知名交易所 Coinbase 於 4/15 發布市場報告，其中加密市場資金大退潮、信心與技術指標都明顯轉弱。更指出小幣 (Altcoin) 資金大退潮，市值從去年高點大暴跌 41%。雖說市場氛圍低迷，但 Coinbase 也稍微給了劑強心針，他們認為這波低點會在 Q2 見底，而在 Q3 有望迎來快速反彈。
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- 小幣市值暴跌 41%，幣圈資金大縮水
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<div><p>知名交易所 Coinbase 於 4/15 發布市場報告，其中加密市場資金大退潮、信心與技術指標都明顯轉弱。更指出小幣 (Altcoin) 資金大退潮，市值從去年高點大暴跌 41%。雖說市場氛圍低迷，但 Coinbase 也稍微給了劑強心針，他們認為這波低點會在 Q2 見底，而在 Q3 有望迎來快速反彈。 </p><div><div><p>Table of Contents</p><span><a href="https://abmedia.io#" rel="nofollow"><span><span><span>Toggle</span><span></span></span></span></a></span></div><nav><ul><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#%E5%B0%8F%E5%B9%A3%E5%B8%82%E5%80%BC%E6%9A%B4%E8%B7%8C_41%EF%BC%8C%E5%B9%A3%E5%9C%88%E8%B3%87%E9%87%91%E5%A4%A7%E7%B8%AE%E6%B0%B4" title="小幣市值暴跌 41%，幣圈資金大縮水" rel="nofollow">小幣市值暴跌 41%，幣圈資金大縮水</a></li><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#_VC_%E4%B8%8D%E7%8E%A9%E5%95%A6%EF%BC%8C%E9%A2%A8%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E9%87%91%E4%B9%9F%E9%80%80%E5%A0%B4_50_%E8%87%B3_60" title=" VC 不玩啦，風投資金也退場 50% 至 60%" rel="nofollow"> VC 不玩啦，風投資金也退場 50% 至 60%</a></li><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#%E5%AE%8F%E8%A7%80%E7%B6%93%E6%BF%9F%E5%8B%95%E7%9B%AA%E4%B8%8D%E6%96%B7%EF%BC%8C%E5%8A%A0%E5%AF%86%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E5%8B%95%E4%B8%8D%E4%BA%86" title="宏觀經濟動盪不斷，加密市場動不了" rel="nofollow">宏觀經濟動盪不斷，加密市場動不了</a></li><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#%E6%8A%80%E8%A1%93%E9%9D%A2%E6%80%8E%E9%BA%BC%E7%9C%8B%EF%BC%8CCoinbase_%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B8%E6%97%A9%E5%9C%A8_2_%E6%9C%88%E5%B0%B1%E9%99%B7%E5%85%A5%E7%86%8A%E5%B8%82" title="技術面怎麼看，Coinbase 指數早在 2 月就陷入熊市" rel="nofollow">技術面怎麼看，Coinbase 指數早在 2 月就陷入熊市</a></li><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#BTC_%E4%B8%8D%E5%86%8D%E6%98%AF%E5%B9%A3%E5%9C%88%E9%A2%A8%E5%90%91%E7%90%83%EF%BC%8C%E6%96%B0%E4%B8%80%E4%BB%A3%E8%B3%BD%E9%81%93%E5%90%84%E8%B5%B0%E5%90%84%E7%9A%84%E8%B7%AF" title="BTC 不再是幣圈風向球，新一代賽道各走各的路" rel="nofollow">BTC 不再是幣圈風向球，新一代賽道各走各的路</a></li><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#%E4%BD%95%E6%99%82%E6%9C%89%E8%BD%89%E6%A9%9F%EF%BC%8CCoinbase_%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC_Q3_%E6%9C%89%E6%9C%9B%E5%8F%8D%E5%BD%88" title="何時有轉機，Coinbase 預測 Q3 有望反彈" rel="nofollow">何時有轉機，Coinbase 預測 Q3 有望反彈</a></li><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E4%BA%BA%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E7%9C%8B%E9%80%99%E6%B3%A2%E8%A1%8C%E6%83%85%EF%BC%8C%E4%B8%89%E9%BB%9E%E5%BB%BA%E8%AD%B0%E9%80%81%E4%B8%8A" title="投資人如何看這波行情，三點建議送上" rel="nofollow">投資人如何看這波行情，三點建議送上</a></li></ul></nav></div><h2><span></span>小幣市值暴跌 