Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”，美联储明年 1 月维持当前利率不变的概率达 91.4%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 8.6%。

美联储明年1月维持当前利率不变的概率达91.4%

Odaily Odaily reported that according to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Watch&quot;, the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is 8.6%.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate unchanged in January next year is 91.4%.

Odaily Odaily News reports that Fed Chair Dai said that the 100 basis points of rate cuts so far have been appropriate, and the adjustment phase has ended. The Fed is very satisfied with its forecast of two rate cuts in 2025. Now, before further rate cuts, it will wait cautiously. My forecast is that the number of rate cuts next year will be much fewer than we previously expected. (Gold Ten)

Fed's Daly: 100 basis points of rate cuts so far are correct, the calibration phase is over

Odaily Odaily News reports that US PCE and core PCE data were all lower than expected, traders continue to bet that the Fed will pause rate cuts in January, and increase bets that the Fed will cut rates in March, with another rate cut expected in October. (Gold Ten)

Traders continue to bet that the Fed will pause rate cuts in January next year and increase bets on a rate cut in March

Odaily Odaily News reported that Federal Reserve official Dai Li said in an interview that she would be satisfied with two rate cuts in 2025. She said the economy and policy are in good shape, and the Fed can return to a more typical gradual policy mode. The recent interest rate decisions were very difficult, which seems to echo the remarks of Chairman Powell at the FOMC press conference. She said some companies are rushing to build up inventories before Trump's tariff policy is proposed. It is difficult to say whether tariffs will lead to inflation, and the time frame and magnitude are more important. (Jinshi)