Odaily星球日报讯 Matrixport 发布的最新报告显示，在过去的 12 年里，比特币有 11 年在中国新年期间实现了正回报，统计学上令人印象深刻的 83%的成功率（命中率）证明了这一期间的收益。作为一种网络驱动的货币，比特币的价格上涨受用户群体扩大的推动一人们对比特币了解得越多，购买的人越多，其价格就能越快上涨。很少有其他事件能与中国新年在推动这种网络效应方面的影响相媲美，这使其成为比特币季节性表现中一个独特的重要催化剂。 比特币目前正处于一系列相互对立的力量的复杂互动中。在技术方面，每日反转指标上周达到超卖水平，暗示潜在的支撑，而周线指标仍表明比特币仍处于超买状态。在宏观经济方面，流动性收紧和美联储的鹰派立场等不利因素带来了利空。同时，对美国建立比特币储备的预期和亲加密货币的特朗普政府的上台等看涨驱动因素提供了支持。 自 2024 年 12 月份的 FOMC 会议以来，稳定币的铸造已经陷入停滞，反映出法币流入的减少，但比特币资金费率显示出交易活动恢复的早期迹象。这种拉锯动态使比特币处于盘整阶段。 然而，随着 1 月 29 日中国农历新年的开始，这一时期代表了统计学上对比特币最有利的 20 天交易窗口，可能为多头头寸提供了大量机会。这种每逢中国新年就开启上涨模式的统计意义不容否认，使其成为比特币历史上最一致的事件之一。我们在两年前发现了这个秘密，并在去年再次强调。在这两次期间，比特币价格分别上涨了+26%和+23%,强化了这一季节性趋势的可靠性。

Odaily星球日报讯 Matrixport 发布的最新报告显示，在过去的 12 年里，比特币有 11 年在中国新年期间实现了正回报，统计学上令人印象深刻的 83%的成功率（命中率）证明了这一期间的收益。作为一种网络驱动的货币，比特币的价格上涨受用户群体扩大的推动一人们对比特币了解得越多，购买的人越多，其价格就能越快上涨。很少有其他事件能与中国新年在推动这种网络效应方面的影响相媲美，这使其成为比特币季节性表现中一个独特的重要催化剂。比特币目前正处于一系列相互对立的力量的复杂互动中。在技术方面，每日反转指标上周达到超卖水平，暗示潜在的支撑，而周线指标仍表明比特币仍处于超买状态。在宏观经济方面，流动性收紧和美联储的鹰派立场等不利因素带来了利空。同时，对美国建立比特币储备的预期和亲加密货币的特朗普政府的上台等看涨驱动因素提供了支持。自 2024 年 12 月份的 FOMC 会议以来，稳定币的铸造已经陷入停滞，反映出法币流入的减少，但比特币资金费率显示出交易活动恢复的早期迹象。这种拉锯动态使比特币处于盘整阶段。然而，随着 1 月 29 日中国农历新年的开始，这一时期代表了统计学上对比特币最有利的 20 天交易窗口，可能为多头头寸提供了大量机会。这种每逢中国新年就开启上涨模式的统计意义不容否认，使其成为比特币历史上最一致的事件之一。我们在两年前发现了这个秘密，并在去年再次强调。在这两次期间，比特币价格分别上涨了+26%和+23%,强化了这一季节性趋势的可靠性。

Matrixport：中国新年期间比特币或将开启上涨模式

Odaily Report: The latest report released by Matrixport shows that in the past 12 years, Bitcoin has achieved positive returns during the Chinese New Year period in 11 years, with an impressive 83% success rate (hit rate) statistically, proving the profitability during this period. As a network-driven currency, the price increase of Bitcoin is driven by the expansion of the user base - the more people understand Bitcoin, the more people buy it, the faster its price can rise. Few other events can match the impact of Chinese New Year in driving this network effect, making it a unique and important catalyst in Bitcoin's seasonal performance.

Bitcoin is currently in the complex interaction of a series of opposing forces. Technically, the daily reversal indicator reached oversold levels last week, suggesting potential support, while the weekly indicators still indicate that Bitcoin remains overbought. On the macroeconomic front, adverse factors such as tightening liquidity and the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve have brought negative news. At the same time, the expectation of the US establishing a Bitcoin reserve and the rise of the pro-cryptocurrency Trump administration provide bullish drivers.

