Odaily星球日报讯 景顺资产配置研究全球主管 Paul Jackson 在一次网络研讨会上表示，2025 年，包括美联储在内的各国央行将继续降息。美国的利率已经足够高，美联储可能会让宽松的进程继续下去。“全球绝大多数央行”的情况也将如此。

景顺资管：2025年各国央行料将继续降息

Odaily Odaily Paul Jackson, global head of asset allocation research at Invesco, said in a webinar that in 2025, central banks, including the Federal Reserve, will continue to cut interest rates. U.S. interest rates are already high enough, and the Fed is likely to continue the easing process. The same will be true for &quot;the vast majority of central banks in the world.&quot;

Invesco Asset Management: Central banks are expected to continue cutting interest rates in 2025

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Investment bank Stifel economist Lindsey Piegza said that the Federal Reserve is about to suspend policy adjustments, as recent remarks by Chairman Powell reflect the formation of stricter standards in this regard. Federal Reserve officials are increasingly focused on whether economic data exceeds expectations, rather than just on strong economic performance. If the economy continues to show significant stability next year, the Federal Reserve may face challenges regarding potential rate cuts. I expect three more rate cuts next year, bringing rates closer to a neutral level, and lowering rates to 3.75% by the third quarter, which is a reasonable neutral level. As for this year, if the December data meets expectations, I believe the Federal Reserve will make the third round of rate cuts.

Analysts: The Fed may suspend policy adjustments and may cut interest rates three times next year

The European Central Bank Governing Council member Holzmann stated that a 25 basis point rate cut in December is imaginable, but the rate cut will not be larger. No decision has been made on the next interest rate change, which will depend on the data available at the December meeting. Trump is casting a shadow over Europe's inflation, which may push up inflation expectations. (Gold Ten)

ECB board member Holzmann: May cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, but the cut will not be larger

According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged in December is 25.5%, and the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 74.5%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged in January next year is 20.6%, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 65.1%, and the probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut is 14.3%.