QCP 资本分析，美联储本周三降息的可能性极低，若鲍威尔释放鸽派信号，可能推动市场上行。宏观市场波动性有所缓和，VIX 指数回落至 20 附近。QCP 认为，全球流动性变化或将影响比特币后续走势，美联储可能的政策转向以及欧洲刺激措施可能为市场提供新一轮上涨动能。

<div>QCP 资本分析，美联储本周三降息的可能性极低，若鲍威尔释放鸽派信号，可能推动市场上行。宏观市场波动性有所缓和，VIX 指数回落至 20 附近。QCP 认为，全球流动性变化或将影响比特币后续走势，美联储可能的政策转向以及欧洲刺激措施可能为市场提供新一轮上涨动能。<div> </div><br><br></div>

QCP 资本：宏观波动性已略有缓解，美联储政策转向或成比特币上行催化剂

QCP Capital analysis, the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this Wednesday is extremely low. If Powell releases dovish signals, it may drive the market upward. Macroeconomic market volatility has eased somewhat, with the VIX index falling back to around 20. QCP believes that changes in global liquidity may affect the subsequent trend of Bitcoin, and the Federal Reserve's potential policy shift and European stimulus measures may provide a new round of upward momentum for the market.

QCP Capital analysis, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this Wednesday is extremely low. If Powell releases dovish signals, it may drive the market upward. Macroeconomic market volatility has eased somewhat, with the VIX index falling back to around 20. QCP believes that changes in global liquidity may affect the subsequent trend of Bitcoin, and the Federal Reserve's potential policy shift and European stimulus measures may provide a new round of upward momentum for the market.

QCP Capital: Macro volatility has eased slightly, and the Fed’s policy shift may become a catalyst for Bitcoin’s upward movement

QCP Capital analysis pointed out that a BTC whale opened a $400 million short position (40x leverage) at the 84K price level over the weekend. The market once tried to force the position to be liquidated, but the position is still being held, and has generated nearly $400,000 in funding fees. The current crypto fear and greed index is 32%, with a strong risk-averse sentiment in the market, but BTC is still holding at the 80K key support level, outperforming the US stock market. The focus this week includes US retail sales data on Monday and the FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, with the market expecting the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged and looking for signals of policy adjustments.

QCP: BTC remains stable at 80K, the market is paying attention to the Fed's decision

Table of Contents
- c 1. Interest Rate Decision and Policy Stance
- Whether to maintain the interest rate unchanged:
- Policy statement wording:
- 2. Economic Forecast Adjustment (SEP)
- Growth and Unemployment Rate:
- Inflation Path:
- Market Impact:
- 3. Dot Plot's Rate Cut Signals
- Median Number of Rate Cuts in 2025:
- Long-Term Neutral Rate (r*):
- Degree of Committee Divergence:
- Market Impact:
- 4. Adjustments to the Quantitative Tightening (QT) Plan
- Pace of Balance Sheet Reduction:
- Reinvestment Strategy:
- Market...

Focus of the Fed meeting on Thursday: interest rate dot plot, quantitative tightening adjustments, tariff impact assessment...

Here is the English translation, with <> elements retained as is:

This afternoon, multiple X users noticed a strange transaction.
The public address (0xea36d66f0AC9928b358400309a8dFbC43A973a35) of the leading AI Agent project AIXBT is suspected to have been phished, transferring 55.5 ETH to the phishing address (0x1C35C30Ef788124821027465f6A644Bf3Ba6B577).
Community screenshot records show that the transaction appears to have been made by AIXBT through another AI tool...

QCP Capital: Macro volatility has eased slightly, and the Fed’s policy shift may become a catalyst for Bitcoin’s upward movement

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