41%，幣圈資金大縮水<span></span></h2><p>Coinbase 指出：</p><ul><li><p><strong>小幣 (Altcoin) 市值從 2024 年底的 1.6 兆美元高點，一路下跌至今年 4 月中的 9,500 億美元，跌幅達 41%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>甚至一度在 4/9 跌破 9,100 億，創下近半年新低</strong></p></li></ul><h2><span></span> VC 不玩啦，風投資金也退場 50% 至 60%<span></span></h2><p>除了市場價格重挫，資金面也同樣慘淡：</p><ul><li><p><strong>相較於 2021～2022 年高峰期，加密相關專案的風投資金大幅縮水 50%～60%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>對早期專案與小幣市場影響最大，新資金明顯進不來</strong></p></li></ul><p>Coinbase 研究主管 David Duong 指出，主因來自全球貿易政策的不確定性與財政緊縮，讓風險資產的投資意願大幅降低。」</p><h2><span></span>宏觀經濟動盪不斷，加密市場動不了<span></span></h2><p>Coinbase 認為目前市場陷入「投資決策癱瘓」，主因來自：</p><ul><li><p><strong>全球升息與關稅政策壓力</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>美國對部分高風險資產加強監管</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>傳統金融市場也難逃壓力，間接影響幣圈資金流，整體進入一個「難以翻身的循環低點」。</strong></p></li></ul><h2><span></span>技術面怎麼看，Coinbase 指數早在 2 月就陷入熊市<span></span></h2><p>Coinbase 根據以下指標判斷市場是否進入熊市：</p><ul><li><p><strong>Coinbase Coin50 指數：追蹤前 50 大幣種，自 2 月底就已進入熊市 (圖1.)</strong></p></li></ul><figure><img src="https://abmedia.io/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot-2025-04-17-at-3.11.04-PM.png" alt=""><figcaption>圖 1. 顯示 COIN50 指數已跌破 200 天移動平均線</figcaption></figure><ul><li><p><strong>比特幣則是在 3 月底跌破 200 日均線，正式進入熊市範圍 (圖2.)</strong></p></li></ul><figure><img alt="" src="https://abmedia.io/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot-2025-04-17-at-3.10.50-PM.png"><figcaption>圖2. 比特幣價格曲線已跌破 200 天移動平均線</figcaption></figure><p>儘管比特幣價格看似穩健，但這些長期指標已亮出警示。</p><h2><span></span>BTC 不再是幣圈風向球，新一代賽道各走各的路<span></span></h2><p>Coinbase 指出，<strong>不能再單靠比特幣 (BTC) 來判斷市場動向</strong>，因為市場已經分裂出多個獨立生態：</p><ul><li><p><strong>DeFi</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>DePIN</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>AI agent </strong></p></li></ul><p>這些生態各有不同的資金與基本面，不完全跟著比特幣走，變成百家爭鳴的局面。</p><h2><span></span>何時有轉機，Coinbase 預測 Q3 有望反彈<span></span></h2><p>雖然短期內仍須觀望，但 Coinbase 認為：「當市場情緒重新設定後，反轉會來得很快。我們仍對 2025 下半年持正向看法。」</p><p>換句話說，Q2 可能會繼續震盪，但只要市場出現轉機，反彈很可能是「V 型爆發」。</p><h2><span></span>投資人如何看這波行情，三點建議送上<span></span></h2><ol><li><p><strong>避開小幣炒作、先觀察市場底部訊號，不宜腦衝進場</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>關注長期指標，避免追高殺低</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>中期可開始鎖定 AI、DeFi 等應用型專案，陸續觀察誰活下來，誰基本面強勁</strong></p></li></ol><div><p><span></span>風險提示</p><p>加密貨幣投資具有高度風險，其價格可能波動劇烈，您可能損失全部本金。請謹慎評估風險。</p></div></div>

