分析师 Jinze 指出，2 月 CPI 数据将公布，市场共识预期是通胀或小幅回落；需要看到环比回落到 0.2 或更低才有可能让市场放心做多，若不幸实际数据高于预期，市场恐再现暴跌行情。未来风险在于，进口数据通常滞后 1-2 个月，即便本次数据没反映相关影响，3-4 月 CPI 也大概率面临二次冲击。

<div>分析师 Jinze 指出，2 月 CPI 数据将公布，市场共识预期是通胀或小幅回落；需要看到环比回落到 0.2 或更低才有可能让市场放心做多，若不幸实际数据高于预期，市场恐再现暴跌行情。未来风险在于，进口数据通常滞后 1-2 个月，即便本次数据没反映相关影响，3-4 月 CPI 也大概率面临二次冲击。<br><br></div>

分析师：2 月 CPI 数据或成市场风向标，高于预期恐引发加密暴跌

Analyst Jinze pointed out that the February CPI data will be released, and the market consensus expects inflation to decline slightly; it is necessary to see a month-on-month decline to 0.2 or lower in order to reassure the market to <long>, otherwise, if the actual data is higher than expected, the market may experience another plunge. The future risk is that import data is usually lagging by 1-2 months, even if this data does not reflect the relevant impact, the CPI in March-April is also likely to face a second impact.

The analyst Jinze pointed out that the CPI data for February will be released, and the market consensus expects inflation to decline slightly; it is necessary to see a month-on-month decline to 0.2 or lower in order to reassure the market to go long, and if the actual data is unfortunately higher than expected, the market may experience another plunge. The future risk is that import data is usually lagging by 1-2 months, and even if the current data does not reflect the relevant impact, the CPI in March-April is also likely to face a second impact.

Analyst: February CPI data may become a market indicator, higher than expected may trigger a crypto crash

Here is the English translation:

ChainCatcher news, according to <TheBlock> report, analysts pointed out that the weaker-than-expected US February employment report last Friday strengthened the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, which may boost risk appetite and boost the stock market and <crypto assets>. However, the persistent inflation risk caused by tariffs and supply chains still constrains the policy shift. Last week, the US Department of Labor's seasonally adjusted data showed that non-farm employment only increased by 151,000 from January to February, the weakest February growth since 2019, lower than the 170,000 expected by Dow Jones surveyed economists. Government layoffs, reductions in federal funding, tariff uncertainty, and tightening immigration policies will drag down employment growth in the coming months. These factors may lead to a slowdown in hiring, dampen economic momentum and reinforce deflationary trends. The Fed is facing a complex policy environment: weak employment supports rate cuts, but inflation concerns caused by supply-side constraints and geopolitical risks make it cautious. Uncertainty may continue to weigh on the <crypto> market. Paul Howard, Senior Director of Wincent, said that the weaker-than-expected employment report confirms the need to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy, reducing the deficit may be a government priority, which will benefit <crypto> and other risky assets; Kirill Kretov, an expert in <DeFi> trading automation at CoinPanel, pointed out that the rise in unemployment rate may improve the liquidity of <Bitcoin> and <DeFi> by increasing the expectation of interest rate cuts. The slowdown in wage growth suggests easing inflationary pressures, making the Fed more likely to shift earlier. The CME FedWatch tool shows that 55.3% of interest rate traders believe the June FOMC meeting is the earliest point for a rate cut this year, while the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has lowered the US first-quarter economic growth rate to a contraction of 2.4%, which, if realized, would be the first contraction since the first quarter of 2022, exacerbating recession concerns. Analysts said that global economic uncertainty has led to an increase in bearish positions in the derivatives market, and the risk reversal indicator over the past 24 hours is more biased towards put options, reflecting market concerns about increased selling pressure. Option flow indicates that optimistic sentiment may have to wait until the third quarter. Although $80,000 is still a key short-term support level for <Bitcoin>, the upside potential is limited. Before a new narrative emerges, the correlation between <Bitcoin> and the stock market may strengthen. Tariff risks remain, and volatility may increase before the release of US CPI and PPI data this week.

Economic slowdown may force the Fed to turn dovish, but policy shift is still constrained by inflation risks

Odaily Odaily report: The first inflation report of US President Trump's term will be released in the near future, and investors are closely watching for signs of cooling inflation to assess changes in market risk appetite. Market analysts point out that if the inflation data is lower than expected, the Federal Reserve may accelerate the pace of rate cuts, which will boost risk assets (including US stocks and cryptocurrencies). Conversely, if inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve may maintain a tight policy, putting pressure on the market. The performance of Bitcoin and other high-risk assets may be affected by this report. (CoinDesk)

Trump's first inflation report is about to be released, and the market is paying attention to signs of cooling inflation

The market situation
Last night's risk assets plummeted, which can be described as a "bloody night". In the US stock market, the S&P 500 index recorded its worst single-day performance since 2022, with a market value evaporation of $1.4 trillion. Tech stocks led the decline, with Tesla's stock price falling 15%, reflecting the market's repricing pressure on high-valuation growth stocks. MicroStrategy, as a representative of Bitcoin-related stocks, saw a 16.68% drop, further highlighting the linkage between cryptocurrencies and the traditional market. In a report released on March 11, Citigroup strategist Dirk Willer and others <...>

Risk assets have plummeted across the board, an artificially created recession, is the market going to follow a scenario of first falling and then rising?

Analyst: February CPI data may become a market indicator, higher than expected may trigger a crypto crash

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