Odaily星球日报讯 美联储洛根表示，美联储“很有可能”需要进一步降息，但应“谨慎行事”。如果美联储过度降息，超过中性水平，通胀可能会重新加速。美联储在降低通胀、恢复经济平衡方面已取得“重大进展”，很难判断需要多少次降息，以及降息速度需要多快。（注：洛根在周三的讲话是在十月份CPI数据发布之前准备的。（金十）

美联储洛根：美联储很有可能需要进一步降息但应谨慎行事

Odaily Odaily: Fed&#39;s Logan said that the Fed &quot;very likely&quot; needs to cut interest rates further, but should &quot;act with caution&quot;. If the Fed cuts interest rates too much and exceeds the neutral level, inflation may re-accelerate. The Fed has made &quot;significant progress&quot; in reducing inflation and restoring economic balance. It is difficult to judge how many rate cuts are needed and how fast the rate cuts need to be. (Note: Logan&#39;s speech on Wednesday was prepared before the release of the October CPI data. (Jinshi)

Fed's Logan: Fed likely needs to cut rates further but should proceed with caution

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Federal Reserve Chair Barr stated that the economic conditions are good, which allows the Federal Reserve to lower borrowing costs. "Strong but more discerning consumers, coupled with a more productive and higher-value workforce, have made the economic situation very favorable." Barr said in a speech prepared for the Baltimore Joint Summit on Tuesday. "Regardless of how the economy develops, the Federal Reserve has the ability to respond appropriately," he said, noting that interest rates have moved away from their peak but are still higher than historical lows. Barr said he is considering two scenarios for the economy: as the uncertainty of the election subsides, businesses may begin to reinvest and hire again, allowing the Federal Reserve to focus on the upside risks to inflation. Alternatively, businesses may resort to layoffs to cope with the profit margin pressure caused by weakening pricing power, which will increase the employment risks facing the Federal Reserve. (Gold Ten)

Fed's Barkin: Fed has the ability to respond to economic changes

According to the "Fed Watch" of <CME>, the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged in December is 24.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 75.7% (37.9% and 62.1% respectively before the CPI release). The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged in January next year is 16.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 59.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 24.3% (26.5%, 54.9%, and 18.6% respectively before the CPI release). (Gold Ten)

After the release of the US CPI, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 75.7%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The global market's attention is now turning to the upcoming release of US inflation data, which may affect people's views on the Federal Reserve's room for further rate cuts. US Treasury yields and the US dollar are rising, indicating that investors expect President Trump's plan to impose trade tariffs and tax cuts to put inflationary pressure. Against this backdrop, US stocks have fallen, as relatively high borrowing costs may become an obstacle to risk investments, including cryptocurrencies. (Bloomberg)