Odaily星球日报讯 特朗普的合约在 Polymarket 平台上达到 65 美分，较之前的 60 美分有所上涨；哈里斯的合约最新报价为 35 美分。

特朗普合约在Polymarket上达到65美分，领先哈里斯合约30美分

Odaily Odaily reported that Trump&#39;s contract reached 65 cents on the Polymarket platform, up from the previous 60 cents; Harris&#39;s contract was latest quoted at 35 cents.

Trump contract hits 65 cents on Polymarket, 30 cents ahead of Harris contract

According to Polymarket data, the probability of Trump's victory has now risen to 57.7%, while the probability of Harris' victory has dropped to 42.3%.

Polymarket's Trump's chances of winning the election have risen to 57.7%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to Polymarket data, the probability of Trump winning the US presidential election has risen to 68%, while the probability of Harris winning the election has dropped to 32%, with the gap between the two widening to 36 percentage points.

Polymarket's Trump's chances of winning are 68%, 36 percentage points ahead of Harris

ChainCatcher reported that QCP's daily analysis stated that the race between Harris and Trump has reached a stalemate, and Polymarket's odds are gradually approaching the actual poll estimates. Currently, Polymarket still leans towards Trump, giving him a 55% chance of winning, but this is a significant decrease from the 66% a week ago. The weekend's sideways price trend and the decline in leveraged perpetual contract positions from $30 billion to $26 billion indicate that the market remains cautious. The options market has observed a large number of purchases of $75,000 call options expiring at the end of November since last Friday. As the election date approaches, the relevant option positions are also increasing, with the implied volatility exceeding 87 on Friday, even though the actual volatility is only 40. It is expected that the spot price will fluctuate within this range until the election results become clearer this week. If Trump wins, it may trigger a rapid price increase; conversely, if Kamala wins, the market may decline.