Odaily星球日报讯 美国 11 月通胀数据将于今日晚些时候公布，在此之前美元小幅走高。然而，德国中央合作银行研究部的 Mario Schimmels 表示，如果年核心通胀率像该行预期的那样从 10 月份的 3.3%降至 11 月份的 3.2%，美元可能会在短期内“有所贬值”。“尽管能源价格的价格抑制效应可能已经失去了部分作用，但预计服务业的价格压力将有所缓解。”他表示，工资压力已经缓解，公寓租金也只是在新合同中略有上涨。接受《华尔街日报》调查的多数分析师预计，核心 CPI 将保持不变，为 3.3%。（金十）

机构：若美国核心CPI下降，美元可能会转跌

Odaily Odaily News: The dollar edged higher ahead of U.S. inflation data for November, which will be released later today. However, Mario Schimmels of DZ Bank Research said the dollar could &quot;depreciate somewhat&quot; in the short term if annual core inflation falls to 3.2% in November from 3.3% in October, as the bank expects. &quot;While the price-suppressing effect of energy prices may have lost some of its effect, price pressures in the service sector are expected to ease.&quot; He said wage pressures have eased and apartment rents have only risen slightly in new contracts. Most analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect core CPI to remain unchanged at 3.3%. (Jinshi)

Agency: If the US core CPI declines, the US dollar may turn down

Odaily reports that the US CPI report for November will be released on Wednesday. Economists expect the CPI year-on-year growth rate to be 2.7%, slightly higher than the 10.6% in October. A Bank of America strategist said that after the market's muted reaction to the CPI readings in the past few months, this inflation data could be particularly influential for the US stock market. The strategist added that "Conversely, a stronger CPI data could reignite volatility, especially given the 5% rebound in US stocks after the election." More importantly, the inflation data will impact the Fed's upcoming interest rate decision. If there is an upside surprise, it could increase the likelihood of the Fed pausing its rate cut cycle sooner. According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the market expects an 86% probability of the Fed cutting rates by another 25 basis points at its meeting next week.

If the CPI unexpectedly rises tomorrow night, it may trigger the Fed to suspend interest rate cuts earlier

Here is the English translation:

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, on the eve of the release of the US CPI data, US stocks fell collectively, with the three major indices all declining. The S&P 500 index closed down 0.30%, the Dow Jones index closed down 0.35%, marking the fourth consecutive trading day of decline, and the Nasdaq fell after hitting a new intraday high, ultimately closing down 0.25%. Large-cap tech stocks were mixed, with Tesla rising 2.87% to a new three-year high, Google A shares rising 5.59%, the largest single-day gain since April. In the crypto concept stock sector, <MicroStrategy> rose 3.3% as the market speculated it may be included in the Nasdaq 100 index, while <Coinbase> fell 2.61%. The crypto market experienced a violent correction, affected by Google's launch of the latest quantum chip Willow, which triggered discussions in the crypto community about quantum computing attacks. <Bitcoin> fell from around $100,000 to nearly $94,000, while <Altcoins> generally fell 20%, becoming the biggest decline in the recent market. As of the time of writing, <Bitcoin> is hovering around $97,000.

In the foreign exchange and commodity markets, the US dollar index rose to a new one-week high, continuing to rise for the third consecutive day; risk aversion sentiment due to geopolitical factors and market bets on the Fed's rate cut next week boosted gold prices, with spot gold rising over 1% to test $2,700; the easing of the situation in Syria and potential stimulus measures in major emerging economies supported market confidence, stabilizing oil prices.

The market is currently focused on the release of the US November CPI data at 21:30 tonight, which will largely influence the Fed's interest rate path at the meeting on December 17-18. The CME's FedWatch tool shows that traders see an 86% chance of a rate cut next week. <eeee.com> is a financial trading platform that supports cryptocurrencies, stock indices, gold, and foreign exchange assets, and has recently launched a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential hedging option. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and allocate assets reasonably.

4E: The three major U.S. stock indexes fell, the volatility of the crypto market increased, and the market waited for tonight's CPI data

The crypto market continued to adjust on Tuesday.
Bitpush data shows that <BTC> fell 0.45% in the past 24 hours, and was maintained above $96,000 as of the time of writing. <Altcoins> generally fell, while among the old-line currencies, <XRP> bucked the trend and rose nearly 8% in 24 hours.
[With CPI on the way and institutional funds shielding, can the <BTC> bull market frenzy continue?]
Youholder market director Ruslan Lienkha said the overall market pullback may be in anticipation of the inflation data to be released on Wednesday.