据CME“美联储观察”，美联储到11月降25个基点的概率为99.4%，降息25个基点的概率为0.6%。到12月累计降息25个基点的概率为32.0%，累计降息50个基点的概率为67.6%，累计降息75个基点的概率为0.4%。

<p>据CME“美联储观察”，美联储到11月降25个基点的概率为99.4%，降息25个基点的概率为0.6%。到12月累计降息25个基点的概率为32.0%，累计降息50个基点的概率为67.6%，累计降息75个基点的概率为0.4%。</p>

美联储11月降息25BP的概率为99.4%

According to the CME "FED Watch", the probability of the FED cutting by 25 basis points in November is 99.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 0.6%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by December is 32.0%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 67.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 0.4%.

The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 99.4%.

Odaily Odaily News: As preliminary U.S. election results are released, traders are cutting bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next year, while continuing to expect the Fed to cut interest rates in November and December. (Jinshi)

Traders cut bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next year and continue to expect the Fed to cut rates in November and December.

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius still believes that the Federal Reserve will achieve its previous hint of two rate cuts by the end of the year, especially after the release of a weaker-than-expected employment report last week. He expects this situation to continue in the first half of 2025. Hatzius said in a report last Sunday that "We expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates four times in a row in the first half of 2025, with the final rate reaching 3.25%-3.5%, but we have greater uncertainty about the pace and ultimate target of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts next year," he added that his forecast is about 50 basis points higher than the market consensus. (Gold Ten)

Goldman Sachs: We firmly believe that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year and four times in the first half of next year

Odaily Planet Daily News: Morgan Chase has revised its forecast for the US Federal Reserve's interest rate in 2025, predicting a rate cut once per quarter starting in March. (Gold Ten)