通胀水平比以往任何时候都要高。此外，SkyBridge Capital 创始人 Anthony Scaramucci 在出席路透全球论坛时表示，美联储将允许通胀率比以前更高，以摆脱巨大的债务危机。（福布斯）

贝莱德CEO：美联储不会按照市场预期速度降息,或将在2025年再降息25个基点

Odaily Odaily reported that Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, said at the annual flagship investment conference in Saudi Arabia that he believed the Fed would not cut interest rates at the rate expected by the market, and expected the Fed to cut interest rates by only 25 basis points in 2025 because global inflation is higher than ever before. In addition, Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, said at the Reuters Global Forum that the Fed will allow inflation to be higher than before in order to get rid of the huge debt crisis. (Forbes)

BlackRock CEO: The Fed will not cut interest rates at the pace expected by the market, and may cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in 2025

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to a CICC research report, the actual GDP growth rate in the US in the third quarter of 2024 was 2.8% quarter-on-quarter on an annualized basis, slightly lower than the market expectation of 3.0%, and also slightly lower than the 3.0% in the second quarter, but still a bright report card. In terms of components, personal consumption expenditure was strong, corporate equipment investment expanded, exports and government spending accelerated, indicating that the US economic growth remains healthy. Relatively weak are real estate investment and construction investment, indicating that high interest rates are still having a suppressive effect. In addition, inflation further declined in the third quarter, suggesting that the US economy is heading towards a soft landing. We believe that the Fed does not need to cut interest rates significantly, and we expect a 25-basis-point rate cut next week, whether to skip the rate cut in December will depend on the progress of inflation. (Jinshi)

CICC: The US economy is heading for a soft landing, and the Fed does not need to cut interest rates significantly for the time being

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Sparta Capital Securities, said that the hints of further inflation rise have been basically confirmed in today's data, and the tricky part is the core PCE. This means that the Federal Reserve is likely to pause rate cuts at its next meeting. The possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts is greater than ever. Consumption remains strong, which we have seen from other macroeconomic indicators. Our current situation is that the economy is performing quite well, but inflation is still a problem, and core PCE continues to be somewhat elevated. This is a concerning issue, which means the Federal Reserve may pause rate cuts next week. (Jin Shi)

Economist: Fed may pause rate cuts next week

According to the CME "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed cutting 25 basis points in November is 96.2%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 3.8% (previously 99% and 1% respectively). The probability of maintaining the current interest rate in December is 1.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 29.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 69.6% (previously 0.5%, 22.9% and 76.6% respectively). (Gold Ten)

After the release of the “small non-farm payrolls” and US GDP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 96.2%