Odaily星球日报讯 美联储点阵图显示，在 19 位官员中，有 1 位官员认为 2025 年不应降息，有 3 位官员认为 2025 年应累计降息 25 个基点，有 10 位官员认为 2025 年应累计降息 50 个基点，有 3 位官员认为 2025 年应累计降息 75 个基点，有 1 位官员认为 2025 年应累计降息 100 个基点，有 1 位官员认为 2025 年应累计降息 125 个基点。（金十）

美联储点阵图中值：2025年将累计降息50个基点

Odaily Odaily: The Fed dot plot shows that among the 19 officials, one official believes that there should be no interest rate cut in 2025, three officials believe that the cumulative interest rate cut should be 25 basis points in 2025, 10 officials believe that the cumulative interest rate cut should be 50 basis points in 2025, three officials believe that the cumulative interest rate cut should be 75 basis points in 2025, one official believes that the cumulative interest rate cut should be 100 basis points in 2025, and one official believes that the cumulative interest rate cut should be 125 basis points in 2025. (Jinshi)

The median of the Fed's dot plot: the cumulative interest rate cut will be 50 basis points by 2025

Odaily reports that Wall Street analysts unanimously believe the Federal Reserve may hint at a pause in rate cuts at its meeting this week. According to Yardeni Research, Fed Chair Powell will use the post-meeting press conference to convey to investors that the next rate decision will be a pause in rate cuts. Yardeni Research said: "Since September 18, after a full 100 basis points of rate cuts, we expect Powell to signal at the FOMC meeting press conference that the Fed will temporarily pause further easing. A resilient and steadily strengthening economy is likely to be a key reason the Fed may make the December rate cut the last for some time."

Analysis: The Fed may slow down its rate cuts next year

According to the news from Mars Finance, AJ Bell's investment director Russ Mould: He agrees with the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at this meeting. However, the Federal Reserve's economic outlook may show that there will only be two rate cuts next year. After a little over a week of Trump's inauguration next month, the Federal Reserve will hold another meeting, and whether the possibility of a rate cut in January has been completely ruled out? I wouldn't say so. The Federal Reserve is known for being "data-dependent" and is committed to its dual mandate of inflation and employment. But behind Powell, the huge federal deficit means $1 trillion in annual interest payments, which is putting pressure on U.S. economic growth. If interest rates can be lowered to reduce interest payments, this would be beneficial for the United States, as well as the president-elect Trump.

Analysts: Given the huge federal deficit, the possibility of a January rate cut has not been completely ruled out

Odaily Odaily News: "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos: The Federal Reserve's policy statement added the phrase "pace and extent" which suggests that it will slow the pace of rate cuts to make potential adjustments. (<金十>)