火星财经消息，4 月 7 日，道明证券称，贸易紧张局势恶化可能会促使美联提前降息，10 年期美债收益率到今年底可能降至 3%。Oscar Munoz 等策略师在报告中写道，「我们对 FOMC 首次降息时点的预测从 7 月提前至 6 月，现在预计该委员会将在之后每次会议降息直至 2026 年 5 月。」 另外，分析师称美国经济出现衰退的可能性为 50%。随着美国总统特朗普的关税行动对全球市场造成冲击，道明证券加入了高盛和瑞银全球财富管理等机构的行列，把对美国政策宽松的预期提前。掉期交易员现在定价年底前美联储将降息四次以上，而 4 月 1 日，即特朗普公布超预期对等关税的前一天，预期为三次左右。(金十)

<div>火星财经消息，4 月 7 日，道明证券称，贸易紧张局势恶化可能会促使美联提前降息，10 年期美债收益率到今年底可能降至 3%。Oscar Munoz 等策略师在报告中写道，「我们对 FOMC 首次降息时点的预测从 7 月提前至 6 月，现在预计该委员会将在之后每次会议降息直至 2026 年 5 月。」 另外，分析师称美国经济出现衰退的可能性为 50%。随着美国总统特朗普的关税行动对全球市场造成冲击，道明证券加入了高盛和瑞银全球财富管理等机构的行列，把对美国政策宽松的预期提前。掉期交易员现在定价年底前美联储将降息四次以上，而 4 月 1 日，即特朗普公布超预期对等关税的前一天，预期为三次左右。(金十)</div>

机构：美国经济衰退的可能性为50%，预期美联储将提前至6月宣布降息

Mars Finance reports that on April 7, TD Securities stated that worsening trade tensions might prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates earlier, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield potentially dropping to 3% by the end of the year. Oscar Munoz and other strategists wrote in their report, "We have moved our prediction of the FOMC's first rate cut forward from July to June, and now expect the committee to continue cutting rates at subsequent meetings until May 2026." Additionally, analysts estimate a 50% chance of a recession in the United States. As President Trump's tariff actions impact global markets, TD Securities has joined institutions like Goldman Sachs and UBS Global Wealth Management in advancing expectations of U.S. policy easing. Swap traders now price in more than four Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, compared to around three cuts on April 1, the day before Trump announced unexpectedly high reciprocal tariffs. (<AR>)

<div>Mars Finance News, on April 7, TD Securities stated that worsening trade tensions might prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates early, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield potentially dropping to 3% by the end of the year. Oscar Munoz and other strategists wrote in their report, "We have moved our forecast for the FOMC's first rate cut from July to June, and now expect the committee to continue cutting rates at subsequent meetings until May 2026." Additionally, analysts estimate a 50% chance of a recession in the United States. As President Trump's tariff actions impact global markets, TD Securities has joined institutions like Goldman Sachs and UBS Global Wealth Management in advancing expectations of U.S. policy easing. Swap traders now price in more than four Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, compared to around three cuts on April 1, the day before Trump announced unexpectedly high reciprocal tariffs. (JX)</div>

Institution: The probability of a US recession is 50%, and the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a rate cut in June

I. Gold: Reconstructing the Ultimate Narrative by Breaking Through $3,370
[US Dollar]
On the morning of April 21, 2025, spot gold prices broke through $3,370 per ounce, with New York gold futures simultaneously surging to $3,375.9, creating a new record in human financial history. Behind this "gold rush" are the disruptive resonances of three forces: geopolitics, monetary systems, and capital flows.

1. Trump's Political Economy of the "Golden Rule"
[US Dollar]
Trump threw out on Truth Social the "golden rule of negotiation and success: those who own gold make the rules"...

Gold breaks through $3,370 to set a new high! Bitcoin hits 87,000 and makes a comeback: Trump's "Golden Rule" triggers the ultimate currency war

Today, we're discussing a big news that made the entire crypto community go wild - the Non-Fungible Token platform Zora, which once claimed to "make internet creation free and valuable," has officially announced on Twitter that they are finally issuing a token!
<代币>
This move has made speculators both excited and nervous. After all, those who have been in the crypto space know that whenever a project shouts slogans like "community building" and "ecosystem incentives" while issuing a token, there's always a familiar scent of potential speculation in the air.
But this story is far more exciting than an ordinary on-chain meme project. It not only involves a capital game from Coinbase's direct troops but also unfolds a narrative involving...

Base team personally Rug Pull? Exposing Zora’s coin issuance chain: from 600 million valuation to on-chain casino

At Which Crossroads of History Are We Standing?

Written by: <Bitcoin Magazine Pro>
Translated by: <Plain Blockchain>

In 2025, Bitcoin did not experience the explosive start that many had anticipated. After breaking through $10,000, there was a significant pullback, and investors and analysts began to question our position in the overall Bit cycle.

This article will look beyond market noise, delving into a series of key on-chain data and macro indicators to assess whether the Bit bull market remains intact or faces a deeper adjustment.

Healthy Correction or Cycle Termination?

One...

Institution: The probability of a US recession is 50%, and the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a rate cut in June

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