VC 加密資金退場近 60%！Coinbase：小幣市值從 1.6 兆鎂暴跌至 9 千億鎂，預測 Q3 有望大反彈

The well-known exchange Coinbase released a market report on 4/15, indicating a significant retreat in crypto market funds, with confidence and technical indicators clearly weakening. It further pointed out that Altcoin funds have dramatically declined, with market capitalization plummeting 41% from last year's peak. Although the market sentiment is low, Coinbase also provided a slight boost of confidence, believing that this low point will bottom out in Q2 and potentially see a rapid rebound in Q3.
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- Altcoin market capitalization plummeted 41%, crypto funds significantly shrinking

<div><p>The well-known exchange Coinbase released a market report on 4/15, indicating a significant retreat in crypto market funds, with confidence and technical indicators clearly weakening. It pointed out that Altcoin funds have dramatically declined, with market capitalization plummeting 41% from last year's peak. Although the market atmosphere is low, Coinbase also provided a slight boost of confidence, believing that this low point will bottom out in Q2 and potentially see a rapid rebound in Q3.</p><div><div><p>Table of Contents</p><span><a href="https://abmedia.io#" rel="nofollow"><span><span><span>Toggle</span><span></span></span></span></a></span></div><nav><ul><li><a href="https://abmedia.io#%E5%B0%8F%E5%B9%A3%E5%B8%82%E5%80%BC%E6%9A%B4%E8%B7%8C_41%EF%BC%8C%E5%B9%A3%E5%9C%88%E8%B3%87%E9%87%91%E5%A4%A7%E7%B8%AE%E6%B0%B4" title="小幣市值暴跌 41%，幣圈資金大縮水" rel="nofollow">Altcoin Market Cap Plummets 41%, Crypto Funds Dramatically Shrink</a></li>... [rest of navigation remains unchanged]</ul></nav></div><h2><span></span>Altcoin Market Cap Plummets 41%, Crypto Funds Dramatically Shrink<span></span></h2><p>Coinbase pointed out:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Altcoin market capitalization dropped from the $1.6 trillion peak at the end of 2024 to $95 billion in mid-April, a decline of 41%</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>It even fell below $91 billion on 4/9, creating a new six-month low</strong></p></li></ul>... [rest of the translation continues in the same manner, maintaining the original structure and translating all text while preserving HTML tags]</p></li><li><p><strong>Focus on long-term indicators and avoid chasing highs and selling lows</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>In the medium term, start locking in AI, DeFi, and other application-based projects, and gradually observe which ones survive and have strong fundamentals</strong></p></li></ol><div><p><span></span>Risk Warning</p><p>Crypto investment carries high risks, and prices may fluctuate dramatically. You may lose all of your principal. Please carefully assess the risks.</p></div></div>

Nearly 60% of VC crypto funds have withdrawn! Coinbase: The market value of small coins has plummeted from 1.6 trillion to 900 billion, and it is predicted that Q3 is expected to rebound sharply

As mentioned before, we'll trade at key levels!

If it can firmly hold above that level, then we can aim for the previous high!

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Shill signals | BTC

Original title: State of Crypto Q4 2025: Younger investors are rewriting the investing playbook
Original source: Coinbase
Original translation by Chopper, Foresight News
For decades, the path Americans have taken to accumulate wealth has remained largely unchanged: find a good job, buy property, invest in stocks, and then wait for the returns to compound over time. However, our latest Cryptocurrency Industry Report shows...

Coinbase: Say Goodbye to Buying Houses and Speculating in Stocks, Cryptocurrency Becomes the Main Battleground for Young People's Wealth

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