Filecoin 2024 Review and 2025 Outlook

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ODAILY
12-20
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Author: Filecoin Network

2024 is a pivotal year for Filecoin, with significant progress made in Filecoin Virtual Machine (FVM), storage, retrieval, and computation. In this article, we will review the key milestones of 2024 and explore the main growth drivers for Filecoin's development in 2025.

Source: Charting Success for Filecoin in 2024 (https://filecointldr.io/article/charting-success-for-filecoin-2024)

2024 Review

In our previous article, Charting Success for Filecoin in 2024, we outlined three key priorities for the Filecoin ecosystem in 2024:

  • Accelerate Paid Transactions: Facilitate paid services (storage, retrieval, computation) on Filecoin, creating cash flow for service providers to support more sustainable hardware financing beyond token incentives.

  • Drive On-Chain Activity Growth: Increase on-chain activity through programmable services, DeFi, and new use cases.

  • Become Indispensable: Position Filecoin as an indispensable component for other projects and businesses.

These priorities are not mutually exclusive but rather overlapping, indicating that the Filecoin ecosystem is becoming increasingly valuable. So, how did we perform on these priorities in 2024?

I. Accelerate Paid Transactions

Paid transactions are an ecosystem-level metric that reflects the volume of paid services on the Filecoin network. FilecoinTLDR is currently tracking this metric.

In 2024, Filecoin made significant progress in accelerating paid transactions by reducing frictions for enterprises to enter the ecosystem, primarily through the development of Proof of Data Possession (PDP) and the emergence of Layer 2 solutions.

1. Enabling Efficient Hot Storage with PDP

  • Proof of Data Possession (PDP) is expected to launch in Q1 2025, introducing a new proof primitive to the Filecoin network, the first major proof development since Proof of Replication (PoRep) and Proof of Spacetime (PoSt). Unlike PoRep, which excels at cold storage through sector sealing, PDP is designed for "hot data" - data that requires fast and frequent retrieval.

  • This new proof type can enable economically efficient "caching" storage on Filecoin without the need for sealing and unsealing, enabling fast data loading and retrieval. PDP opens the door for new storage providers focused on hot storage and fast retrieval, benefiting companies like Basin, Akave, and Storacha.

2. Scaling Filecoin through Layer 2

  • In 2024, we saw an increase in Layer 2 solutions built on top of Filecoin (see our previous article, The State of Layer 2s on Filecoin). L2s like Basin, Akave, and Storacha can scale horizontally and vertically through secure, customizable subnets. These L2s strengthen Filecoin by unlocking new use cases, including managing data-intensive workloads, supporting AI and unstructured data, and powering gaming and privacy-focused applications, all of which create more opportunities for paid transactions.

II. Drive On-Chain Activity Growth

Filecoin has made significant progress in accelerating on-chain activity through the FVM, which has stimulated the growth of the DeFi economy. The proposed Filecoin Network Services (FWS) and the launch of a Filecoin-backed stablecoin will further drive this momentum.

Source: Defillama (as of December 16, 2024) (https://defillama.com/chain/Filecoin?pool2=false&govtokens=false&doublecounted=false&liquidstaking=true&staking=true¤cy=FIL)

1. DeFi Milestones

  • As of December 16, 2024, over 4,700 unique contracts have been deployed on the FVM, facilitating over 3 million transactions. DeFi activity on the FVM has an average net deposits of over 30 million FIL (around $200 million), primarily driven by staking, liquidity staking, and DEXes, with GLIF accounting for 62%, followed by FilFi (10%) and SFT protocols (9%). The average net borrowing is 26 million FIL ($173 million), demonstrating the strong growth of the Filecoin DeFi ecosystem.

2. Filecoin Ecosystem's FIL-Backed Stablecoin

  • USDFC is a FIL-backed stablecoin launched by Secured Finance in Q4 2024, aimed at addressing key challenges in the Filecoin ecosystem. It brings stability to a network that previously lacked stablecoin options, reducing volatility and enhancing the store of value, similar to how DAI has done for Ethereum.

  • By allowing FIL holders and SPs to collateralize their assets with USD, USDFC can help pay for operational costs without selling FIL, preserving asset value and network support. It also improves liquidity in the lending market by providing FIL-backed stablecoin liquidity, driving more efficient capital flows within the Filecoin ecosystem.

III. Become Indispensable

DePIN has risen to prominence, and Filecoin has solidified its position by establishing critical partnerships with AI and computing projects. Meanwhile, on-chain archiving has gained widespread recognition through partnerships with major on-ramps.

Solana co-founder Anatoly stated, "Thank you, Filecoin, for creating an excellent decentralized archiving layer."

1. Notable On-Ramps in 2024

  • At this year's Solana Breakpoint, Filecoin founder Juan Benet emphasized how Filecoin's zero-knowledge (ZK) storage can protect the entire Solana ledger.

  • Similarly, Cardano applications now have the opportunity to enhance data redundancy and decentralization through Blockfrost's integration with Filecoin.

  • SingularityNET's integration with Filecoin (through Lighthouse) highlights the growing demand for scalable and cost-effective storage in the AI-driven era, where efficient management of massive data is crucial.

  • These meaningful partnerships help demonstrate Filecoin's position as a key player in the on-chain archiving and AI domains.

Source: Filecoin (X) (https://x.com/Filecoin/status/1831629192133218683)

2. Computing and AI Partnerships

  • This year, Filecoin has positioned itself as a key participant in the evolving decentralized AI landscape. Projects like Ramo (network participation), Bagel (AI and cryptography research), Swan Chain (AI training and development), and Lilypad (distributed AI computing) have launched in the ecosystem, showcasing Filecoin's growing role in driving AI innovation.

