Polymarket data shows that the outcome of the US election may depend on Pennsylvania

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The prediction market Polymarket shows that Harris has a higher probability of winning in Michigan and Wisconsin than Trump. If Harris wins these two swing states, Pennsylvania will be the decisive factor in determining the winner of the US presidential election. On October 31, the CNN polling agency SRSS released a poll showing that neither candidate had a clear advantage, but Harris's chances of winning in two of the six "battleground states" have risen sharply. Harris's chances of winning Wisconsin and Michigan have increased by 5% and 6% respectively. In addition, her probability of winning the general election has risen to 45.4%, while Trump's probability has fallen to 54.6%, a difference of less than 10 percentage points. Furthermore, a report released by Research shows that Trump is leading in 18 different platforms, with varying results from proprietary models to prediction markets. However, the data shows that most of the results are very close, and he has lost his lead in 13 of the 18 platforms evaluated. (CryptoSlate)