Odaily星球日报讯 分析师预计美联储将在周三的联邦公开市场委员会会议上将利率降息 25 个基点。虽然较低的利率通常会提振比特币等风险资产，但美联储在周三会议上发表的评论和经济预测可能会降低在持续的通胀担忧中进一步降息的预期。近期美国 CPI 和 PPI 数据引发了人们对明年潜在价格压力的担忧，尤其是考虑到围绕美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普的经济政策的猜测。此外，尽管宏观经济事件仍具有影响力，但 QCP Capital 分析师认为，比特币最近的上涨主要是由市场情绪驱动的。（The Block）

观点：通胀风险或将限制美联储2025年政策举措并影响风险资产

Odaily Odaily News Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday. While lower interest rates typically boost risk assets such as Bitcoin, the Fed&#39;s comments and economic forecasts at Wednesday&#39;s meeting may reduce expectations for further rate cuts amid ongoing inflation concerns. Recent US CPI and PPI data have raised concerns about potential price pressures next year, especially given speculation surrounding the economic policies of US President-elect Donald Trump. In addition, while macroeconomic events remain influential, QCP Capital analysts believe that Bitcoin&#39;s recent rise is mainly driven by market sentiment. (The Block)

Viewpoint: Inflation risks may limit the Fed’s 2025 policy measures and affect risky assets

<GaryMa Wu Blockchain>
Summary
Wu Blockchain's weekly macroeconomic indicators and analysis: Last week, the US November CPI year-on-year was 3.3%, in line with expectations, and the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank cut interest rates as scheduled. This week, the focus can be on the interest rate decisions of the US, Japan and the Bank of England, as well as the US November core PCE.
Last week's review
- The US November non-seasonally adjusted core CPI year-on-year was 3.3%, expected 3.3%, previous 3.3%.
- The Bank of Canada lowered its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.25%.
- The European Central Bank lowered...

Wu Blockchain this week's macro indicators and analysis: Federal Reserve interest rate decision, US PCE

Here is the English translation:

On December 16, according to 4E monitoring, the S&P 500 ended its three-week rally last week, falling 0.64% for the week; the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.82% for the week, marking its seventh consecutive trading day of decline; the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.34% for the week, reaching a record high of 20,000 points for the first time.

Bitcoin rose above $100,000 last week, setting the longest seven-week winning streak since 2021. The heat in the <Altcoin> market has cooled, with generally large pullbacks. For the week, Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of $2.115 billion, Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of about $712.7 million, and the supply of <USDT> increased by $2.1 billion, indicating a continued positive sentiment. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin has suddenly surged, breaking through the historical high to reach $106,648, and the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap have also risen by nearly 1% to 4%.

In the foreign exchange and commodity markets, the US dollar index performed strongly last week, breaking above 107 on Friday and continuing to hit new two-week highs, rising nearly 1% for the week, the best weekly performance in a month, while non-US currencies fell across the board for the week. International oil prices surged across the board last week, driven by geopolitical tensions, ending a two-week losing streak, with US oil up more than 6% for the week and Brent oil up 4.54% for the week. Benefiting from market expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, spot gold rose 0.56% for the week.

The most closely watched economic event this week is the FOMC meeting to be held on Wednesday, when the interest rate decision and quarterly economic forecast will be announced. The market has already fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate cut in December, and the real focus is on clues about the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve. The market expects rate cuts next year to be more cautious and gradual, and there may even be a pause in rate cuts as early as January.

In addition, this week is also the last "Super Central Bank Week" of 2024, with as many as 25 central banks, including those of Japan, the UK and Sweden, holding policy meetings in the same week, and the release of some key central bank decisions may trigger market volatility, especially in the 24-hour non-stop foreign exchange and commodity markets.

eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports cryptocurrencies, stock indices, bulk gold, foreign exchange and other assets, and has recently launched a USDT stable coin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential hedging option. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and allocate assets reasonably.

4E: The expectation of suspending interest rate cuts next year has caused setbacks in US stocks. This week, we will focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting

Odaily reports that according to the CME "Fed Watch", with about two days left until the next FOMC meeting, the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.9%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut has risen to 97.1%, up 1.1 percentage points from last Saturday.