Polymarket上预测美国经济年内陷入衰退的概率升至47%

On April 4th, according to official website data, the probability of predicting "the US economy falling into a recession within 2025" on Polymarket rose to 47%.

<div><p>On April 4, according to official website data, the probability of predicting "the US economy will fall into a recession within 2025" on Polymarket has risen to 47%.</p></div>

Polymarket predicts that the probability of the US economy falling into recession this year has risen to 47%.

Asset Collapse Across the Board: Global Markets Plunge into Chaos
Global financial markets are experiencing their darkest moment, with a storm triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's new tariff policies sweeping across major asset classes. On Monday's opening, U.S. stock futures looked bleak, with S&P 500 futures dropping 3.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures plummeting 5.7%, and the panic index VIX futures surging 34.4% to 45.8, reaching its highest level since 2022. Risk-averse sentiment pushed up 10-year U.S. Treasury bond prices, with the Japanese yen appreciating 1.3% against the dollar, while spot gold fell to $2,988.61 per ounce.
Last Thursday, ...

The darkest moment of the market: Global assets plummeted simultaneously, and the total market value of cryptocurrencies fell by 10%. When will the dawn come?

[CZ's Fireside Chat: HODL Strategy Challenged, Survival Rules in Market Volatility]
Compiled by: Frank, Zen, PANews

On the evening of April 6th, CZ unexpectedly appeared at the BNB Chain Super Meetup in Hong Kong, engaging in a candid fireside chat with community representative "Master Brother from Down Under". Facing the current crypto MEME coin frenzy, faith division, and market volatility, CZ frankly stated that "rushing into on-chain meme should not be the only thing in crypto".

"If You can't hold, You won't be rich...

Full text of CZ's fireside chat: HODL strategy is challenged, survival rules in market volatility

From Vitalik's Horoscope: ETH's Macro Trend in the Past Five Years

To conclude, from 2025 to 2027 (Fire and Earth phase), it will be in a state of wealth value oscillation and contraction, while from 2028 to 2030 (Metal and Earth phase), there will be three consecutive years of violent bull market.

Ethereum and Vitalik's Horoscope
Vitalik's financial fortune largely represents ETH's price trend. From historical price retracements, both Vitalik's and ETH's horoscopes favor the Earth and Metal elements, and the Earth is only fond of specific moist Earth. In years when Metal was relatively strong historically: 2016 (Bing Shen year), 2017 (Ding You year), 2020 (Geng Zi year), 2021 (Xin Chou year); in years of historical moist Earth...

Polymarket predicts that the probability of the US economy falling into recession this year has risen to 47%.

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