Odaily星球日报讯 据链上分析师余烬监测，美国大选即将到来，某鲸鱼过去 11 个小时里在 Polymarket 上花费 500 万枚 USDC 押注哈里斯胜选。 他在 11 个小时前从币安提出 500 万枚 USDC，然后存入 Polymarket 全部押注哈里斯赢下大选。如果哈里斯胜选他会获得高达 1087 万美元的回报。

Odaily星球日报讯 据链上分析师余烬监测，美国大选即将到来，某鲸鱼过去 11 个小时里在 Polymarket 上花费 500 万枚 USDC 押注哈里斯胜选。他在 11 个小时前从币安提出 500 万枚 USDC，然后存入 Polymarket 全部押注哈里斯赢下大选。如果哈里斯胜选他会获得高达 1087 万美元的回报。

某鲸鱼过去11小时内在Polymarket上花费500万枚USDC押注哈里斯胜选

Odaily Planet Daily Report According to on-chain analyst Yu Jing's monitoring, the US election is approaching, and a certain whale has spent 5 million USDC on Polymarket in the past 11 hours to bet on Harris' victory. He withdrew 5 million USDC from Binance 11 hours ago and then deposited the full amount into Polymarket to bet on Harris winning the election. If Harris wins, he will receive a return of up to $10.87 million.

Odaily Planet Daily Report According to on-chain analyst Yujin's monitoring, the US election is approaching, and a certain whale has spent 5 million USDC on Polymarket in the past 11 hours to bet on Harris' victory. He withdrew 5 million USDC from Binance 11 hours ago and then deposited the full amount into Polymarket to bet on Harris winning the election. If Harris wins, he will receive a return of up to $10.87 million.

A whale spent 5 million USDC on Polymarket in the past 11 hours to bet on Harris' victory

The author: Alexander Osipovich, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Compiled by: zhouzhou, BlockBeats
Editor's note: This article describes the situation of a French trader who calls himself Théo betting on Trump's victory on the prediction market Polymarket. He bet over $30 million, expecting Trump to win by a large margin. Théo insists he has no political motives, only to make money, but due to the huge amount of funds, he can hardly withdraw these bets and is facing huge risks...
'Block' must be translated into 'Block'.
'AR' must be translated into 'AR'.
'CKB' must be translated into 'CKB'.

30 million bets on Trump's victory: mysterious whale only wants to make money

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to the prediction market Polymarket, Harris's chances of winning in Michigan and Wisconsin have surpassed Trump's. If Harris wins these two swing states, Pennsylvania will become the decisive factor in determining the winner of the US presidential election. On October 31, the CNN polling agency SRSS released a poll showing that neither candidate had a clear advantage, but Harris's chances of winning in two of the six "battleground states" have risen sharply. Harris's chances of winning Wisconsin and Michigan have increased by 5% and 6% respectively. In addition, her probability of winning the general election has risen to 45.4%, while Trump's probability has fallen to 54.6%, a difference of less than 10 percentage points. Furthermore, a report released by <GAL> Research shows that Trump is leading in 18 different platforms, with varying results from proprietary models to prediction markets. However, the data shows that most of the results are very close, and he has lost his lead in 13 of the 18 platforms evaluated.

Polymarket data shows that the outcome of the US election may depend on Pennsylvania

After the dawn, history will arrive.

The fate of Bitcoin and the US presidential election at the White House seem to have never been so closely intertwined. Since the end of October, Trump's winning rate on major prediction platforms has been declining, and Bitcoin has also been fluctuating up and down. Related reading: <"On the Eve of the Storm, Trump is 'Energetic'">. As the "hero" and "Bitcoin president" of the crypto circle, if Trump wins the election, what kind of explosion will Bitcoin's price see? If he loses, what will the crypto circle and Bitcoin look like?

When the soldiers come, they will be blocked; when the water comes, the land will cover it. On the eve of the election day, let's take a look at the predictions of top traders...