Before the release of ADP data, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in May is 83.5%.
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Planet Daily News: According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": Before the ADP data release, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May is 83.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 16.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until June is 25.1%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 63.4%, and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 11.6%.
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