Ethereum Surges 20% as Whale Investors Return… Will It Overcome Overbought Concerns and Rise Further?

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This 20% increase has sparked positive expectations among investors, but uncertainty remains as to whether this upward trend will continue without reversal.

The Return of Ethereum Whales

Increased activity of Ethereum whales has revived confidence among high-net-worth individuals. The number of addresses holding more than $100,000 worth of ETH increased by 17%, and the number of addresses holding more than $1 million increased by 19%. The large-scale accumulation of ETH by high-net-worth individuals suggests growing confidence in the future price appreciation of Ethereum, and whales appear to be expecting further gains. Large investors are generally seen as market stabilizers who reduce volatility by holding assets long-term, so the increased participation of whales is often interpreted as a bullish signal. As these large holders establish their positions, the price stability of Ethereum may improve, adding resilience to the recent rally.
Ethereum whale addresses.
Ethereum whale addresses. Source: Glassnode
Ethereum's overall momentum has reached a critical juncture, and technical indicators suggest the possibility of a reversal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key indicator of overbought or oversold conditions, is approaching the overbought territory. Historically, Ethereum has experienced a brief surge followed by a price reversal after entering this region, but it has also maintained the overbought state for an extended period without an immediate decline. Considering the current market conditions, if the RSI breaks through the overbought zone, it could lead to a price correction for Ethereum.
Ethereum RSI
Ethereum RSI. Source: TradingView

Ethereum Price Forecast: Securing the Support Level

Ethereum's price has surged 20% over the past 3 days, currently trading at $2,911. The cryptocurrency is attempting to establish the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $2,899 as a support level. Maintaining this support could strengthen Ethereum's upward momentum and potentially prevent a reversal. If Ethereum can secure the $2,899 support level, it could potentially rise above $3,000. This level, often considered a bullish support, could provide the foundation needed for Ethereum's price recovery. Successfully holding this price range could boost investor confidence and signal further upside potential.
Ethereum price analysis
Ethereum price analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if it fails to close above $2,899, the potential for a downside move could open up. Along with profit-taking by short-term holders, Ethereum's price could drop to $2,745. Such a decline could invalidate the bullish narrative and potentially shift sentiment among investors to short-term bearishness. Ethereum's price has recently shown a strong upward trend, breaking out of the long-term consolidation range it had been trapped in since August and reaching a 3-month high. This 20% increase has sparked optimism among investors, but uncertainty remains as to whether the upward momentum will continue without a reversal.

The Return of Ethereum Whales

Increased activity of Ethereum whales has revived confidence among high-net-worth individuals. The number of addresses holding more than $100,000 worth of ETH increased by 17%, and the number of addresses holding more than $1 million increased by 19%. The large-scale accumulation of ETH by high-net-worth individuals suggests growing confidence in the future price appreciation of Ethereum, and whales appear to be expecting further gains. Large investors are generally seen as market stabilizers who reduce volatility by holding assets long-term, so the increased participation of whales is often interpreted as a bullish signal. As these large holders establish their positions, the price stability of Ethereum may improve, adding resilience to the recent rally.
Ethereum whale addresses.
Ethereum whale addresses. Source: Glassnode
Ethereum's overall momentum has reached a critical juncture, and technical indicators suggest the possibility of a reversal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key indicator of overbought or oversold conditions, is approaching the overbought territory. Historically, Ethereum has experienced a brief surge followed by a price reversal after entering this region, but it has also maintained the overbought state for an extended period without an immediate decline. Considering the current market conditions, if the RSI breaks through the overbought zone, it could lead to a price correction for Ethereum.
Ethereum RSI
Ethereum RSI. Source: TradingView

Ethereum Price Forecast: Securing the Support Level

Ethereum's price has surged 20% over the past 3 days, currently trading at $2,911. The cryptocurrency is attempting to establish the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $2,899 as a support level. Maintaining this support could strengthen Ethereum's upward momentum and potentially prevent a reversal.

If Ethereum can secure $2,899 as a support level, it can rise above $3,000. This level, often considered a bullish support, can provide the foundation needed for Ethereum's price recovery. Maintaining this price range successfully can increase investor confidence and the potential for further upside. However, if it fails to close above $2,899, there is a potential for a downside. Along with short-term holders taking profits, Ethereum's price can drop to $2,745. Such a decline could invalidate the bullish narrative and potentially shift sentiment among investors towards short-term bearishness.
Ethereum Price Analysis
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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