Odaily星球日报讯 穆迪分析在一份报告中说，澳洲联储可能会在 11 月的会议上按兵不动。官方现金利率目前为 4.35%。尽管整体通胀率从 6 月季度的 3.8%降至 9 月季度的 2.8%，但核心通胀率仍令人不安地高于央行 2%-3%的目标区间。12 月季度通胀数据将于 1 月底公布。 该行表示：“我们预计澳洲联储将在明年 2 月份降息，开启其宽松周期。”（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 穆迪分析在一份报告中说，澳洲联储可能会在 11 月的会议上按兵不动。官方现金利率目前为 4.35%。尽管整体通胀率从 6 月季度的 3.8%降至 9 月季度的 2.8%，但核心通胀率仍令人不安地高于央行 2%-3%的目标区间。12 月季度通胀数据将于 1 月底公布。该行表示：“我们预计澳洲联储将在明年 2 月份降息，开启其宽松周期。”（金十）

穆迪：预计澳洲联储本周将按兵不动

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Moody's analysis in a report said that the Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to remain unchanged at its meeting in November. The official cash rate is currently 4.35%. Although the overall inflation rate has fallen from 3.8% in the June quarter to 2.8% in the September quarter, the core inflation rate remains uncomfortably above the central bank's 2%-3% target range. The inflation data for the December quarter will be released at the end of January. The bank said: "We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut interest rates in February next year, kicking off its easing cycle." (Gold Ten)

Moody's: RBA expected to remain on hold this week

Favorable news is emerging
According to the CME "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed cutting by 25 basis points in November is 99.7%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 0%, and the probability of cutting by 50 basis points is 0.3%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate in December is 0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 19.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 80.3%.
Before the release of the non-farm payroll, the probability of the Fed cutting by 25 basis points in November is 93.1%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 6.9%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate in December is 5.2%, ...

Interest rate cut is imminent: liquidity explosion

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to a research report by China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the U.S. non-farm data in October was weak and fell short of expectations, partly affected by the impact of hurricanes and strikes. Hurricanes forced a large number of people to evacuate, significantly reducing the response rate of corporate surveys, resulting in a sharp drop in employment in the leisure and accommodation service industries, and a surge in the number of people unable to go to work due to weather reasons. Strikes also led to a significant contraction in manufacturing employment. However, these are temporary disturbances, and their impact may be reversed in the coming months. Overall, the U.S. labor market is still gradually cooling, and there are no signs of a rapid deterioration. Considering the overall economic data, it is predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, and monetary policy will continue to return to normal, but the pace of interest rate cuts will not be as aggressive as the market previously expected. (Gold Ten)

CICC: Taking into account the overall economic data, it is predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week

After the dawn, history will arrive.

The fate of Bitcoin and the US presidential election at the White House seem to have never been so closely intertwined. Since the end of October, Trump's winning rate on major prediction platforms has been declining, and Bitcoin has also been fluctuating up and down. Related reading: <"On the Eve of the Storm, Trump is 'Energetic'">. As the "hero" and "Bitcoin president" of the crypto circle, if Trump wins the election, what kind of explosion will Bitcoin's price see? If he loses, what will the crypto circle and Bitcoin look like?

When the soldiers come, they will be blocked; when the water comes, the land will cover it. On the eve of the election day, let's take a look at the predictions of top traders...