Since the FOMC meeting in December 2024, the minting of <Dai> has stagnated, reflecting a decrease in fiat currency inflows, but the Bitcoin funding rate shows early signs of a recovery in trading activity. This tug-of-war dynamic has kept Bitcoin in a consolidation phase.

However, with the start of the Chinese Lunar New Year on January 29, this period represents the most statistically favorable 20-day trading window for Bitcoin, which may provide ample opportunities for long positions. The statistical significance of this pattern of Bitcoin entering an uptrend mode during Chinese New Year is undeniable, making it one of the most consistent events in Bitcoin's history. We discovered this secret two years ago and reiterated it last year. During these two periods, Bitcoin prices rose +26% and +23% respectively, reinforcing the reliability of this seasonal trend.

Odaily Report: Matrixport's latest report shows that in the past 12 years, Bitcoin has achieved positive returns during the Chinese New Year period in 11 years, with an impressive 83% success rate (hit rate) statistically, proving the profitability during this period. As a network-driven currency, the price increase of Bitcoin is driven by the expansion of the user base - the more people understand and buy Bitcoin, the faster its price can rise. Few other events can match the impact of Chinese New Year in driving this network effect, making it a unique and important catalyst for Bitcoin's seasonal performance. Bitcoin is currently in a complex interaction of a series of opposing forces. Technically, the daily reversal indicator reached oversold levels last week, suggesting potential support, while the weekly indicators still indicate that Bitcoin remains overbought. On the macroeconomic front, adverse factors such as tightening liquidity and the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve have brought negative news. At the same time, the expectation of the US establishing a Bitcoin reserve and the rise of the pro-cryptocurrency Trump administration provide bullish drivers. Since the FOMC meeting in December 2024, the minting of <Dai> has stagnated, reflecting a reduction in fiat inflows, but the Bitcoin funding rate shows early signs of a recovery in trading activity. This tug-of-war dynamic has kept Bitcoin in a consolidation phase. However, with the start of the Chinese Lunar New Year on January 29, this period represents the most statistically favorable 20-day trading window for Bitcoin, which may provide ample opportunities for long positions. The statistical significance of this pattern of Bitcoin rallying during Chinese New Year is undeniable, making it one of the most consistent events in Bitcoin's history. We discovered this secret two years ago and reiterated it last year. During these two periods, Bitcoin prices rose +26% and +23% respectively, reinforcing the reliability of this seasonal trend.

Matrixport: Bitcoin may start to rise during the Chinese New Year

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Recently, <Base>—an Ethereum Layer 2 network incubated by Coinbase—has been attracting significant market attention with its rapid momentum. Funds and users continue to pour in, with the ecosystem's activity significantly increasing, and transaction volume and total value locked (TVL) steadily rising, hinting at the impending arrival of a "big event." Industry insiders refer to this as the "Base Season," and this wave of enthusiasm may become a highlight of the crypto market in 2025. This article will delve into the latest data, analyze the logic behind Base's growth, explore why capital is flocking to it, and recommend a few...

Funds are pouring in, 11.4 million contracts set a record, is something big coming on the Base chain?

In the context of increasingly tightening international sanctions, Russian companies have turned to using cryptocurrencies such as Bit and Tether (USDT) to conduct trade transactions with China and India.

Reuters: Russia is using cryptocurrency to trade oil with China, India

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The DeFi Investor
Compiled by: Felix, <PANews>
Currently, almost every token has experienced a decline for several weeks.
If you have lost a lot of money recently, my personal advice is to pause trading, make a new plan, and do everything possible to avoid revenge trading.
The current goal is to survive and preserve the remaining capital.
As long as you haven't lost everything and continue to stay in the "gambling table", the opportunity will come again.
Why is the market continuing to decline?
In my opinion, there are mainly two reasons:
1. There is a lot of macroeconomic uncertainty: the stock market has also been crashing, and cryptocurrencies have always been closely linked to the stock...