HTX in-depth research report: BTCFi ecosystem growth and future prospects

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In the midst of the volatility and transformation of the global financial environment, the rise of digital currencies has become an undeniable trend, especially Bitcoin, the largest digital asset, leading the way. Currently, the financialization of Bitcoin is accelerating. In the 2024 US presidential election, Donald Trump's victory will bring new uncertainties and shocks to the global economy. However, against this backdrop, Bitcoin's price has hit a new historical high, attracting widespread attention from global investors.

BTC | USDT Annual Yield up to 10%

The surge in Bitcoin's price and Trump's victory form a subtle interaction. Historically, when political transitions bring uncertainty, Bitcoin, known as "digital gold," often receives more attention as a hedge asset. This trend was particularly evident in 2024. Trump's policy tendencies in terms of tax, fiscal spending, and cryptocurrency regulation differ from the previous government. His public support for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market has triggered changes in market sentiment and expectations. As a hedge tool against global economic uncertainty, the value of Bitcoin continues to rise, highlighting the increasingly important position of decentralized assets in the global financial system.

As Bitcoin reaches new highs, the BTCFi (Bitcoin Finance) ecosystem is also rapidly developing. BTCFi is not only an extension of Bitcoin as a store of value, but also a groundbreaking innovation that integrates Bitcoin into the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. By supporting decentralized lending, staking, and stablecoin protocols, BTCFi has endowed Bitcoin with new financial functions, driving the development of a more mature financial ecosystem. In this broader context, this article will delve into the rise of the BTCFi ecosystem and its core mechanisms, analyze Bitcoin's market performance in the new political environment, and explore how BTCFi projects are shaping Bitcoin's future. Through the analysis of several key projects, we will explore Bitcoin's role in the global financial system and its future growth prospects, further revealing the powerful potential of Bitcoin's financialization.

1. Overview of the BTCFi Ecosystem

1) Definition and Core Concept of BTCFi

BTCFi (Bitcoin Finance) is a financial services platform and protocol built around Bitcoin (BTC) and its ecosystem, integrating decentralized finance (DeFi) technology. Its core mission is to provide Bitcoin holders with more diverse financial applications, such as lending, staking, and stablecoin issuance, through decentralized protocols, thereby expanding Bitcoin's financial functions.

2) Key Features of the BTCFi Ecosystem:

Decentralization and Autonomy: BTCFi operates through decentralized protocols and smart contracts, eliminating the dependence on traditional financial intermediaries and achieving autonomous financial operations.

Financialization of Bitcoin: BTCFi transforms Bitcoin from a simple store of value asset into a multi-functional financial asset that can be used for lending, staking, and participating in stablecoin issuance, expanding its financial application scenarios.

Diversified Financial Services: BTCFi is not only a tool for storing Bitcoin's value, but also integrates various DeFi application scenarios, including lending, staking, and stablecoins, providing Bitcoin holders with a variety of income sources.

3) Development Background of BTCFi

Since its inception, Bitcoin has been regarded as "digital gold," primarily used for value storage and cross-border payments. However, due to Bitcoin's lack of native smart contract functionality, traditional DeFi protocols (such as those based on Ethereum) were unable to widely support the use of Bitcoin. Therefore, how to integrate Bitcoin into the DeFi ecosystem has long been a major challenge for the Bitcoin community and the cryptocurrency industry.

With the development of cross-chain technology and Layer-2 solutions, the DeFi ecosystem for Bitcoin has gradually taken shape. Particularly with the emergence of cross-chain protocols, Bitcoin can now interoperate with other blockchains (such as Ethereum and Solana), enabling its application in smart contracts and DeFi services.

4) Current Market Status of BTCFi

As of 2024, the BTCFi ecosystem has entered a phase of rapid development. Bitcoin-based lending platforms, staking platforms, and stablecoin protocols have been launched, attracting a large influx of capital. Platforms like Babylon, Helium, and Shell Finance have become important participants in the BTCFi ecosystem, demonstrating that Bitcoin is not only a store of value, but also a digital asset with multiple application scenarios that can participate in the global financial system.

