- Technical Divergence: Bollinger Bands Narrowing and MACD Divergence Form Tug of War
- Market Catalyst: DeFi Sector Demonstrates $930 Million Profit Effect
- Long-Term Narrative: Institutional Adoption of ETH as Web3 Settlement Layer
ETH Price Prediction
Ethereum Technical Analysis: Short-Term Pullback Pressure Coexists with Long-Term Bullish Signals
According to BTCC financial analyst Sophia's interpretation, ETH's current price of $2,494.81 is below the 20-day moving average ($2,559.39), indicating short-term pullback pressure. The MACD histogram expanded to 44.13, with the signal line (35.61) above the slow line (-8.53) but below the zero axis. The narrowing Bollinger Bands (upper band 2,691.66/middle band 2,559.39/lower band 2,427.13) suggest reduced volatility. 'The price is testing the middle band resistance, and breaking through could challenge the upper band, but MACD divergence risks should be noted,' Sophia pointed out.
Market Sentiment: DeFi Boom and High-Leverage Yields Stimulate ETH Demand
BTCC analyst Sophia cited a DApp industry report showing that the explosive growth in DeFi/Non-Fungible Token/AI sectors in May (such as the KTA token's 54x return case) reflects increased market risk appetite. 'Institutional investors are configuring ETH as the core infrastructure of Web3,' she emphasized that the current $930 million on-chain profit scale might translate into reinvestment demand, but warned that 'short-term profit-taking pressure needs to be comprehensively judged with technical aspects'.
Key Factors Affecting ETH Price
Trader Profits $9.3 Million from KTA Token with 54x Return
A cryptocurrency trader transformed $171,000 into $9.3 million within three months, thanks to investing in the KTA token. According to Lookonchain's on-chain data, the trader's address (0x11e1) purchased 6.02 million KTA tokens with 915 ETH in March and seized the token's surge opportunity.
This stunning 54x return highlights the high-risk, high-reward nature of Altcoin trading. Although KTA is not listed as a top token on major exchanges, its performance shows the profit potential of niche crypto assets during a bull market.
May 2025 DApp Industry Report Shows Strong Growth in DeFi, Non-Fungible Token, and AI Sectors
In May 2025, the decentralized application ecosystem demonstrated remarkable resilience, with key indicators showing it has moved beyond the speculative cycle towards maturity. Daily active independent wallet numbers grew 8% to 25 million, while Non-Fungible Token trading volume surged 40% to $280 million—primarily driven by the Ethereum ecosystem and emerging platforms like Abstract and Telegram.
The DeFi recovery is evident, with Total Value Locked (TVL) soaring 25% to $20 billion, benefiting from Ethereum's 40% price increase and Hyperliquid platform's $244 billion trading volume. Meanwhile, AI decentralized applications reached 4.8 million daily active users, a 23% monthly increase, now on par with gaming and financial sectors, demonstrating the continuous expansion of Web3 application scenarios.
This growth came at a cost: security vulnerabilities led to a $275 million ecosystem loss, making it the third most severe month in the past year. This figure exceeds the total losses from November 2024 to March 2025, highlighting the ongoing challenges in blockchain infrastructure security.
ETH Price Prediction: Outlook for 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040
| Year | Price Range (USD) | Core Driving Factors |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2,200-3,500 | ETF Liquidity Injection/Layer 2 Adoption Rate |
| 2030 | 8,000-12,000 | DeFi TVL Exceeding Trillion/Enterprise-Level DApp Explosion |
| 2035 | 18,000-25,000 | ZK-Rollups Become Global Settlement Standard |
| 2040 | 40,000+ | Ethereum's Network Effect as Web3 Base Protocol |
Sophia believes that in 2025, ETH will benefit from spot ETF expectations but should focus on the critical $2,600 resistance level in the short term. By 2030, with 'DeFi 3.0' and Non-Fungible Token financialization innovations, the price could break through $10,000. By 2040, if Ethereum maintains an active developer community, its position as a 'digital economic operating system' might drive its market cap to surpass gold.
