Odaily星球日报讯 交易员加大了对美联储 12 月降息的押注。交易员现在定价美联储 12 月降息的可能性约为 75%，而美国通胀数据公布前为 60%。（金十）

交易员加大对美联储12月降息的押注

Odaily Odaily News: Traders have increased their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December. Traders are now pricing in about a 75% chance of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, compared to 60% before the release of U.S. inflation data. (Jinshi)

Traders raise bets on Fed rate cut in December

Odaily Planet Daily Report: IG market strategist said that Trump's election as US president has directly led to a reduction in expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates before 2025, the potential "red wave" means there is little resistance to his tax cuts and spending plans, plus his stance on raising tariffs. The strategist said, "Overall, this may complicate the Fed's efforts to fight inflation, and we may expect the Fed to be more cautious in the future easing process, indicating upward pressure on yields and the US dollar." Traders now believe the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in December is 68%, compared to about 83% before Trump's victory. (Gold Ten)

Analyst: Trump's victory directly led to a reduction in the Fed's expectations of rate cuts before 2025

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Goldman Sachs senior market strategist Dom Wilson said that the focus of the market and most of the volatility is clearly due to the post-election transition. The November Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conveyed a "steady progress" message, so it may take a truly significant surprise to drive the market. Dom Wilson said that the warming data may reinforce the view that the fight against inflation is not over, and could further reduce the probability of a rate cut in December, especially given the more optimistic inflation cycle priced into the market since the election. (Gold Ten)

Goldman Sachs: Rising CPI data may lead the market to further reduce the probability of a December rate cut

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The global market's attention is now turning to the upcoming release of US inflation data, which may affect people's views on the Federal Reserve's room for further rate cuts. US Treasury yields and the US dollar are rising, indicating that investors expect President Trump's plan to impose trade tariffs and tax cuts to put inflationary pressure. Against this backdrop, US stocks have fallen, as relatively high borrowing costs may become an obstacle to risk investments, including cryptocurrencies. (Bloomberg)