Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”，美联储到 12 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 5.3%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 94.7%。到明年 1 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 4.1%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 73.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 22.3%。

美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为94.7%

According to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Odaily&quot;, the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 22.3%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%.

Odaily reports that the US inflation rate rose to 2.7% in November, in line with economists' expectations and higher than the 2.6% level in October. The data highlights the continued concern over sticky inflation after the rise in October. Most people expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points next week, but the pace of rate cuts next year is uncertain as the Fed is working to maintain inflation around 2% and a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level - high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market, officials have discussed slowing the pace of rate cuts. They said that if they act too quickly, inflation may remain above the 2% target, but if they act too slowly, the unemployment rate may rise sharply. (Jinshi)

U.S. inflation rate rises to 2.7% in November, Fed cautious about rate cuts

The core indicator of interest rate cut expectations: CPI data
Interest rate cut expectations rise to 86.1%
Prepare for interest rate cut opportunities in advance
Focus on the dynamics of the US and Japanese central banks next week
Bitcoin has currently rebounded to the level of $98,000, and whether it can re-establish the $100,000 mark is closely watched. The CPI data to be released by the United States at 9:30 pm tonight can have an impact on whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates again by the end of this year or January next year, and Dongguan reminds you of the potentially increased volatility risk.

Volatility Warning》The U.S. CPI will hit hard. Can it give the green light for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December?

Odaily reported that the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits jumped to the highest level in two months, but remained at a low level. After the release of US economic data, traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next year, and US short-term interest rate futures narrowed their earlier declines.