Odaily星球日报讯 加密货币市场经常经历周期性的变化，其中比特币首先引领上涨，随后是山寨币。投资者利用新获得的市场收益寻求额外回报，导致资本流向山寨币，从而在短时间内引发剧烈的反弹。目前，比特币正在经历其迄今为止最糟糕的 12 月之一，使季节性的牛市时期变得暗淡，过去 30 天下跌了 2%。由于获利回吐以及数周的价格波动后的谨慎情绪，“圣诞反弹（Santa rally）”——即资产在圣诞周趋于上涨的现象——的希望或已破灭。一些人警告称，随着美联储暗示明年将减少降息次数，并强调不寻求国家比特币储备，比特币可能会出现进一步的下跌。（Coindesk）

分析：今年比特币“圣诞反弹”希望或已破灭

Odaily Odaily News Cryptocurrency markets often experience cyclical changes, with Bitcoin leading the rise first, followed by Altcoin. Investors use their newly acquired market gains to seek additional returns, causing capital to flow into Altcoin, triggering a sharp rebound in a short period of time. Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing one of its worst Decembers to date, dimming the seasonal bull market period, and has fallen 2% in the past 30 days. Due to profit-taking and cautious sentiment after weeks of price volatility, hopes for a &quot;Santa rally&quot; - a phenomenon in which assets tend to rise during Christmas week - may have been dashed. Some warn that Bitcoin may see further declines as the Federal Reserve hints at fewer rate cuts next year and emphasizes that it is not seeking national Bitcoin reserves. (Coindesk)

Analysis: Hopes for a Bitcoin "Christmas Rally" This Year May Have Been Shattered

The market is in a critical period at the end of the year.
Author: BitpushNews
From the historical high to the recent one-month low, Bitcoin has experienced a roller coaster ride in the past week.
Less than a week ago, the price of Bitcoin surged above $108,000, setting a new all-time high, while in the past 24 hours, its price has fallen below $92,500, reaching the lowest level since November 26.
In the past week, Bitcoin has fallen by about 13%, Ethereum and Solana have fallen by 18% and 15% respectively, and XRP has fallen by 1% during the same period.

Bitcoin options storm at the end of the year: $14 billion suspense to be solved

PANews December 23 news, according to @ai_9684xtpa's analysis of the data of the past five years, BTC generally has a larger amplitude during the Christmas holiday period from December 20 to January 6 of the following year, but the actual gains and losses, except for 2020, have not exceeded 10%.

It is worth noting that in 80% of the years, BTC has performed better in the two months after the holiday, and if the buy the dips time is narrowed to the first week after the New Year's Day, the probability of profit is still 60%.

In addition, the Nasdaq index in the US has seen large fluctuations during the Christmas period, but the overall gains and losses are limited, and the impact on BTC is not obvious.

The analysis points out that although the current market is greatly affected by the capital flow of BTC ETF, the market performance during the Christmas holiday does not show the threat of the "Christmas massacre".

Analysis: BTC fluctuated greatly during the Christmas holiday, but the actual increase or decrease did not exceed 10% except in 2020

Here is the English translation:

BTC experienced volatility again on the eve of Christmas, with market sentiment quickly turning from optimistic in early December to gloomy. It rebounded to $96,500 yesterday evening but then plunged again, reaching a low of around $92,525 at around 4 AM this morning.

As of the time of writing, BTC has rebounded to the $94,000 level, still within a downward channel, but <The Block> CEO Larry Cermak stated that users need not panic too much, as the correction to delever is to prepare for an upswing.

Past bull markets have often been accompanied by at least three major corrections of over 20%, and this...