[Traders bet on $200K year-end Bitcoin, but real odds tell a different story]
Despite aggressive bullish bets, market odds imply under 3% chance of $200,000 BTC price by December of this year.

<p><img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/1px.png" alt="Traders bet on $200K year-end Bitcoin, but real odds tell a different story"></p><p>Despite aggressive bullish bets, market odds imply under 3% chance of $200,000 BTC price by December of this year.</p>

Traders bet on $200K year-end Bitcoin, but real odds tell a different story

Crypto traders have not yet shown enough fear on social media to confirm a market bottom, according to a crypto analyst who suggested Bitcoin could still slide to around $75,000.
“It looks very tempti...

Crypto market ‘isn’t scared enough’ to call a bottom yet: Santiment

Author | Shisi Jun

1. Introduction
In the blink of an eye, I've been working in the wallet industry for four years. Many people think the wallet landscape in 2025 is already solidified, but that's not the case—it's been turbulent beneath the surface. This year:

· Coinbase launched its new CDP wallet, built on TEE technology;

· Binance's MPC wallet introduces key sharding and hosting to the TEE environment;

· Bitget just released its social login feature last week, hosted on a TEE basis;

· ...

A brief overview of the history of blockchain wallets and the market landscape in 2025.

According to ME News, on December 21st (UTC+8), Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin posted on Farcaster, stating that prediction markets are a good remedy for volatile opinions on emotional topics. He used two screenshots as examples: Elon Musk previously posted that a British civil war was "inevitable," while the prediction market Polymarket showed only a 3% probability of a "Will there be a British civil war in 2024?" (Vitalik believes 3% is still too high, as some bettors have inflated the probability). Vitalik...