Odaily星球日报讯 据财联社报道，足以大幅影响政策走向的美国大选胜负难料，华尔街严阵以待。交易柜台将通霄值班，也安排香港和新加坡团队帮忙。做多美元、做空债券的“特朗普交易”可能会加仓，或者快速平仓。一些机构针对此次大选采取的措施前所未见。一家总部位于伦敦的对冲基金专门为此刻准备了“举世震惊”的电脑模型。一些银行正为社会骚乱的风险做好准备，无论这种风险多么遥不可及，万一成真，将震动美国、世界和全球金融市场。摩根大通计划增加欧洲和亚洲的人员配置，以应对隔夜的交易和波动；高盛预计将有数百名销售和交易团队在纽约工作至深夜，更多人准备在家上线。整个行业的美国员工都在为通宵工作做好准备。哈里斯和特朗普在最后冲刺向选民拉票之际，美国社会两极分化，选情又如此胶着，金融业正在沙盘推演可能的冲击。目前，市场认为特朗普将获胜。股市上涨，美元和加密货币也上涨。债券收益率攀升。如果哈里斯最终获胜，“特朗普交易”可能会迅速逆转，从而在一夜之间造成市场大幅波动。

华尔街为美大选通宵工作并请亚洲支援，防骚乱和“特朗普交易”仓位巨变

Odaily Odaily News According to Cailian News Agency, the outcome of the US election, which is enough to greatly affect the direction of policy, is unpredictable, and Wall Street is on high alert. Trading desks will be on duty all night, and teams in Hong Kong and Singapore will also be arranged to help. The &quot;Trump trade&quot; of long US dollars and short bonds may increase positions or close positions quickly. The measures taken by some institutions for this election are unprecedented. A London-based hedge fund has prepared a &quot;world-shocking&quot; computer model specifically for this moment. Some banks are preparing for the risk of social unrest, no matter how far-fetched this risk is, if it comes true, it will shake the US, the world and global financial markets. JPMorgan Chase plans to increase staffing in Europe and Asia to cope with overnight trading and volatility; Goldman Sachs expects hundreds of sales and trading teams to work late into the night in New York, and more people are ready to go online at home. American employees across the industry are preparing to work all night. As Harris and Trump make the final sprint to canvass voters, American society is polarized and the election is so stalemate that the financial industry is sandboxing possible impacts. At present, the market believes that Trump will win. Stocks rose, as did the dollar and cryptocurrencies. Bond yields climbed. If Harris ultimately wins, the &quot;Trump trade&quot; could be quickly reversed, causing big market moves overnight.

Wall Street works all night for the US election and asks Asia for support, anti-riot and "Trump trade" positions change dramatically

According to the news from Mars Finance, on November 5, according to 4E monitoring, as the US election entered the final countdown, on Monday, the three major US stock indexes collectively closed lower, with the S&P 500 index down 0.28%, the Dow Jones index down 0.61%, and the Nasdaq down 0.33%, as most investors remained cautious. Given the tight race between Trump and Harris, supporters on both sides have the urge to "bet again" before Monday. The Trump media and technology group, which had fallen by double digits for three consecutive days, rose 12.37% on Monday after initially falling 5%. Bets on Harris' victory are also increasing, and solar, clean energy concept stocks also rose collectively on Monday.

The cryptocurrency market has once again plummeted under the continued weakness of the "Trump trade". As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is reported at $67,939, down 1.4%, and Ethereum at $2,407, down 2.32%.

In the foreign exchange and commodity markets, the "Trump trade" has been reduced, and with the expectation of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Thursday, the US dollar index fell more than 0.4% to a two-week low on the eve of the election, with non-US currencies generally rising. Affected by OPEC+'s announcement to postpone production increases, oil prices were supported, rising by nearly 3% intraday. Gold prices were boosted by the need for safe-haven assets due to the uncertainty of the US election, expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and the US dollar index hitting a two-week low, with spot gold closing up 0.05% in the US stock market.

Over the past few days, a series of polls have shown that the gap between Trump and Harris's winning rates is rapidly narrowing, and the two sides are currently very close in votes, raising market concerns that a controversial vote count could delay the election results for several days, and that if Trump loses the election, his supporters may cite these data to "corroborate" election fraud, causing unrest. Another catalyst for risk aversion is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Powell's remarks at the press conference on Thursday.

Amid the two storms coming this week, market volatility has increased, and the demand for safe-haven assets has increased. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports cryptocurrencies, stock indexes, bulk gold, foreign exchange and other assets, and has recently launched a USDT stable coin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing potential safe-haven options for investors. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and allocate assets reasonably.

4E: The three major US stock indexes fell, Trump's trading "ebbs", and the market's risk aversion demand increased

This article will help Chinese crypto investors cope with possible market changes from multiple dimensions, including a historical review of the Chinese crypto market, the independence and linkage of global crypto finance, and the potential impact of Trump and Harris’ policies on the Chinese market.

The impact of Trump or Harris coming to power on Chinese crypto investors

Investors' risk appetite has decreased significantly, and they are preparing for the expected volatility.

Authored by: BitpushNews

As the US election enters the final stretch and the Fed's interest rate decision is about to be announced, investors' risk appetite has decreased significantly, and they are preparing for the expected volatility.

Data shows that the <Deribit> Bitcoin Volatility Index has reached its highest level since the end of July. Similarly, the <MOVE> index, which tracks the implied volatility of US Treasuries, rose to its highest level since October 2023 last Friday.

Fed Watch data shows that traders expect the Fed to...