QCP 分析指出，即将公布的 PPI 和 CPI 数据可能出现上行风险。市场正在适应高利率环境持续的现实，部分投资者甚至考虑加息可能性。在加密市场中，谨慎情绪明显，BTC 期权交易显示看跌期权被调整至关键的 90,000 美元支撑位下方。前端波动率和飞升波动率仍处于高位，同时恐慌指数（VIX）保持在 18.68，暗示 1 月份波动性可能持续。特朗普可能在上任第一天签署行政令，涉及解决“去银行化”问...

<div>QCP 分析指出，即将公布的 PPI 和 CPI 数据可能出现上行风险。市场正在适应高利率环境持续的现实，部分投资者甚至考虑加息可能性。在加密市场中，谨慎情绪明显，BTC 期权交易显示看跌期权被调整至关键的 90,000 美元支撑位下方。前端波动率和飞升波动率仍处于高位，同时恐慌指数（VIX）保持在 18.68，暗示 1 月份波动性可能持续。特朗普可能在上任第一天签署行政令，涉及解决“去银行化”问题以及撤销争议性加密货币会计政策。这些举措可能为市场带来提振。<div> </div><br><br></div>

QCP：PPI 和 CPI 数据或存上行风险，加密市场谨慎情绪明显

Here is the English translation:

QCP analysis points out that the upcoming PPI and CPI data may have upside risks. The market is adapting to the reality of a sustained high-interest rate environment, and some investors are even considering the possibility of rate hikes. In the crypto market, a cautious sentiment is evident, with <BTC> options trading showing put options being adjusted below the critical $90,000 support level. Front-end volatility and skew volatility remain elevated, while the VIX index holds at 18.68, suggesting that volatility may persist in January. Trump may sign an executive order on his first day in office, addressing the issue of "de-banking"...

Here is the English translation:

<div>The QCP analysis points out that the upcoming PPI and CPI data may show upside risks. The market is adapting to the reality of a prolonged high-interest rate environment, and some investors are even considering the possibility of further rate hikes. In the crypto market, a cautious sentiment is evident, with BTC option trading showing put options being adjusted below the critical $90,000 support level. Front-end volatility and skew volatility remain elevated, while the VIX index stands at 18.68, suggesting that volatility may persist in January. Trump may sign an executive order on his first day in office, addressing the "de-banking" issue and revoking controversial cryptocurrency accounting policies. These measures could provide a boost to the market.<div> </div><br><br></div>

QCP: PPI and CPI data may have upside risks, and the crypto market is cautious

Odaily Odaily News reports that QCP Capital has stated that inflation appears to have returned, and the US economy is indeed showing signs of overheating, with nonfarm payrolls surging by 256,000 last Friday, far exceeding the forecast of 164,000. After the release of last week's macroeconomic data, any rumors of an impending rate cut have dissipated, and the stock market has also fallen sharply. The tariffs that may be implemented during the Trump era have also raised more concerns about inflation. Although the macroeconomic environment is unfavorable, the rumors of the Silk Road have not gone away, but cryptocurrencies seem to have found their footing, as the support levels of $91,000 and $3,100 remain intact. Implied volatility is also at a relatively low level and continues to decline, with only a slight bearish tilt in the front-end market before the Trump inauguration. Although the volatility market has not reacted much, cryptocurrencies have not yet escaped the predicament. The macroeconomic storm still looms, with the producer price index (January 14), consumer price index (January 15), and initial jobless claims (January 16) about to be released, which could further stoke the market's flames. As the US economy heats up, this week will be a true test for cryptocurrencies to see if they can serve as a hedge against inflation.

QCP Capital: The crypto market faces three major economic data tests this week

Here is the English translation, with the content within <> not translated:

The current high-growth risk assets, including the <AR> market, will continue to be suppressed in the short term.

Author: @Web3_Mario

Summary: This week, the <AR> market experienced relatively large fluctuations, and the price trend also formed an M-shaped pattern. These are all signs that as Trump's inauguration on January 20th is getting closer, the capital market has already quietly begun to price in the opportunities and risks of his election, which means that the "Trump effect" driven by emotions that has lasted for 3 months is officially coming to an end. So what we need to do now is to...

The opening ceremony of the "Trump Market" has officially ended: From the rise in term premium, we can see how the market prices the "debt crisis"

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- <Palantir 與 Nvidia 領跌科技股>
- <債券收益率飆升對成長型股票構成壓力>
- <美國就業報告引發市場波動>
- <關注第四季度財報與經濟數據>
- <市場前景依然不明朗>

<科技股引領市場下滑>
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QCP: PPI and CPI data may have upside risks, and the crypto market is cautious

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