Odaily星球日报讯 “美联储传声筒” Nick Timiraos 置评美联储经济预测，官员们下调了对 GDP 的预测，上调了对通胀和失业率的预测。但是几乎所有人都看到了经济的下行风险。而且，几乎所有人都认为，他们对失业率和通胀的预测存在上行风险。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 “美联储传声筒” Nick Timiraos 置评美联储经济预测，官员们下调了对 GDP 的预测，上调了对通胀和失业率的预测。但是几乎所有人都看到了经济的下行风险。而且，几乎所有人都认为，他们对失业率和通胀的预测存在上行风险。（金十）

美联储传声筒：几乎所有成员都看到了经济下行的风险

Odaily Odaily News reports that "Federal Reserve mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos commented on the Federal Reserve's economic forecast, with officials lowering their GDP forecast and raising their forecast for inflation and the unemployment rate. However, almost everyone sees downside risks to the economy. Moreover, almost everyone believes that their forecasts for the unemployment rate and inflation have upside risks. (<金十>)

Odaily Odaily News reports that "Fed mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos commented on the Fed's economic forecast, with officials lowering their GDP forecast and raising their forecast for inflation and unemployment rate. However, almost everyone sees downside risks to the economy. Moreover, almost everyone believes that their forecasts for the unemployment rate and inflation have upside risks. (Gold Ten)

Federal Reserve spokesperson: Almost all members see the risks of economic downturn

Odaily News reported that Federal Reserve mouthpiece Nick Timiraos said the central bank's rate cuts could be based on "good news" or "bad news", but due to new inflation risks, the "good news" rate cut window is narrowing, and the Federal Reserve's latest economic forecast dot plot (Dots) may not accurately reflect this changing trend. Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to remain on hold and take little action in the next six months.

Fed mouthpiece: Fed may remain on hold for the next six months

Odaily Odaily report: The Federal Reserve FOMC economic outlook: the median GDP growth forecast for 2025 is 1.7%, down from 2.1% in December last year. (<金十>)

The Federal Reserve slashed its economic growth forecast for this year

Odaily reports that in its latest global economic outlook, Fitch forecasts global economic growth to slow to 2.3% this year, well below trend, and also lower than 2.9% in 2024. Fitch has also revised down its US economic growth forecast from 2.1% in December last year to 1.7%, and its 2026 growth forecast from 1.7% to 1.5%. Fitch said that tariff hikes will lead to higher consumer prices in the US, reducing real wages, increasing business costs, and the surge in policy uncertainty will impact business investment. It is estimated that the tariff shock will cause a 1% rise in US near-term inflation, and believes the Fed will delay further easing until Q4 2025. We now expect the Fed to cut rates only once this year, but with the economic slowdown and tariff levels stabilizing, we expect three more rate cuts in 2026. (Jinshi)

Federal Reserve spokesperson: Almost all members see the risks of economic downturn

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