Odaily星球日报讯 美国芝加哥联储主席 Goolsbee 表示，降息速度可能会在 2025 年放缓。希望美联储在 2025 年底前能够将利率降至接近中性区间。

芝加哥联储主席：降息速度可能会在2025年放缓

Odaily Odaily News: Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said that the pace of interest rate cuts may slow down in 2025. It is hoped that the Federal Reserve will be able to lower interest rates to a close to neutral range by the end of 2025.

Chicago Fed President: Rate cuts may slow in 2025

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The seasonally adjusted non-farm employment in the US increased by 227,000 in November, the largest increase since March 2024, exceeding the expected 200,000. The previous value was revised upward from 12,000 to 36,000. The US unemployment rate in November was 4.2%, in line with expectations, compared to the previous value of 4.10%. Analysts said that at first glance, this report does not show signs of economic recession. The job market has not fallen to the bottom, but there are indeed signs of slowing down. Considering the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate, the upper limit of the target range is 4.75%, more than one percentage point higher than the core inflation rate, and there are still valid reasons for further rate cuts. The non-farm employment report is one of the last major data sets the Federal Reserve will consider before deciding whether to cut interest rates for the third consecutive time at the December meeting. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said this week that the Federal Reserve can be "a little more cautious" on the issue of interest rate cuts, as the US economy is "in very good shape" and the inflation level is slightly higher than previously expected.

Analysts: The case for further Fed rate cuts remains valid

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Sarah House, Managing Director and Senior Economist at Wells Fargo, and Aubrey Woessner, Economist, stated that the US November CPI may show that progress in fighting inflation is stalling. The unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate is expected to rise from 2.6% to 2.7%. They believe the unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate will remain in the narrow range of 3.2%-3.3% for the sixth consecutive month. Although some inflationary factors, such as an overheated labor market, continue to subside, new obstacles unfavorable to the decline in inflation have emerged, including the possibility of imposing tariffs and tax cuts. The US November CPI report will be released next Wednesday, a week before the Fed's interest rate decision. The futures market is currently digesting the Fed's decision to cut rates by 25 basis points. (Gold Ten)

Wells Fargo: Futures markets are pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed

Odaily Odaily reported that Federal Reserve Board member Bowman said that core inflation has risen and the progress of inflation seems to have stagnated. Next week's inflation data will help determine interest rates, and the Fed is inclined to lower interest rates cautiously and gradually. (Jinshi)