At the same time, with the rise in Bitcoin's price and the expansion of the DeFi market, BTCFi has attracted widespread attention from Bitcoin holders, investors, developers, and innovators. This attention has driven the formation of a diversified financial ecosystem, further accelerating the global financialization of Bitcoin.

2. Analysis of the Core Mechanisms of BTCFi

1) Lending Protocols

Lending protocols are one of the most important applications in the BTCFi ecosystem. Traditionally, Bitcoin as a digital asset has not participated in the lending market. However, BTCFi protocols enable Bitcoin to be used as collateral for decentralized lending. BTCFi lending protocols typically adopt a P2P (peer-to-peer) mechanism, allowing borrowers to use Bitcoin as collateral to borrow other digital assets or fiat currencies.

Liquidium: The Liquidium platform allows Bitcoin holders to obtain loans of other assets by pledging Bitcoin. The platform uses smart contracts to automate operations and ensure the safety of borrowers' and lenders' funds. Borrowers can earn interest on the pledged Bitcoin while paying interest.

Shell Finance: As another typical BTCFi lending platform, Shell Finance provides cross-chain lending services, allowing users to use Bitcoin as collateral to borrow stablecoins. Users can use these stablecoins for value-added activities in DeFi protocols or as liquidity providers.

The success of these lending platforms marks a breakthrough for BTCFi in providing liquidity for Bitcoin holders, laying a solid foundation for Bitcoin's integration into the DeFi ecosystem.

2) Stablecoin Protocols

The stablecoin protocols in BTCFi use Bitcoin and its derivative assets (such as Ordinals and Rune) as collateral to issue stablecoins pegged to the price of Bitcoin. Given the high volatility of Bitcoin, the stablecoin protocols regulate the supply and circulation through smart contracts and decentralized mechanisms to maintain stability against the price of Bitcoin.

Shell Finance's Bitcoin-pegged Stablecoin: Shell Finance allows users to issue stablecoins by pledging Bitcoin through its decentralized stablecoin protocol, providing liquidity in multiple DeFi protocols. This stablecoin benefits from the price backing of Bitcoin, reducing the credit risk of traditional stablecoins.

Babylon Stablecoin: Babylon provides a Bitcoin-collateralized stablecoin, allowing users to pledge Bitcoin as collateral. Babylon's stablecoin has cross-chain functionality and supports circulation on multiple chains.

The introduction of stablecoin protocols in BTCFi not only increases the liquidity of Bitcoin but also provides a more stable payment tool for the application of Bitcoin in the global payment system.

3) Staking Mechanism

In the BTCFi ecosystem, the staking mechanism allows Bitcoin holders to earn rewards by pledging Bitcoin on the decentralized network. Since the Bitcoin protocol itself does not support PoS consensus, this mechanism is usually implemented through cross-chain technology or Layer-2 solutions.

Babylon Staking Platform: Babylon collaborates with multiple public chains, allowing users to stake Bitcoin on these public chains. Users can earn rewards through staking, and the platform also provides certain risk protection measures.

Helium Cross-Chain Staking: Helium uses cross-chain technology to support staking Bitcoin on other blockchains that support PoS consensus. This way, users can earn Bitcoin staking rewards while also contributing to the security of other blockchains.

The staking mechanism significantly improves the liquidity of Bitcoin and provides value-added opportunities for Bitcoin holders.

4) Re-Staking Mechanism

The re-staking mechanism is an innovative feature in the BTCFi ecosystem. Users can re-stake the already staked Bitcoin or other crypto assets to earn additional rewards. Unlike the traditional staking mechanism, re-staking has higher yield potential and maximizes the utilization of cross-chain assets.

