Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Kalshi 数据显示年底前 BTC 达 10 万美元可能性为 85%，15 万美元为 9%，而根据 Kalshi 平台上的平均预测显示，在 2025 新的一年里 125,000 美元的 BTC 价格或将成为现实。分析认为，比特币价格上涨因素中 ETF 发挥了关键作用，吸收了长期持有者 90%以上的卖方压力。（Cointelegraph）

预测市场数据显示BTC年底前达10万美元可能性为85%，15万美元为9%

Odaily Odaily predicts that the Kalshi market data shows that the probability of BTC reaching $100,000 by the end of the year is 85%, and $150,000 is 9%. According to the average forecast on the Kalshi platform, the BTC price of $125,000 may become a reality in the new year of 2025. Analysts believe that ETFs have played a key role in the rise of Bitcoin prices, absorbing more than 90% of the selling pressure from long-term holders. (Cointelegraph)

Prediction market data shows that the probability of BTC reaching $100,000 by the end of the year is 85%, and $150,000 is 9%.

According to the relevant page, the probability of the prediction "Bitcoin will break through the $100,000 mark today" on Polymarket is 69%. As of the time of writing, $1.429 million has been involved in this prediction.

Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Bitcoin will break through $100,000 today" is 69%

On November 22, the price of Bitcoin broke through the $99,000 mark, setting a new all-time high, and is just one step away from the long-awaited $100,000. The increase has exceeded 40% in the past two weeks. Since Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election on November 5, the market capitalization of the <crypto> market has increased by about $900 billion, becoming the focus of attention in the global financial market.

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Odaily Planet Daily Report: Intelligent Alpha, a company that uses artificial intelligence to build investment portfolios, says it has formed an investment committee composed of three artificial intelligences: OpenAI's ChatGPT, Google's Gemini, and Anthropic's Claude, and is managing a $30 million investment fund. Founder and CEO Doug Clinton said the company had previously focused on traditional finance and had basically not involved in cryptocurrencies, but had started specifically experimenting with BTC in the past five months. The goal is to have AI trade BTC based on different target prices. Clinton said: "In a bull market - if Trump wins, a more favorable regulatory environment - AI thinks BTC could rise to $140,000. Perhaps this is the scenario we are now working to achieve."