Filecoin Challenges in 2024

While significant progress has been made, we have also noted some challenges facing the community. Although Web3 products are still in their early stages, the formation of a reliable decentralized cloud alternative remains a massive challenge.

Product-Market Fit:

  • Barriers such as limited retrievability and high costs (driven by data replication) pose challenges to the efficiency of the Filecoin network.

Here is the English translation:
  • It is necessary to make transactions on the Filecoin network more convenient by using stablecoins or flexible payment options.

  • Improving the visibility of the storage process and utilizing user data can help refine strategies and improve performance in key areas.

  • Establishing a Sustainable Economic Model + Stronger Economic Cycle:

    Viewing Filecoin as an island economy highlights its focus on accumulating value through the export of goods and services, while retaining as much value as possible within the network by minimizing outflows.

    Source: Realizing the Filecoin Vision (Part 2) - Juan Benet (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kSE1gZVMXHk&t=479s)

    • The key challenge is to reduce outflows of external capital while finding ways to promote exports and capture more demand within the ecosystem.

    • Ensuring transactions remain on-chain is also crucial for strengthening this economic model and creating a stronger economic cycle.

    Filecoin's 2025 Outlook

    Looking ahead to 2025, Filecoin's development continues. The following are three key themes that can drive the network's transformative growth and address the challenges mentioned in 2024.

    Blockworks Research states that "Filecoin is at an inflection point".

    I. Accelerating Filecoin's Speed by 450x through Fast Finality (F3)

    Fast Finality (F3) is one of the most impactful upgrades to Filecoin's consensus layer since the mainnet launch. By significantly reducing transaction completion time, F3 overcomes a key limitation of the network's original consensus mechanism. This upgrade is planned for Q1 2025 on the mainnet.

    Old vs. New:

    • Before F3, Filecoin's consensus mechanism ensured secure block validation, but required 7.5 hours (900 epochs) to complete a transaction, which was too slow for applications like smart contracts or cross-chain bridges.

    • With F3, transactions can be efficiently completed in minutes, a 450x improvement.

    Significance for Filecoin:

    • Faster Speed and Better User Experience: Transactions completed in minutes, supporting low-latency applications and eliminating the previous long wait times.

    • Expanded Use Cases and Accessibility: L2 subnets like Interplanetary Consensus (IPC), efficient smart contracts and decentralized applications, and blockchain bridges for interoperability with other chains.

    Ultimately, this enables Filecoin to increase its usability across a wider range of applications.

    II. Transcending Storage through Filecoin Web Services (FWS)

    Filecoin Web Services (FWS) is a key concept that has emerged this year, representing Filecoin's strategic shift to expand its scope from a primarily decentralized storage network to a broader blockchain-based cloud services market. This diversification can attract a wider range of users and use cases, potentially creating a more positive economic cycle within the network. Here's why FWS is worth watching:

    • Strengthening Filecoin's Competitive Advantage: FWS will introduce features like programmatic SLAs (automatically enforcing service agreements through smart contracts to ensure clear performance expectations and penalties) and verifiable proofs (providing cryptographic evidence of service delivery, allowing users to independently verify service execution).

    • Expanding Filecoin's Capabilities: By adding Proofs of Data Possession (PDP), going beyond Proofs of Replication (PoRep), FWS will enable powerful hot storage use cases. PDP will help improve data retrievability, a key factor in achieving product-market fit, which has been widely discussed in the Filecoin community this year.

    • Positioning Filecoin as a Leading Platform in the Decentralized Web: FWS will facilitate the integration of multiple networks and protocols, creating a cohesive marketplace for storage, computation, bandwidth, and other services, making Filecoin a key participant in the development of the decentralized web.

    FWS is currently a work-in-progress concept, with the development of new storage services featuring PDP (v0) underway. After this milestone, the FWS marketplace development will begin, expected to launch in Q1 2025.

    III. Unlocking New Value Streams for Filecoin

    As a Layer 1 blockchain, Filecoin's primary revenue source is through gas fee burning (when chain resources are used or faults occur). However, relying on gas fee burning as the main revenue source is not scalable and, more importantly, will increase operational cost and service costs.

    A sustainable approach is to channel value back into the Filecoin economy through the utilization of the FWS marketplace services, creating a more scalable and balanced revenue model. Proposed value capture mechanisms include:

    • FWS Fees: Commission (%) based on market transaction volume.

    • Service Fees: Charged when users consume services or when providers offer services.

    • SLA Penalties: Imposed on service providers who fail to meet agreed performance standards.

    This transformation is expected to bring a more robust and diversified revenue stream, ensuring Filecoin's continued relevance and profitability in the evolving market.

    Final Thoughts

    As the value of data grows, we anticipate advancements in privacy-preserving machine learning, data-driven business models, and the increasingly important role of AI agents in unlocking the potential of decentralized storage.

    Looking ahead to 2025, with the upcoming mainnet launch of Fast Finality (F3) and the continued development of Filecoin Web Services, Filecoin will play a core role in shaping the future of the decentralized ecosystem for data and AI. We hope to see these advancements allow Filecoin to transcend storage and unlock a sustainable economic model through the new revenue streams generated by FWS.

    Follow @Filecointldr or join our Discord to stay up-to-date on the latest developments in the Filecoin ecosystem.

    Special thanks to HQ Han and Jonathan Victor for their review and valuable feedback on this article.

    Disclaimer: The information above is for reference only and does not constitute investment, financial, legal, or other advice. It does not represent an endorsement, offer, or recommendation of any specific service, product, or application.

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    Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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