Eigenlayer: Eigenlayer is a protocol that supports re-staking, allowing Bitcoin holders to stake assets on the Eigenlayer platform and participate in re-staking on multiple blockchain networks supported by the platform. Through re-staking, users can not only earn staking rewards but also additional income from other networks.

The re-staking mechanism brings higher capital efficiency to the BTCFi ecosystem and provides more value-added opportunities for users.

5) BTCFi Market Performance and Key Competitors

The performance of the BTCFi market has always been affected by the volatility of the BTC price. However, with the rise of DeFi, the BTCFi market has gradually grown. According to data from 2024, the market size of BTCFi platforms such as Babylon, Liquidium, and Shell Finance has exceeded billions of dollars, attracting a large number of investors and users.

Market Size: By the end of 2024, the total market size of BTCFi is expected to approach $50 billion and continue to grow in the coming years. Lending and stablecoin protocols are the two core components of the BTCFi ecosystem, occupying the largest market share.

User Growth: The user growth of BTCFi platforms has been significant, especially during periods of substantial BTC price increases. The demand for lending and staking platforms is stronger. Many investors and institutions view BTC as a long-term holding asset and use BTCFi protocols to generate additional income.

6) The main competitors of BTCFi include:

Ethereum DeFi Ecosystem: The DeFi ecosystem of Ethereum is already quite mature, with well-known protocols like Uniswap, Compound, and Aave. However, BTCFi leverages the brand influence and decentralized nature of Bitcoin, providing stronger security and transparency advantages.

Cross-Chain Platforms: With the continuous development of cross-chain technology, blockchain platforms such as Polkadot, Cosmos, and Avalanche are launching Bitcoin-compatible protocols. Although these platforms have certain technical advantages, the core position of Bitcoin as the leading digital asset provides a unique competitive edge for BTCFi.

DeFi 2.0 Projects: The emergence of DeFi 2.0 protocols brings new competition to the BTCFi ecosystem. These projects provide more diverse services through innovative mechanisms, pushing BTCFi to improve its technical capabilities and market positioning.

7) The main risks faced by BTCFi include:

Technical Risks: BTCFi's technology relies on the scalability of Bitcoin and the support of cross-chain protocols. If there are issues with the scalability or security of Bitcoin, it may affect the performance and stability of BTCFi financial protocols.

Market Risks: The volatility of the BTC price remains the biggest uncertainty for BTCFi platforms. Price fluctuations may lead to defaults in lending protocols or significant changes in the value of collateral.

Compliance Risks: As global cryptocurrency regulations become stricter, BTCFi platforms may face challenges in meeting the compliance requirements of different regions, which could hinder their future growth and development.

8) Technical Development Direction

The future growth of BTCFi will depend on the following technological advancements:

Improvement of cross-chain protocols: The BTCFi platform needs to enhance its compatibility with other blockchains, promoting the interoperability of Bitcoin and various assets to support a more diverse range of financial applications.

Widespread adoption of Layer-2 solutions: By promoting Layer-2 technology, BTCFi can overcome the scalability limitations of Bitcoin, increasing the network's transaction capacity and processing speed.

Enhanced privacy and security: As the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, BTCFi must strengthen its privacy protection and security measures to reduce the risks of hacker attacks and data breaches.

9) Market Expansion and Application Scenarios

BTCFi should expand its application scenarios, especially in penetrating the traditional financial market. Collaboration with banks and payment service providers will help BTCFi introduce more traditional financial products, such as options, ETFs, and credit products.

10) Investor Education and Compliance

As the BTCFi ecosystem continues to evolve, investor education and compliance will be key to sustainable development. BTCFi should establish good working relationships with global regulatory authorities, strengthen compliance efforts, and provide comprehensive educational resources to help users make informed investment decisions.

Conclusion

As an essential component of the financialization of Bitcoin, BTCFi is gradually transforming the global financial ecosystem. By supporting decentralized lending, staking, and stablecoin protocols, BTCFi has created new financial use cases for Bitcoin and is driving its deeper integration into the DeFi ecosystem.

Source
Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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